Import & Export — Vesper Market News

Cheese is back to normal everywhere except across the Atlantic

European cheese offers have thinned as buyers step back, while new US capacity keeps filling with Mozzarella that has to be exported to clear.

October white sugar delivery lands at a third of last year's

Under 500,000 tonnes were delivered against October London white sugar, against over 1.5 million a year ago, while funds built their largest long since 2023.

Record Brazilian shipments leave coffee near flat on the week

Brazil shipped a seasonal record of Arabica and Robusta in August, yet December coffee fell only 0.8 cents on the week. Outside markets explain the gap.

Festival buying lifts cumin while coriander futures slide

Cumin ground higher through early September on festival buying while coriander futures dropped close to 5% with spot flat. Turmeric ended the fortnight nowhere.

Malaysian palm stocks climb 7.5% while Q4 supply looks thinner

August MPOB data put Malaysian palm stocks up 7.5% at 2.82 mmt and BMD prices eased, but the Q4 view is tighter. Rapeseed sowing is the nearer European risk.

Red chilli breaks a month of stasis with a 16% jump

Delhi 334 red chilli moved 16% in a week after a month near $253/quintal, with Andhra's monsoon 40% below normal. Nepal's bumper crop is resetting big cardamom.

Fewer pounds, more dollars in US milk powder exports

US NFDM and SMP exports fell 6.3% in January to July while their value rose 7.9%. Production is climbing, but the product mix is turning toward home.

Peanut acres fall 27% into a record carryout

USDA cut 2026 US peanut acres by 27% while carryout sits near a record 1.6 million tons, and 2027 kernels already price above this year's crop.

US cage-free egg supply looks to have peaked below half the flock

Cage-free layer inventories hit a record 150.7 million in August, but growth now trails the total flock and LEAP sees the segment near saturation.

Dark meat's run cools and leg quarters head for the $0.40s

Bulk leg quarters have come off a record just above $0.60 a pound to $0.52-0.54. LEAP expects the mid-to-upper $0.40s through fall and winter before a recovery.

Beef packers flip to profit while feeders take the loss

The choice cutout has averaged below year-ago levels for 12 straight weeks, and packer margins swung from $250 a head in the red to $150 in the black.

The EU protein premium is now twice what a shipment needs

EU MPC 85 trades 29% above the US benchmark and WPC80 14% above it, against break-even premiums of roughly 5% and 6% once duty and freight are paid.

US egg producers squeezed between cheap eggs and costly corn

Shell eggs have fallen back into the $0.80s and September looks set to be the fourth sub-$1 month in six, just as feed costs turn against producers.

Black Sea deadlock lifts wheat, corn and barley

MATIF wheat and corn climbed again as Black Sea talks stalled and Egypt's wheat arrivals fell 75% year-on-year. Vesper's Q3 view stays sideways to up.

Cheese prices rise in Europe, fall everywhere else

European cheese offers are moving up on tighter milk, while US and New Zealand Cheddar keeps falling. The widening spread is a problem for EU exports.

India's duty-free sugar imports lose their appeal

India approved 1 MMT of duty-free raw sugar imports, but mills may take only half of it. EU output is set to fall almost 20% as drought hits beet yields.

The audit ends a day after Brazil loses EU poultry access

New EU antimicrobial rules took effect on 3 September and the audit of Brazilian producers finished on the 4th. Brussels has set no timeline to restore access.

US broiler output grows at its fastest pace since 2004

US ready-to-cook broiler production is up 4.2% this year, and the cutout has fallen to the mid-$0.70s from over $1.10. Feed costs are the next worry.

Basmati climbs on a 40% kharif shortfall

Indian basmati rates rose through August as kharif output came in around 40% below normal, with mills and mandis holding almost no old paddy to fall back on.

Thai cane area at risk from higher tapioca prices

Thailand's 2026/27 cane area looks set to shrink as tapioca pays better, and the mills are turning to white sugar exports for the rest of the year.

Turmeric's third rally in a row ends the same way

Turmeric rallied and gave it back for the third fortnight running, even with carryover stock down to 5 lakh bags against 140 lakh bags of annual demand.

UCO climbs 19% while Hormuz traffic sits near zero

UCO firmed 18.7% and the biodiesel complex followed, while Hormuz transits fell to zero and German HVO demand more than quadrupled year on year.

Where the new US-Canada dairy tariffs actually bite

New US and Canadian dairy tariffs cover powders, whey and MPC, but the exposure is uneven. Here is where the duties actually reach trade flows on both sides.

Europe's beet crop drought pushes buyers toward imports

Drought has left Europe's beet crop unrecoverable in places, and Vesper estimates the EU and UK may need 3.4 million tonnes of sugar imports this season.

Black Sea export losses keep grains prices elevated into September

Wheat and corn are holding near recent highs as Ukrainian and Russian export losses tighten global supply, while soybeans rally on strong Chinese demand.

India moves toward its first major sugar imports since 2017

India is weighing a cut to its 100% sugar import tax as a weak monsoon threatens next season's cane crop, with global prices already firming.

Palm oil's forward curve breaks above MYR 5,000 while spot eases

Palm oil's March contract broke above MYR 5,000 a tonne even as the spot month eased, while Brent's climb past $90 lifted soybean and rapeseed oil.

Macadamia crop grows 11%, almond kernels come in small

Global Trading's August tree nut report has the macadamia crop up 11% and pressuring prices, while small first almond kernels push that market higher.

Smaller cashew and pistachio crops meet a macadamia rebound

ofi's July update puts the cashew crop 10% to 12% below last year and the 2026 pistachio crop near half of 2025, while hazelnut supply stays comfortable.

Tight milk sends processors toward cheese and whey

Seasonally tight milk is pushing European and US processors toward cheese and whey, lifting cream and SMP while butter stocks stay at decade highs.

Typhoon Dolphin's backlog outlasts the storm

Typhoon Dolphin has cleared the Zhejiang coast, but Ningbo and Shanghai backlogs, a record-low Rhine and new EU packaging rules keep shippers under pressure.

Whey protein's climb stalls before Q4 contracting

Reformulation has cut WPC80 demand going into Q4, stalling the climb, while MPC 85, lactose and whey permeate tighten across Europe and the US.

US butter, cheese and milk powder prices converge near $1.50

Butter, both cheese grades and NFDM are trading within cents of $1.50 a pound on the CME board, a rare level of convergence.

Egg markets diverge: Europe steadies while the US rally unwinds

Europe's egg market has stopped falling while the US posts its first broad weekly decline of its rally, and egg powder is now pricing off a different cycle.

EU sets an audit timeline for Brazil's poultry ban, opens a duck dispute with China

The EU has attached a firm audit calendar to Brazil's poultry suspension and opened a new anti-dumping case against Chinese duck imports.

Wheat prices ease despite an unresolved Black Sea problem

Wheat pulled back this fortnight even though the Black Sea disruption remains unresolved, while corn, barley and soybean each moved on their own drivers.

Falling Brent outweighs Black Sea risk in vegetable oils

Black Sea disruption should be bullish for vegetable oils, but a 5% drop in Brent crude after Trump shelved an Iran strike overwhelmed it across palm and soy.

India's spice markets share one problem: thin carryover stock

Cumin, coriander, turmeric, chilli, pepper and cardamom each moved on a different trigger, but India's spice markets share one thin carryover stock problem.

Bolivia's blockades lift, but diesel shortages keep Brazil nut shipments stuck

Bolivia's road blockades have ended, but diesel shortages and port congestion at Arica are still delaying Brazil nut shipments this season.

India freight congestion deepens: blank sailings become the new normal

Container shortages and blanked sailings at Nhava Sheva and Mundra are delaying exports and pushing peak season surcharges sharply higher on the Europe route.

US churns record butter, but stocks run thin into autumn

US butter output hit a 31-year high for January to May, yet June stocks fell to their lowest since 2022 as cheap prices drove record exports.

Black Sea disruption and EU heat lift wheat and corn to multi-year highs

Euronext milling wheat and corn jumped to multi-year highs as Black Sea shipping attacks and a European heatwave hit crops heading into harvest.

Spain's Newcastle disease outbreaks nearly triple; Brazil braces for an EU ban

Newcastle disease outbreaks nearly tripled in Spain in two weeks while Brazil faces an EU poultry export ban from September, tightening the supply outlook.

Reefer space, monsoon ports and a low Rhine: this week's freight pressure points

Shypple flags three freight pressure points for food shippers: sold-out reefer space, monsoon and typhoon port delays, and a Rhine too low for full barges.

US cheddar closes the gap with New Zealand

US cheddar jumped 10% on the month to $1.60/lb while New Zealand fell to a 20-month low, closing a price gap that opened the year at a record 75 cents.

Gasoil firms on renewed Gulf conflict; biodiesel drifts lower

Fossil diesel snapped higher as conflict around the Strait of Hormuz reignited, lifting the gasoil reference while biodiesel and renewable diesel drifted lower.

Europe's beet crop shrinks, but sugar stocks still weigh

Dry fields point EU and UK sugar production toward 16.1 million tonnes, down from 17.2 million, yet high stocks and record imports keep prices static.

Poultry week 28: heat losses in Europe, record exports from Brazil

A record heatwave cut European poultry supply while Spain's Newcastle Disease cases and Brazil trade tensions add risk. Vesper's week 28 poultry view.

US peanut acres drop 21.8%; supply tightens across origins

USDA puts US peanut plantings down 21.8%. With Argentina's harvest delayed and Brazil's area shrinking, Alimenta Agri sees prices heading higher.

Coriander leads a spice rally on thin arrivals and Hormuz optimism

Coriander rose about 9% on thin Baran arrivals, leading a broad Indian spice rally as US-Iran talks lifted hopes the Strait of Hormuz would reopen to trade.

US milk powder keeps falling, heat wave or not

US NFDM fell 5.8% to $1.505/lb, now 34% below its May peak, as record milk-powder output kept prices sliding even as a heat wave finally arrived.

Physical scarcity drives basmati's sharpest rally of the season

Basmati rice rallied $8 to $10 per quintal, its sharpest move of the season, as old-paddy scarcity across India's mills outweighed US-Iran and Hormuz news.

Vegetable oils hold steady while Brent slips and Europe overheats

Vegetable oils held firm even as Brent slipped to $73. Palm oil rose on strong Malaysian exports, while a heatwave trimmed the EU rapeseed crop outlook.

US butter: record output, leanest May stocks in four years

US butter makers are running flat out yet stocks ended May at 335.6m lbs, the lowest May reading since 2022 and down 8%, despite record four-month output.

Freight update: ocean rates near the top, new emission costs from July 1

Asia to North Europe ocean freight rates look to be peaking after six weeks of gains, as capacity stays tight and new EU emission surcharges take effect July 1.

Egg markets split as Europe nears a floor and US prices firm

The two big egg markets are pulling apart: Europe is still easing from its spring peak but slowing, while US prices firm as stocks tighten and demand picks up.

A new-crop tender resets EU sugar price expectations

A multinational bought 2026-27 sugar at €530 DDP, roughly €495-500 ex works bulk, resetting European price assumptions anchored to CXL import parity.

California almonds firm up as May shipments beat expectations

The California almond market is holding firm into the close of the crop year, after a May position report that beat trade expectations on shipments and sales.

New Sathi crop bends old basmati prices, but the floor holds

New Sathi paddy reaching mandis in western Uttar Pradesh and Uttarakhand reset India's basmati market in early June, forcing old rice to reprice lower.

Ocean rates climb into July, with new tolls and surcharges close behind

Asia to North Europe freight rates have risen for six straight weeks, and procurement teams importing through the region should plan for more of the same.

Thin arrivals support Indian spices, but demand won't chase

India's spice complex spent the first half of June in a standoff: arrivals kept thinning across the major mandis, yet buyers refused to chase prices higher.

Brazil sets a poultry export record, but EU access hangs in the balance

Brazil posted its strongest poultry export month on record in May 2026, with chicken revenue topping $1 billion, yet EU market access hangs in the balance.

Pistachio and peanut supplies tighten as hazelnuts stay soft

The nut complex is splitting between tightening tree nuts and a soft hazelnut market, with the 2026 US pistachio crop projected near 800 million lb, down 50%.

European cheese softens as buyers wait out the summer

European cheese keeps softening. With Q3 coverage behind them almost all buyers have stepped aside, bids sit notably lower and sellers are struggling to move.

Chicken prices fell across the board last month, but the autumn outlook points higher

Brazilian chicken breast fillet led a broad poultry decline, dropping 16% to around €2,890 per tonne, in a month where every benchmark Vesper tracks fell.

Coconut oil eases further on rebuilding Philippine supply

Coconut oil fell again this week, with CIF Rotterdam down about 4% and EXW Manila close to 6%, extending a decline that has run since early May on supply.

Whey protein pauses for breath, but the market stays tight

With Q3 purchasing largely wrapped up, the sharp rises across the whey protein concentrate complex are losing momentum, though the market stays tight.

Brazil's bumper crush and softer oil weigh on sugar prices

A strong Brazilian result and weaker oil have offset El Niño risk to keep sugar under pressure, with crude down about 4% and holding below $100 a barrel.

Cumin finds its floor while coriander supply tightens

India's spice markets waited on buyers through late May, and cumin produced a rare clear signal: Unjha traders named a floor of $2.09 to $2.11/kg.

Vegetable oils hold firm on crude rebound and biofuel demand

Vegetable oils steadied as Brent's August contract fell to $91 a barrel on May 29 then recovered to around $95 on reports Iran had suspended talks with the US.

Ocean freight tightens as June peak-season surcharges hit every carrier

Container shipping is under more pressure than at any point since the Red Sea crisis, with every major carrier announcing a June surcharge of $500 to $1,200.

Thai cane pivots to tapioca as China's sugar surplus builds

East Asia's sugar markets face weather and policy pulling opposite ways, with Thailand's three-month outlook pointing to above-average heat across cane areas.

US peanut acres set to shrink, lifting the price floor

The peanut market has moved back into cost-of-production territory after a long oversupply, with firm prices across the US, Argentina and Brazil.

Brazil loses EU poultry access from September; the authorisation body meets too late to fix it

The European Commission has confirmed Brazil cannot export poultry meat to the EU from 3 September 2026, after missing the antimicrobial compliance list.

EU egg prices correct from highs; heatwave hits at the worst possible moment

European egg prices are falling across all categories on rising imports from Eastern Europe and Turkey, seasonal weakness, and record pullet placements.

US milk powder prices slip as production growth cools

US nonfat dry milk fell about $0.20/lb in a week, New Zealand powder dropped $200/mt at the GDT pulse, and European quotes eased from €2,900 to €2,800/mt.

European cheese markets ease into summer lull as Q3 demand completes

European cheese prices edged higher on seasonal warmth and Q3 forward buying, then stalled as that demand was covered and the summer lull set in.

Südzucker's sugar division posts €177 million loss as S&P turns negative

Südzucker's sugar division posted a €177 million operating loss in 2025/26 against €13 million a year earlier, and S&P cut its debt outlook to negative.

Basmati paddy is gone at Indian trading centres; mills are paying up for what remains

India's basmati paddy has effectively run out at every major northern trading centre, and Punjab mills are now bidding against each other for what is left.

Coffee futures fall to $2.64 as US demand weakens and Brazil's record crop approaches

Coffee futures dropped to $2.64 per pound with the July contract losing 18.1 cents, as US demand weakened and Brazil's record crop drew closer.

Germany's RED III adoption and higher energy prices lift European biodiesel sharply

European biodiesel rose sharply in May, with FAME 0 up from $1,382 to $1,500 per tonne and UCOME reaching $1,652, after the Bundestag adopted RED III.

Vegetable oils track Brent higher as El Nino and Hormuz tensions set the agenda

Brent rose from $104 to $112 a barrel and vegetable oils moved with it, on fresh US threats to Iran and a new Iranian body to oversee the Strait of Hormuz.

WPC80 prices at record levels as new protein demand grows faster than supply

The whey protein market is running an unusual experiment: higher prices are drawing in both more supply and more demand, with demand growing at least as fast.

India's spice markets have a supply story, but buyers aren't listening yet

Six Indian spice categories, one story: supply is genuinely tight but buyers have gone quiet. Cumin arrivals at Unjha fell over 80% from the mid-April peak.

Food and beverage costs face a second wave of commodity pressure

Oil has held above $100 a barrel through May, but the bigger story is funds rotating out of crude positions and into agricultural commodities instead.

Imported beef hits a record 23.4% of US supply in Q1

US beef imports reached 599 million pounds in March, up 19% year on year, lifting Q1 to nearly 1.71 billion pounds and 23.4% of total domestic supply.

NFDM domestic demand jumped 178% in Q1 as US dairy markets diverge

The CME spot call closed mixed as the complex absorbed a stronger dollar and the US-China summit, with blocks down 6 cents and barrels down 3, both to $1.57.

Vegetable oils ease with Brent on stalled Iran-US talks

Brent July closed the week at $104 a barrel, down from $114, after recovering off a $100 low as signs of progress in Iran-US peace talks then reversed.

California almond shipments beat March expectations, Turkey absorbs Middle East rerouting

California almond shipments reached 257.99 million lbs in March, well above the roughly 225 million expected and up 16.5% on last March's 221.37 million.

Energy market strength lifts sugar to one-month high

Raw sugar extended its climb, with the NY11 July contract closing at a one-month high of 15.37 USc/lb on stronger oil and a firmer Brazilian real.

Whey protein tightness drives reformulation toward MPC 85 in Q3

The global whey protein market opened its Q3 window at fresh highs, with WPC80 leading the complex up and prompting a clear reformulation trend industry-wide.

EU partially suspends sugar IPP imports for one year from May 27

The European Commission's sugar committee voted on April 30 to partially suspend Inward Processing Procedure imports for one year, effective from May 27.

Indian spice markets caught between tight supply and stalled export demand

Indian spice markets show one pattern across the complex: supply is tight, sometimes severely, but weak demand keeps capping or reversing every rally.

Cheese markets soften under weight of peak milk supply

European and North American cheese markets are broadly stable but the tone is bearish, with milk near its seasonal peak leaving cooperatives few options.

El Niño risk reshapes sugar's 2026/27 supply outlook

Raw sugar edged higher on Brazil's planned anhydrous ethanol blend increase from 30% to 32% and firmer crude, with Sugar No. 11 settling at $14.11/lb.

Rapeseed market firms after Germany adopts RED III

MATIF rapeseed rose to EUR 552/mt from EUR 508/mt after Germany adopted RED III, with tight EU stocks, strong crush and firmer crude oil all lending support.

Gulf shipping disruption reshapes Indian spice export flows

Conflict in West Asia and disruption in the Strait of Hormuz are reshaping Indian spice exports, with sellers avoiding freight-inclusive terms entirely.

Indian basmati prices climb on tight supply and Gulf shipping uncertainty

Indian basmati has risen over three weeks, with 1509 Steam up to USD 90-91 per quintal from USD 82-83 and 1718 Sela climbing to USD 94-96 per quintal.

Whey protein prices hold at all-time highs with demand destruction still elusive

WPC80 and WPI remain at record levels in Europe and the US, above the point where reformulation has begun but not yet enough to close the supply gap.

Soy and palm oils lead vegetable oil gains on biofuel policy and crude rebound

Soybean and palm oil led the vegetable oil complex higher, with CBOT soy oil up to 69.63 US cents/lb from 65.50 on a crude rebound and Southeast Asian policy.

Nordic Sugar to close Porkalla refinery, first EU standalone closure since end of quotas

Nordic Sugar will close its standalone refinery at Porkalla, Finland and move raw sugar refining to its beet factory, the first such EU closure since quotas.

China set to overtake Brazil as world's top chicken meat producer

USDA forecasts point to a 5% rise in Chinese poultry output in 2026, enough to push China past Brazil as the world's largest chicken meat producer.

Southeast Asia biodiesel mandates reshape palm oil supply outlook

Three major Southeast Asian palm oil producers are raising biodiesel blending mandates, with Indonesia moving to B50 from July 2026 for public service fuel.

US egg prices fall below production cost while Europe stays tight

The post-Easter egg market is moving two ways: US supply has rebuilt strongly with no new HPAI cases in laying flocks, while Europe stays tight.

Cheese markets flip from Q1 shortage to Q2 surplus

Q1 was defined by limited commodity cheese availability as export demand pulled volumes out of Europe and the US. At the start of Q2, that dynamic has shifted.

Cocoa prices break 2,500 resistance despite record fund short position

Cocoa broke above 2,500 resistance on fund short covering ahead of global grindings data, with the US-Iran ceasefire lending broad commodity support.

Coffee futures climb to $2.96/lb on ceasefire news

The July coffee contract rose 3.85 cents to close at $2.9635 per pound, rallying on ceasefire news after testing a low of $2.79 earlier in the week.

Sugar retreats from March highs on easing geopolitical risk

Sugar No. 11 stood at $13.88/lb and No. 5 white at $424/mt on April 14, as ample supply and India holding its export quota outweighed easing geopolitical risk.

Vegetable oils slip lower on ceasefire optimism and weaker crude

BMD crude palm oil fell to $1,120/mt from $1,176/mt and CBOT soybean oil to 66.5 US cents/lb from 69.95, as ceasefire optimism and weaker crude weighed.

Australian beef exports hit near-record volumes in March 2026

Australia's beef exports hit 149,973 tonnes in March 2026, up 33% year on year and the second-highest monthly total on record, on broad-based demand.

Australian sheep meat exports decline sharply in March as MENA shipments contract

Australian lamb and mutton exports fell to 42,656 tonnes in March 2026, down 24% year on year and 6% below the five-year average, as MENA flows contracted.

US broiler exports slip in early 2026 with domestic dark meat demand providing support

US broiler exports started 2026 muted, with February shipments just under 524 million pounds, 4.3% below last year and cumulative volumes down 1.1%.

WPC80 shortage drives protein markets into uncharted territory

The whey protein market is splitting: WPC80 faces a structural shortage with no near-term relief, while sweet whey, permeate and lactose soften on exports.

Vegetable oil prices ease on ceasefire news, palm oil outlook mixed

A two-week US-Iran ceasefire announced on April 8 sent Brent crude sharply lower, putting immediate pressure across the whole vegetable oil complex.

Variable spring weather disrupts EU sugar beet drilling, area down 7% year on year

Beet drilling has been uneven across northern Europe this spring, with France 93% planted by March 23rd, adding uncertainty to the 2026/27 EU sugar outlook.

Middle East conflict drives Brazilian chicken prices higher

Brazilian chicken prices reversed sharply in week 14, with whole bird and cut prices up 5% to 7%, driven by further escalation of the Middle East conflict.

Sugar prices edge higher on crude oil rally, but fundamentals stay soft

Sugar moved modestly higher on a sharp rise in crude oil rather than any change in supply and demand, with gains trimmed once ceasefire talks emerged.

Vegetable oils rebound on crude surge and biofuel policy shifts

Palm and soybean oil led a broad vegetable oil recovery on firmer Brent and new biofuel policy in the US and Indonesia, while coconut oil moved the other way.

EU sugar beet farmers face higher costs as energy prices climb

European sugar beet growers head into the 2026 planting season facing higher costs, with UK red diesel up 60% since the Middle East conflict began.

WPC80 prices exceed EUR 20,000/mt as global supply falls short of demand

WPC80 has tightened to the point that transactions above EUR 20,000/mt are reported for Q2, Q3 and Q4 2026, with buyers locking in volumes well into the year.

Philippine biofuel policy uncertainty weighs on coconut oil prices

Coconut oil at origin fell sharply, with EXW Manila down to $1,918/mt from $2,271/mt, as Philippine biofuel producers grew wary of domestic policy changes.

Fuel surcharges climb and containers pile up as Strait of Hormuz disruption deepens

The Strait of Hormuz blockade is pressuring ocean and air freight, with emergency fuel surcharges rising and 200,000 containers trapped in the Persian Gulf.

NFDM prices approach 10-year highs despite record milk surplus

Non-fat dry milk rose 4.53% this week to within $0.055/lb of ten-year highs, a striking disconnect from surging milk production across all major regions.

Record Brazilian exports push global poultry prices lower

Global poultry heads into late March broadly bearish, with Brazilian and Thai origins falling across whole birds, breast meat and wings on record exports.

Cheap milk, tight cheese: how production capacity is driving European markets

Raw milk is hitting European spot markets at €0.10-€0.25/kg in mid-March, yet cheese stocks are tight and prices firm, because capacity is running flat out.

Why a $100 oil price isn't lifting sugar markets

Crude briefly touched $100 a barrel after the Strait of Hormuz closed, yet sugar has barely responded, with Sugar No. 11 edging up to just $14.45/lb.

Palm oil prices climb on B50 speculation and supply concerns

BMD crude palm oil rose to $1,176/mt from $1,123/mt on supply developments, B50 biodiesel speculation and renewed strength in Brent crude oil prices.

US broiler market: weak export start, steady domestic demand

US broiler exports started 2026 slowly at 524 million pounds in January, while domestic dark meat markets have held relatively steady. What is shaping both.

Bakery market forecast 2026: flour, starches, eggs, dairy, vegetable oils, sugar, cocoa, nuts

Bakery procurement in H2 2026 faces mixed signals: some ingredients are softening, others under renewed pressure, and a handful in genuinely tight supply.

European beef market forecast 2026: structural herd contraction keeps upward price pressure in place

Cattle and beef prices are expected to keep rising into 2026, driven by continued regulatory pressure on producers and a self-reinforcing herd contraction.

European butter forecast: rangebound in H1 2026, with recovery expected as milk tightens in H2

European butter enters 2026 with ample supply after strong 2025 production, keeping stocks elevated and capping prices until milk tightens later in the year.

European Cheddar forecast 2026: lean stocks and firm prices despite strong production

European Cheddar production held strong through 2025 on abundant milk, yet stocks remain lean and prices firm as the expected supply-heavy H1 did not arrive.

European chicken market forecast 2026: prices fall on Brazilian import increase, avian flu risk persists

European chicken prices have fallen sharply since the ban on Brazilian poultry was lifted, as exports from Brazil to Europe more than tripled from November.

European dairy market forecast 2026: milk, butter, smp, wmp, swp, cheeses

European dairy in 2026 is not one market but several: some categories are well supplied and stable, others have tightened far beyond what was expected.

European egg market forecast 2026: avian flu outbreaks keep supply tight and prices elevated through Q1

Mass avian flu outbreaks have persisted through Q1 2026, with extensive cullings across major European producers keeping supply tight and prices elevated.

European Mozzarella forecast 2026: prices rise sharply since February as nearby supply proves scarce

European Mozzarella output held strong through 2025 on abundant milk, yet prices have risen sharply since February as buyers find little nearby product.

European pork market forecast 2026: African Swine Fever in Spain redirects volumes to EU markets, pressuring prices

The EU sow herd is forecast to shrink again in 2026 on environmental restructuring, with feed prices favourable but labour and energy keeping costs elevated.

European raw milk forecast: strong flush adds supply pressure across dairy markets in H1 2026

European raw milk output accelerated through late 2025 and that momentum carries into 2026, with the flush set to add significant volume in Q1 and Q2.

Glucose syrup and dextrose stabilise after 2025 correction, with energy costs the main upside risk

Glucose syrup and dextrose corrected through 2025 on easing corn and wheat costs, Turkish and Brazilian imports and soft demand. Energy is the upside risk.

Gouda market forecast 2026: prices move higher as stocks stay lean and Dutch production expected to shrink

Gouda output was robust across Europe in 2025 on strong milk, yet stocks stayed lean as consumption and exports absorbed volumes, and prices moved higher.

Lactose market forecast 2026: stability returns after 2025 price spike

Lactose rose sharply through 2025 as US tightness pulled European prices higher. That dynamic has shifted, and the global market is settling into stability.

Olive oil market forecast 2026: production normalises after two volatile seasons, prices expected to hold broadly stable

Extra virgin olive oil peaked near EUR 5,000/mt EXW Spain in November 2025, fell to EUR 4,300/mt in January and has since recovered to about EUR 4,600/mt.

Palm oil market forecast 2026: record Malaysian stocks weigh on prices despite Brent crude support

BMD crude palm oil has risen to USD 1,096/mt from USD 975/mt at the start of the year on firmer Brent and soybean oil, though supply has not yet tightened.

Pizza, pasta, savory snack forecast: flour, tomate, chicken, beef, pork, mozzarella, olive oil

H2 2026 brings pizza, pasta and snack manufacturers near-term stability alongside building supply risk, with some procurement windows unlikely to last.

SMP market forecast 2026: US production shortfall pulls international buyers toward Europe

The global skim milk powder market has turned firm rather than supply-heavy as 2026 began, and that tone looks set to persist for the foreseeable future.

Soybean oil price forecast 2026: US biofuel policy drives sharp price increase, Argentine discount widens

CBOT crude soybean oil has risen to 65.33 US cents/lb from 48.56 at the start of the year, on firmer Brent and expectations US biofuel policy lands in March.

Sugar market forecast: raw, white, sweeteners

Sugar in 2026 is a surplus market, but the headline hides a lot: energy, Brazilian cane allocation and European supply all pull the picture in different ways.

Sugar markets stabilise after Q1 surplus pressure, with Brazil and energy dynamics shaping the outlook

Raw and white sugar spent most of Q1 under surplus pressure before stabilising into early March, as strengthening energy markets provided the counterweight.

Sunflower oil market forecast 2026: prices firm on tight supply as Argentine shipments to Europe surge

FOB 6-port crude sunflower oil has risen to USD 1,485/mt from around USD 1,400 at the start of the year, on tight supply and firm Brent crude prices.

Sweet whey powder forecast 2026: European prices overtake US levels as costs rise and Middle East demand accelerates

Sweet whey powder shows a clear Europe and US divide in early 2026, with European prices well above the subdued picture first expected as energy costs rise.

Tapioca starch market forecast 2026: lower cassava yields and Laos competition pressure prices

Cassava production for 2025/26 is estimated at around 22.1 million tonnes, down from roughly 28 million in 2024/25, on lower yields per hectare across origins.

Tomato paste market forecast 2026: Q2 expected stable, but California and energy risks loom for H2

Tomato paste prices are expected to soften modestly in Q2 2026 from firm early-year levels, with the market adequately supplied and not chasing volume.

Vegetable oil market forecast: olive, rapeseed, soybean, sunflower, palm, coconut, palm kernel oil

Oils and fats in 2026 are pulled two ways: large harvests and record stocks point to comfort, while the energy complex pulls in the opposite direction.

Walnut market forecast 2026: abundant California supply offers buyers a favourable window

California's 2025 walnut crop came in at 801,432 inshell tons, 13% above the USDA estimate, leaving prices below production cost for many growers.

Whey permeate forecast 2026: stable conditions expected as WPC80 and WPI production stays elevated

Whey permeate is one of the steadier dairy products heading into 2026, largely insulated from volatility as high WPC80 and WPI output keeps supply flowing.

WMP forecast 2026: EU and New Zealand prices converge for first time since 2021

European whole milk powder follows butter and SMP together with milk availability. With butter rangebound and SMP firm, the WMP outlook has shifted up.

WPI price forecast 2026: EU prices approach €25,000/mt as GLP-1 demand adds to supply strain

Whey protein isolate demand keeps outstripping capacity, with European facilities running flat out and no realistic path to increase output meaningfully.

Supply tightens and shipments slow across tree nut markets

Cashew prices are moving, Brazil nut supply is tightening and pecan shipments are down 35% year on year. What is driving each tree nut market this month.

Australian beef exports rise as tight US supply boosts demand

Australian beef exports rose 11% year on year in February to 130,884 tonnes, as tight US cattle supply and a 42% price discount lifted global demand.

Tight skimmed milk powder supply supports global prices

Skimmed milk powder stays firmly supported as limited US and Oceania supply meets steady import demand, with the EU Vesper Price Index at €2,600 per tonne.

Vegetable oils rise with Brent before sharp reversal

Brent climbed to nearly $99 a barrel on Middle East tension, lifting palm, soybean, rapeseed and sunflower oil, before energy prices abruptly reversed.

High EU sugar stocks keep market under pressure

EU sugar stocks have reached their highest level for this point in three years as the beet campaign ends, keeping the market under sustained pressure.

US wholesale beef prices rise as slaughter slows and supplies tighten

US wholesale beef prices rose to the highest level since September as packers cut slaughter amid heavy losses and tighter cattle supply.

Coffee futures slip below $3/lb as supply improves, Middle East conflict adds volatility

Arabica futures fell to $2.83/lb as certified stock availability improved and roasters held back purchases, with the Middle East conflict adding volatility.

European cheese prices keep climbing as buyers chase limited availability

European Gouda, Mozzarella and Cheddar all firmed into early March 2026, even with milk running about 5% above year-ago levels, as capacity stays the limit.

Sugar prices near multi-year lows as global surplus holds, crude volatility adds uncertainty

Sugar hit multi-year lows in mid-February before recovering, with Sugar No. 11 at $13.93/lb on 3 March as crude volatility offset a persistent global surplus.

How escalation around the Strait of Hormuz is reshaping oil shipping

Escalation around the Strait of Hormuz is disrupting global oil shipping, insurance markets, and freight flows as tanker traffic collapses.

Middle East conflict pushes vegetable oil prices higher as freight costs climb

Brent crude's rise after Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz is lifting vegetable oils across the board, with freight costs climbing on key shipping routes.

How Middle East conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruption could impact food commodity market

Middle East tensions and restricted movement through the Strait of Hormuz have pushed Brent crude higher. How that could reach food commodity markets.

Thailand's sugar output set to fall as disease and labour shortages reshape next season

Thailand faces a meaningful cane contraction in 2026/27, as white leaf disease, reduced migrant labour and a shift to other crops reshape the coming season.

European poultry market remains under pressure after brief February recovery

A brief February recovery on the return of school meals and monthly salaries has not reversed the broader downward trend in European poultry prices.

European sugar producers feel the squeeze as market prices stay low

Tereos and Südzucker have both reported major financial setbacks, with Tereos posting a €598 million operating loss for the first nine months of 2025/26.

Tree nut markets in early 2026: cashews, macadamias, almonds, and pecans

Tree nut markets are picking up into Q2, with buyers and sellers across cashews, macadamias, almonds and pecans working out strategy. Where each one stands.

Dairy markets firm on scarce offers and strong export demand

A shortage of offers is lifting butter and SMP prices across Europe, the US and Oceania, as sellers export aggressively or hold back rather than quote.

Blank sailings climb to 18% as carriers manage post-CNY capacity

Carriers pulled 125 of 710 scheduled sailings between February 9 and March 15, an 18% cancellation rate, to stop post-Chinese New Year rates falling further.

Cocoa prices fall 35% in a month as West African supply overhang deepens

Cocoa has fallen about 35% in a month and sits 70% below year-ago levels, with ICE EU March 2026 at £2,438/t as unsold beans build in Ghana and Ivory Coast.

Sugar markets hit five-year lows as global surplus weighs on prices

Raw sugar fell to $13.86/lb and white to $403/mt, the lowest since October 2020, as a projected global surplus and rising European stocks weigh on the market.

Palm oil prices decline on weak February exports; POC conference flags 2026 supply risks

BMD CPO settled at $1,030/mt from $1,043/mt on weak early-February exports and Lunar New Year, while the POC Malaysia conference flagged 2026 supply risks.

South American supply boom reshapes corn oil trade flows

A record Argentine harvest and strong Brazilian estimates keep corn oil under pressure, with Conab revising Brazil's crop up to 138.87 million metric tons.

WPC80 shortage intensifies with producers in control of pricing and allocation

Global whey protein concentrate 80 market reaches critical tightness with structural shortage affecting all whey products. Producers control pricing as domestic

EU sugar production projected to fall 10% as consumption uncertainty clouds market outlook

EU sugar production is projected to fall to 15.4 million tonnes in 2026/27 from 17.05 million, on 7% lower plantings and less favourable growing conditions.

Polish chicken prices fall as Avian Influenza outbreak triggers 2.79 million bird cull

Poland reported 22 new avian influenza outbreaks and culled 2.79 million birds, sending Polish chicken breast prices down 3.7% while French prices rose.

U.S. Treasury's 45Z guidance tilts biofuel policy toward North American crop oils

New 45Z guidance restricts eligible fuels to US, Canadian and Mexican feedstocks and removes ILUC penalties, lending support to CBOT soybean oil prices.

U.S. broiler production forecast at 1.5% growth for 2026

US broiler production is projected at 48.7 billion pounds in 2026, up 1.5%, a downward revision from 2.1% after LEAP analysts adjusted their weight assumptions.

US calf crop falls 1.6% as beef supply tightens through 2026

USDA's cattle report put the 2025 US calf crop down 1.6% at just under 32.9 million head, with beef cow inventories off 1.0% and supply tight through 2026.

US beef cattle on feed placements decline 5.4% in December as margin pressure weighs

December cattle on feed placements fell 5.4% to 1.55 million head, as feedyards under margin pressure cut back on sourcing replacement stock.

European poultry fillet prices face continued pressure after holiday demand fades

Chicken breast and fillet prices fell across Europe in January as holiday demand faded, extending a decline that began in the second half of 2025.

European sugar producers face mounting losses as Süedzucker reports €136 million deficit

Süedzucker posted a €136 million operating loss in its sugar division against €23 million a year earlier, while Nordzucker recorded a €56 million loss.

EU egg market faces structural supply pressure as avian influenza culls and trade restrictions tighten availability

Empty shelves across Austria, Germany and France signal structural supply tightness in EU egg markets. HPAI culls, slow restocking

India's sugar production jumps 22% while global surplus widens to 4.7 million tonnes

India's sugar production rose 22% to 15.9 million tonnes through mid-January, while analysts widened the 2025/26 global surplus forecast to 4.7 million tonnes.

US cattle placements projected to decline 4.9% in December amid border restrictions

December cattle placements are projected at 1.56 million head, down 4.9% year on year, as Mexico border restrictions and weak feedyard margins weigh.

European cheese prices hold steady as butter markets collapse, shifting dairy valorization dynamics

Cheese holds firm around €3,000/mt despite peak seasonal production, while collapsing butter prices shift dairy valorisation calculations toward protein.

US broiler availability hits record high as wholesale prices weaken in Q4

US per capita broiler availability hit a record 18.9 pounds boneless in Q3 2025, up 3.5% year on year, while wholesale prices languished through Q4.

Brazilian sugar mills drop allocation to 35.5% in seventh consecutive fortnight decline

Brazilian sugar allocation fell for a seventh consecutive fortnight to 35.5%, down from 44.6% a year earlier, raising questions about the 2026/27 season.

Cattle feeder margins deteriorate despite strong beef demand outlook

U.S. cattle feeders face losses exceeding $500/head by early 2026 after Tyson's Nebraska plant closure alters margin dynamics.

European butter prices head for sub-€4,000/mt in Q1 as surplus hits 93,700mt

European butter closes 2025 under pressure with the EU Vesper Price Index at €4,090/mt, and a 93,700 mt surplus pointing below €4,000/mt in the first quarter.

Indian importers secure 150,000 metric tons monthly of South American soy oil

Indian buyers have committed to more than 150,000 tonnes of South American soybean oil a month from April to July 2025, fearing tighter palm and sunflower.

Trump's tariff plans create tight timeline for US importers

Trump has announced 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada plus 10% on China from January 20th, leaving US importers a tight six-week window to prepare.

WPC80 and WPI prices hit record highs on GLP-1 medication demand

WPC80 prices hit €13,000/mt and WPI reaches €21,500/mt as GLP-1 medication demand creates shortages in global whey protein markets.

Coffee futures hold range despite record December delivery amid tariff relief

Coffee traded a 370-390 range as a record December delivery inversion worth a $21 million premium offset US tariff relief on Brazilian coffee imports.

European sugar processors announce 2026 acreage cuts following stock accumulation

European processors have announced larger-than-expected 2026 acreage cuts on high stocks, while Brazilian mills wrap up early with 120 units finished.

Coffee futures fall 16.55 cents amid partial US tariff relief

Coffee futures fell 16.55 cents to $376.6 US cents/lb after the White House announced tariff exemptions that excluded both Brazil and India from relief.

European butter surplus climbs to 106,000 metric tons

European butter production surged 5.09% in 2025 to leave a 106,000 mt surplus, with cream cheap at €5,500/mt and buyers already covered for their needs.

US whey protein shortage is pushing prices to record levels

A critical shortage of US WPC80 and WPI is forcing global buyers into European markets, as GLP-1 medication demand drives whey protein consumption higher.

Bullish mood for palm and rivals after the IPOC Conference in Indonesia

BMD crude palm oil climbed to $993/mt after the IPOC conference in Indonesia, where views diverged on production declines, land seizures and biodiesel.

European sugar producers cut beet area in emergency move

Suedzucker is offering a €10/tonne premium to cut 2026 beet area as European sugar falls to €425/tonne, while French growers battle virus yellows.

Shipping rates from Asia to Europe climb 3-4% on major routes

Shipping rates from Asia to Europe increased 3-4% on major routes as carriers manage capacity and 2026 contract negotiations begin.

Broiler market under pressure as thigh meat demand weakens

Boneless skinless thigh meat demand has fallen below its baseline for the first time in two years, with prices projected to drop 15-20% through 2026.

Coffee futures hold near $4 amid Supreme Court tariff uncertainty

Coffee futures ended the week at 393.15 US cents per pound, within reach of $4, as the Supreme Court weighs the legality of tariffs imposed under IEEPA.

European cheese exports surge as dollar strength reshapes global trade flows

European cheese has regained export competitiveness as a stronger dollar pushes Asian buyers from US to EU suppliers, clearing stocks and steadying prices.

Record yields drive European sugar producers to cut 2026 output

Major European sugar producers announce significant production cuts for 2026 as record yields and elevated stocks create supply pressures.

Western Europe paperboard demand drops in sharp contrast to other regions

Western Europe's paperboard demand fell sharply in August 2025 while other regions held stable or grew, according to EMGE's latest regional figures.

European SMP prices supported by euro weakness as currency movements influence global markets

EUR/USD moving from 1.17 to 1.14-1.15 is supporting European skim milk powder prices despite weak fundamentals, with currency outweighing supply and demand.

Germany and Netherlands eye policy shifts that could reshape European biodiesel demand

Germany and the Netherlands are weighing an end to double counting for advanced biofuels, a change that could significantly reshape EU biodiesel demand.

EU proposes six-month grace period for cocoa deforestation law

The EU will propose six months of leeway on its deforestation law rather than the longer delay announced in September, with simpler smallholder requirements.

Palm oil drops $50/mt on B50 doubts and weak demand

BMD spot crude palm oil fell $50 to $974/mt as doubts grew over Indonesia's B50 timeline and Malaysian stocks rose, with Indian buyers shifting to cheaper oils.

US whey protein concentrate market reaches record prices as spot availability becomes critically low

US WPC80 has become virtually impossible to source as temporary factory downtime creates a shortage, pushing spot prices to a record $6.35 per pound.

Exchange rate shift sends US dairy prices into sharp decline

NFDM fell sharply as the exchange rate turned against US exports, with the dollar gaining and the euro losing ground to make US product less competitive.

Trump-Xi meeting drives grain prices higher as markets anticipate soybean trade resumption

US grain futures rallied ahead of the Trump and Xi meeting, with CBOT soybeans jumping to 1,078 cents a bushel from 1,006 two weeks earlier on purchase hopes.

Sunflower oil prices reach 10-month high as tight supply persists

November crude sunflower oil reached $1,405/mt from $1,360/mt, with FOB Ukraine at $635/mt, the highest since December 2024, on harvest disappointments.

Germany considers ending UCOME double-counting by January 2026

Germany plans to end double-counting for advanced biofuels including UCOME from January 2026 under RED III, potentially reshaping European biodiesel.

Butter markets show temporary stability but underlying weakness remains

European butter trades below €5,000/mt as abundant milk pressures dairy, with the EU VPI at €4,900/mt and SMP and WMP prices expected to decline further.

Ground beef prices spike to $300 per cwt as grinds complex rallies

73% lean ground beef jumped from just over $270 to around $300 per cwt in a week, but analysts expect the rally in the grinds complex to prove fleeting.

Black Sea sunflower crop concerns drive prices higher as supply outlook tightens

Sunflower oil rose $20/mt to $1,375/mt as Ukrainian crop estimates fell to 10.5-11.2 mmt from 12.7 mmt last year on poor yields and excessive rainfall.

Cocoa demand destruction confirmed as Q3 grind numbers reveal global decline

Q3 cocoa grind figures confirm demand destruction, with European grind down 4.8% to 337,353 mt and Asia down 17% as high prices hit chocolate consumption.

Rotterdam and Antwerp port congestion delays container shipments through October 2025

Strikes and protests caused severe congestion at Rotterdam and Antwerp ports in October 2025. Container vessels face delays until month-end..

EU considers 300% expansion of Ukrainian egg import quotas amid food safety concerns

The EU weighs a 300% expansion of Ukrainian egg import quotas as antibiotic residue detections raise food safety concerns for industrial egg users.

HPAI returns to Northern Europe after months of calm

Avian influenza outbreaks have returned to the Netherlands and Denmark, marking the start of the winter risk period as shell egg prices move seasonally up.

European cheese prices fall as milk production surpluses mount

European cheese prices decline across Gouda, Mozzarella, Cheddar and Emmental as milk production surpluses of 5-7% YOY create abundant supply

Indonesia's B50 biodiesel program could reshape palm oil supply in 2026

Indonesia's proposed B50 biodiesel mandate would need around 3 million extra metric tons of palm oil, raising the prospect of tighter exports in 2026.

Dry European weather and China frost risk test global grain outlook

European grain regions face a predominantly dry spell on the ECMWF forecast, while China's central corn and soybean belt braces for potential frost damage.

Butter, SMP and WMP tip in buyers' favor amid Q4 oversupply

Global dairy markets favour buyers as heavy stocks meet weak demand, with butter, SMP and WMP prices falling and production cost margins narrowing into Q4.

Whey protein supply runs low as Q4 volumes sell out

Whey proteins are bucking broad dairy weakness as Q4 volumes grow scarce, with WPC80 holding above €12,000/mt and WPI tightening further still.

Cartonboard markets show regional divergence as capacity shifts reshape supply dynamics

Western Europe and Asia face contrasting cartonboard market dynamics as new capacity and mill closures reshape regional supply.

Palm oil prices strengthen as Malaysian stocks tighten and Trump signals renewed China trade talks

Palm oil prices strengthened in October as Malaysian stocks tighten and Trump signals soybeans will be key in China talks.

Polish sugar beet growers earn €52.55 per tonne, highest in Europe with EU subsidy support

Polish sugar beet farmers receive €52.55 per tonne, the highest in Europe, while still drawing EU subsidies designed to support less competitive regions.

European cheese markets face downward pressure as supply outpaces demand

European cheese is under pressure with Gouda at €3,170/mt and Mozzarella at €3,120/mt, as buyers move hand-to-mouth and high milk prices squeeze margins.

Argentina's tax holiday triggers massive soybean sales, pressuring global vegetable oil markets

Argentina's brief export tax suspension triggered 1.3 million tonnes of soybean sales to China and 300,000 tonnes of soybean oil to India in three days.

Palm oil markets face competing pressures as policy shifts collide with tightening supply signals

BMD crude palm oil fell to $1,026/mt from $1,038/mt as Argentina's tax suspension triggered soybean oil sales, even as Malaysian production data hinted tighter.

European whey protein concentrate hits price ceiling as production declines persist

European WPC80 has stabilised around €12,150/mt while US markets keep climbing, with production down more than 10% across regions on processor cutbacks.

Coconut oil prices drop $240/mt as demand weakens across key markets

EXW Manila coconut oil fell $240/mt to $2,400/mt as weak demand pressured origin suppliers, while CIF Rotterdam moved the other way to $2,675/mt.

EU deforestation rules create compliance challenges for cocoa exporters

The EU deforestation regulation poses major compliance challenges for cocoa exporters and their tracking systems, though a second delay may bring relief.

EU sugar prices tumble €25 per tonne as harvest outlook brightens

European sugar corrected sharply, with prices falling about €25 per tonne across the EU beet belt on exceptionally good harvest conditions this season.

US dairy prices tumble as global competition intensifies

US butter has dropped to $1.805/lb with NFDM at its weakest in months, as European markets soften and EUR/USD shifts intensify global export competition.

Coffee prices break trading range as Brazil weather and supply tightness drive market higher

Coffee prices rose 23.2 cents/lb to $396.85 per pound as ICE certified stocks fell 23,000 bags and Brazil's rainy season finally returns.

Palm oil prices rise on stronger crude oil and rival vegetable oils

Palm oil prices increased to MYR 4,383/mt driven by stronger Brent crude and rival oils, though gains remain limited amid complex vegetable oil dynamics.

US dairy markets fall through support levels as milk oversupply weighs on prices

CME butter fell through the $2/lb support level in a bearish week, as milk production up 3.45% year on year keeps expanding the pool and crushing prices.

European sugar harvest begins with mixed crop conditions and trade uncertainties

Europe's sugar beet harvest has begun across most regions, with processors ramping up against variable crop conditions and shifting trade policy.

Whey markets return to familiar patterns as protein concentrates dominate demand

Whey markets settle into familiar patterns as WPC80 dominates demand while permeate and lactose struggle. Analysis of Q4 positioning and trade flows.

Global dairy markets tumble as demand weakness triggers widespread price declines

Dairy markets face sharp declines as demand weakness triggers widespread selling. Butter approaches critical $2/lb level while milk powder prices fall over 5% a

Brazil lifts sugar production to five-year high while Europe faces oversupply

Brazil’s Center–South mills pushed sugar output to the highest early-August level in five years, with 55% of cane directed to sugar.

European cheese markets join widespread dairy price declines as buyers retreat

European cheese is driving a broad dairy decline as buyers step back, with Cheddar, Gouda, Mozzarella and Emmental all under pressure from strong production.

China's sugar imports surge while Inner Mongolia records heaviest rainfall since 1956

China's July sugar imports jumped to 740,000 tonnes as record rainfall in Inner Mongolia threatens 30% beet crop losses.

Trump tariffs begin in India, with rice, dairy, and tea amongst products impacted

US tariffs of 50% on most imports from India kick in today, affecting key commodities like basmati rice, spices, pulses, tea and dairy.

Coconut oil prices increase at origin amid supply constraints

EXW Manila coconut oil rose $230/mt in a single week as copra shortages and reduced Philippine exports pushed origin prices up off their recent lows.

Container shipping rates drop 6% in single week as peak season ends

Container spot rates fell 6% in a week as peak season ends, with Shanghai-Rotterdam showing the steepest decline of any major lane on Drewry's index.

Brazil cuts sugar production forecasts as yields decline

Brazil's Center-South has trimmed 2025/26 sugar output estimates to 40.9-41 million tonnes on lower agricultural yields and declining sugar content in cane.

European cheese markets show widening price spreads

European cheese shows €500/mt spreads between buyer bids and seller offers in late August, leaving Cheddar, Gouda and Mozzarella markets under pressure.

Cattle feeding margins hit potential cycle peak amid record corn yields and increased replacement costs

Cattle feeders hit $600+ per head returns from record corn yields and strong fed cattle prices, but surging feeder cattle costs to $344/cwt.

Indonesian palm oil stocks remain at normal levels as production exceeds estimates

Indonesian palm oil stocks have held at normal seasonal levels after a surprising 15% jump in June production, confounding earlier estimates of tightness.

CIF Rotterdam coconut oil follows origin decline with $250/mt fall

CIF Rotterdam coconut oil drops to $2,650/mt after holding steady, as Philippines origin pressure forces European importers to reduce prices.

Coconut oil prices collapse 34% in one week as supply dynamics shift

Coconut oil prices plummet from $2,600/mt to $1,837/mt at origin while CIF Rotterdam remains elevated, a $1,000+ arbitrage gap.

Sugar contract negotiations see delayed activity in European market this year

European sugar contracting is running later than the usual June-July window, as elevated 2024 production leaves higher stock availability across the market.

Sugar prices drop to 16 cents as Brazil's Center-South production picks up pace

Sugar prices decline to near 16 cents/lb driven by Brazil's Center-South production increase and potential Indian export expansion.

China UCO exports rise as US policy limits biodiesel feedstock imports

Chinese UCO exports jumped to 262,000 mt in June while US imports plummeted to 93,524 mt following new biofuel credit policies.

CBOT soybean prices reach new lows amid China demand concerns

CBOT soybean prices hit new lows at 969 cents per bushel as China plans 10 million tonne import cuts, with weather volatility expected through August.

Trump’s tariff deadline has passed: How it’s affecting agricultural commodity trade, country by country

Trump’s August 1 tariff deadline has passed. Explore how agricultural exports are affected, with a country-by-country breakdown.

US butter stocks drop despite rising milk supply as demand outpaces expectations

US butter stocks declined in June despite a significant increase in milk production and milk fat levels, highlighting strong consumption.

European butter market under pressure amid summer slowdown

European butter prices edge below €7,000/mt as summer trade stays subdued, with sellers holding out rather than cutting further in hope of an August pickup.

How EUR/USD exchange rate shifts are affecting global dairy prices

A move from 1.17 to 1.15 in EUR/USD has already shifted export competitiveness and price levels across European dairy, from SMP through to butter.

Increased inventories in the palm oil market due to slower exports and strong production in Malaysia

Malaysian palm oil inventories rise as production increases 5.52% while exports decline 9.23%. CPO prices drop to $983/mt.

Core reason U.S. beef production won’t rebound until 2027

Learn why U.S. beef production won't rebound until 2027, what's driving the delay, and how procurement teams should strategically prepare.

Port congestion hits European hubs while new US trade deals impact supply chains

Rotterdam, Antwerp, and Hamburg experience container delays, while Trump's 15% EU tariff deal reshapes global commodity flows.

Tracking Trump’s US agri-commodity trade tariffs

US President Donald Trump is set to implement taxes as high as 50% on agricultural imports unless deals can be negotiated before August 1.

Why are U.S. butter prices declining while Europe and New Zealand’s remain high?

US butter prices have fallen sharply on oversupply while Europe and New Zealand hold at elevated levels, showing how far regional supply balances diverge.

U.S.–Japan trade deal secures key win for dairy exporters amid global market pressure

Learn how this deal provides critical relief for U.S. cheese, whey, and lactose producers facing global competition in Japan.

What a 50% US tariff could mean for Brazilian orange juice, coffee, and beef trade

US President Donald Trump’s threat to impose a 50% tax on all Brazilian exports could significantly affect global supply and pricing.

August 1 dairy tariffs set to reshape US import markets as European butter hits €7,000

With August 1 approaching, dairy tariff increases are building market tension as European butter reaches €7,000/mt and US whey faces export uncertainty.

European sugar market adjusts as drought breaks and trade dynamics shift

European sugar beet crops get relief as heatwave ends and rainfall arrives. Expert analysis on weather recovery, trading dynamics, and policy impacts.

Biodiesel prices edge higher as feedstock costs rise amid tariff deadline pressure

FAME0 gains $6/mt to $1,322/mt while UCO prices surge. HVO softens as August tariff deadlines approach. LSGO drops $84/mt on trade war fears.

Global dairy markets grapple with weakness and uncertain direction

Global dairy markets face widespread weakness across butter, milk powder categories. Analysis of uncertain market direction and changing fundamentals.

US-EU trade tensions: impact on dairy, olive oil, and baked goods

US President Donald Trump's proposed 30% tariffs on European goods and the EU's countermeasures could significantly impact global food commodity trading.

USDA drastically revises soybean oil outlook as biofuel regulations reshape US demand

USDA projects record 15.5 billion pounds soybean oil for biofuels, cuts exports from 1.7B to 700M bushels. Palm oil and sunflower oil rally.

Whey protein markets signal forward strength as Q4 anticipation builds

Whey protein markets shift focus to Q4 positioning as trade policy concerns grow. Analysis of WPC80, WPI trends, and forward buying strategies.

US dairy markets stabilize as tariff extension removes immediate trade pressure

US dairy markets stabilize after tariff extension as heat wave impacts supply. Weekly analysis of CME trading, butter prices, and divergent export trends.

Biodiesel markets stabilize as "Big Beautiful Bill" reshapes North American feedstock trade

US biofuel law limits feedstocks to North America, challenging Chinese UCO and Brazilian tallow suppliers. LSGO rises $18/mt. Get Vesper's analysis.

European cheese markets adapt strategies as supply pressures mount across categories

European cheese markets face supply pressures as producers adapt strategies. Analysis of cheddar, mozzarella, gouda trading amid currency headwinds.

Summer calm masks powder procurement urgency as egg markets stabilize

European egg prices resist summer drops while US processing hits 2025 highs. Powder buyers face mounting urgency as forward contracts resume at higher prices.

Vegetable oil markets rally as US biodiesel regulations and tariff threats reshape global trade

Palm oil and soybean oil rally as US limits biodiesel credits to North American feedstocks. Tariffs threaten global trade flows.

Biodiesel markets show mixed signals as geopolitical tensions support LSGO prices

FAME0 and UCOME rise on higher LSGO prices while RME drops on harvest pressure, with German HVO demand expected to quadruple this year.

European whey markets face demand drought as Chinese buyers return to US suppliers

European whey markets face challenges as Chinese buyers return to US suppliers. Analysis of sweet whey powder, protein concentrates, and trade dynamics.

Second half of 2025 opens with dairy market weakness as seasonal pressures mount

H2 2025 dairy market analysis shows widespread weakness despite mixed fundamentals. GDT auction results, butter-cream disconnect, and seasonal pressures.

Vegetable oil markets face pressure as Brent crude weakens and supply forecasts rise

Palm oil, soybean oil, and rapeseed markets decline as Brent crude drops to $67.61/barrel. Get expert analysis on supply forecasts.

Biodiesel prices rebound after sharp decline on Middle East ceasefire

Week 26: biodiesel prices fell hard on the Israel-Iran ceasefire before recovering, as European regulatory changes reshaped HVO and UCO demand.

Oils sector calm for now: 3 key takeaways from Israel-Iran conflict so far

Oil prices climbed Wednesday after Trump announced China can continue buying Iranian oil. Analysis of Middle East tensions, vegetable oils volatility, biofuel m

European sugar market faces weather challenges as 2025-26 pricing negotiations begin

European sugar beet production faces extreme weather as 2025-26 price negotiations begin. Import dynamics and drought concerns shape outlook.

Vegetable oils market declines as Middle East tensions cool

Palm oil, soy oil, and rapeseed prices fall as crude oil drops $5/barrel amid Israel-Iran ceasefire. Get Vesper's Week 26 market analysis.

Biodiesel prices strengthen on geopolitical tensions and EPA mandate boost

Week 25: biodiesel markets strengthen as the Iran conflict lifts the energy complex and the EPA proposes 5.61 billion gallon biofuel blending targets.

Dairy markets face pricing pressures as butter strength contrasts with powder weakness

European butter holds firm despite cream price volatility while milk powders show seasonal weakness, leaving wide spreads between buyers and sellers.

Global whey markets navigate trade uncertainty as Chinese demand shifts between US and Europe

Latest whey powder market trends as Chinese demand shifts between US and Europe. Expert analysis on WPC80, SWP, and WPI.

Vegetable oil prices surge as geopolitical tensions and biofuel mandates drive market volatility

Vegetable oil markets surge as Brent crude hits $73.23/barrel amid Israel-Iran conflict and EPA proposes higher biofuel targets.

Biodiesel prices surge as ISCC certificate suspension rocks European market

Week 24: FOB ARA biodiesel prices climb after ISCC certification is suspended for a major European biorefinery and petroleum diesel fundamentals firm.

European cheese markets enter summer calm after Q3 trading activity

European cheese markets enter summer calm as Q3 trading activity slows. Cheddar, emmental, gouda, and mozzarella prices stabilize amid buyer-seller standoff.

Vegetable oil markets face supply uncertainty as rapeseed crops disappoint

Rapeseed crops disappoint as EU production cut to 18.6M tons. Palm oil pressured by Malaysian inventory while soy complex gains on energy rally.

Biodiesel markets caught in regulatory whirlwind as policy uncertainty deepens

Washington's tariff reversals create biodiesel market paralysis. Congressional incentives pending while feedstock flows shift.

Dairy markets surge as peak milk season ends, butter prices trigger buyer anxiety

Dairy markets rally as Northern Hemisphere exits peak milk production. Butter hits €7,500/mt amid supply fears. Raw milk, cream prices jump.

Whey markets struggle to find middle ground as trade tensions intensify

Whey ingredient prices hit extremes as trade tensions disrupt markets. WPC80 up 255% in 2 years while lactose, WPI show volatile swings.

China's massive Sugar purchases signal market shift as Asian production outlook strengthens

Chinese buyers took an estimated 2.5 million tonnes of raw sugar in May, exhausting the import quota, while Thailand's production outlook strengthens.

Biodiesel markets face mixed pressures as feedstock dynamics shift in late May 2025

European biodiesel prices diverge in late May 2025 as FOB ARA UCOME slips, UCO imports surge 17% and RME strengthens on rapeseed supply concerns.

Global Egg markets show signs of stability as Avian Flu pressures begin to ease

European egg prices defy seasonal expectations while US markets correct following Memorial Day. Avian flu impacts ease as markets show cautious optimism.

US dairy markets show strength amid VUCA environment as Butter prices surge $0.16/lb

US dairy markets rally as butter prices surge $0.16/lb following unexpected cold storage data. NFDM and dry whey gain on weak dollar.

European cheese markets show signs of tightening as Q3 demand accelerates

European cheese prices stabilise as buyers return for June and Q3 volumes, with Mozzarella at €4,130/mt and production constraints looming into the autumn.

Sugar prices under pressure as global surplus expectations dominate market sentiment

Global sugar surplus drives prices lower despite European beet acreage cuts and drought stress. Raw sugar hits $17.2/lb.

Dairy market weekly: Stalemate continues as butter and powder markets seek direction

Weekly VPI: European butter holds at €7,200/mt on rising cream prices while SMP retreats to €2,380/mt, with buyers cautious about second-half trends.

Prices hold firm despite LSGO decline

Prices hold firm despite falling LSGO values as Greenergy suspends UK operations and US grants 163 Small Refinery Exemptions.

US-China tariff relief reshapes global whey and lactose markets

Latest Vesper Price Index shows European WPC80 at €12,000/mt while US prices hover at €9,249/mt amid temporary China tariff reductions.

Biodiesel market watch week 20: UCO prices under pressure on higher supply to EU

Week 20 biodiesel analysis: UCO prices weaken in China and Europe as softer demand meets rising EU supply, with imports up 16.8% on US import tariffs.

European cheese market update: Buyers find no bargains as demand surges

European cheese consumption surges 16.91% YOY, driving unexpected price increases despite peak production. Get the latest on cheddar, gouda, emmental and mozzar

Sugar market analysis: Short-term volatility amidst long-term pressure

Vesper's latest sugar market analysis reveals short-term price support from Brazil's 53% production drop, while long-term bearish pressure looms from India and

Oceanian prices exceed expectations on the GDT

Latest Vesper market report reveals Oceania WMP jumped $365/mt at GDT while European butter falls to €7,100/mt amid peak milk production. Discover critical EU-U

US-China trade tensions create pricing arbitrage opportunities in global dairy markets

Latest Vesper Price Index reveals significant arbitrage opportunities in global dairy markets with EU WPC80 prices 33% higher than US. Discover how shifting tra

Global oils & fats market faces headwinds amid economic contraction and supply chain shifts

Explore Week 19's oils & fats market trends: US economy contracts 0.3%, Brent crude falls to $60.23, Malaysian palm stocks rise 15% while Indonesian exports dro

US-China tariffs disrupt global dairy market: whey markets see 38% price gap

Latest dairy market intelligence reveals significant price divergence as US-China tariffs disrupt global whey supply chains. See how production growth across US

CBOT Soybean Oil Reclaims Premium Over BMD Crude Palm Oil After Prolonged Discount

Soybean oil has moved back above palm oil after a prolonged discount, on shifts in supply patterns, currencies and trade signals across both of these markets.

US dairy markets hold steady amid global economic turbulence, tariff negotiations critical for export outlook

Discover how US dairy markets remain stable amid economic turbulence, with February production trends and 90-day tariff negotiations reshaping export dynamics.

Biodiesel markets react to Trump's tariff pause

Biodiesel markets rebound as Trump pauses tariffs for 90 days while escalating the China trade war to 125%, leaving traders to price fresh uncertainty.

Global dairy market shifts as US-China tariffs reshape whey trade flows

China's 104% tariffs on US whey products are reshaping global dairy trade flows, pushing Chinese buyers toward European suppliers instead.

Global vegetable oil markets disrupted by Trump's 10-50% tariff policy: Palm, Soy, Rapeseed, and Sunflower Oil impacts

Trump's 10 to 50% tariffs are rippling through global vegetable oil markets. What palm, soybean, rapeseed and sunflower oil buyers need to know right now.

US Cocoa tariffs shake global markets: supply squeeze meets trade tensions

New US tariffs of up to 21% on cocoa imports collide with a 40% drop in Ivory Coast production, sending futures tumbling from $9,492 to $7,800.

Global biodiesel markets brace for impact as Trump imposes sweeping tariffs

New Trump tariffs of up to 54% on China trigger 44% retaliatory tax on US soybeans while threatening 2.5MMT of UCO imports.

Global dairy markets face perfect storm: US tariffs, FMD, and supply imbalances

New US tariffs, China's retaliation and foot-and-mouth cases in Europe are converging to reshape global dairy trade patterns and regional supply balances.

Biodiesel markets shaken by Trump's new tariff policies

President Trump's economic emergency declaration introduces tariffs up to 54% on biodiesel imports, threatening Chinese UCO supply chains while creating opportu

Biodiesel market sees positive shift as prices rise and feedstock costs decline

The biodiesel market sees renewed optimism in March 2025, with rising prices, higher liquidity, and improved margins as waste feedstock costs decline.

Butter finds buyers while powder markets struggle

Latest dairy market analysis shows European butter selling rapidly despite price adjustments, while SMP and WMP markets struggle with weak global demand.

Whey protein markets: diverging paths between concentrates and sweet whey powder

Latest whey market analysis reveals supply constraints driving WPC80 and WPI prices, while sweet whey powder buyers remain hesitant ahead of Q2.

RK Singhal says CPO should decrease by $50/mt to attract Indian demand

Palm oil trading volumes stay subdued as prices remain uncompetitive, with Malaysian exports down 7.5% in early March. Vesper forecasts CPO at $1,000/mt.

Coconut oil prices surge amid supply constraints and rising global demand

Coconut oil prices surge to $2,306/mt as Philippine copra shortages meet record US/European demand. January exports reach 140K mt high.

Trade wars trigger global vegetable oil price decline: Vesper's week 10 market analysis

Trump's tariffs drive global veg oil prices down despite tight Malaysian palm stocks. Bearish outlook for palm oil through 2025.

Biodiesel market update: prices decline amid increased Asian supply

Week 8 biodiesel update: Prices drop as Asian imports impact demand. Stay informed on feedstock trends and biofuel policy shifts.

Vegetable oils market analysis – week 8: palm oil prices drop amid lower Indian imports

Palm oil prices drop as India’s imports hit a 14-year low, while Indonesia’s exports surge. Get the latest market insights.

EU enforces final anti-dumping tariffs on Chinese Biodiesel – market reacts

EU enforces final anti-dumping tariffs on Chinese biodiesel, cutting exports to record lows and reshaping global trade. Explore the market impact.

Palm Oil market surges as stocks fall short of expectations

Palm oil prices surge as Malaysian production and stocks fall below expectations, while Indonesian exports drop sharply. Explore the market impact.

Egg Prices Increase Amid Avian Influenza Crisis: What You Need to Know

Egg prices are skyrocketing as Avian Influenza disrupts global supply chains. Discover to what extent egg shortages are worsening.

Key Drivers Behind the Rise in European White Sugar Prices and What to Expect in 2025

European white sugar prices have risen since October 2024 on supply constraints, adverse weather and strong global demand. What to expect through 2025.

The Global Impact of Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD) on the Dairy Market

Explore the impact of Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD) on the global dairy market, from price shifts and buyer preferences to trade bans.

Global Biodiesel and Vegetable Oil Markets See Mixed Movements Amid Political and Economic Developments

Explore the latest trends in biodiesel and vegetable oil markets, including price drops, regulatory updates, and global supply forecasts.

How the Dairy Market is Reacting to Foot-and-Mouth Disease in Germany: Impact on Butter, SMP, and WMP Exports and Prices

Explore how foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in Germany is disrupting the dairy market. Get insights on the impact on butter, SMP, and WMP prices

Whey Protein Prices Remain High: Market Adjustments and Geopolitical Tensions

Geopolitical uncertainty and shifting market dynamics impacting the whey protein market. Get insights on the 2025 outlook and price trends.

Butter Market Faces Uncertainty: Price Declines and Bumpy Road Ahead

Explore the uncertainty in the butter market, with expected volatility ahead. Stay informed on what is shaping the 2025 outlook

Heavy Rains and B40 Mandate Drive Palm Oil Prices Higher, RKS Insights Is Bullish

Explore why palm oil prices are rising, with insights on the B40 policy and RKS market outlook. Stay ahead with the latest palm oil trends.

Biodiesel Market Update: Key Trends Driving Price Dynamics

Biodiesel prices have dropped sharply on softer demand and a steep decline in used cooking oil values. The key trends now shaping pricing across regions.

European Sugar Market Update: Is This the Optimal Buying Window for European Buyers?

The JRC MARS bulletin revised the EU27 sugar beet yield forecast up to 75.4 tonnes per hectare, above September's 74.7 and the five-year average of 73.2.

3 Key Drivers Behind Rising Palm Oil Prices

Palm oil prices surge as Malaysian supply tightens and demand rises, boosted by bullish market sentiment from the IPOC event.

U.S. Clean Fuels Tax Credit (45Z) Guidance Looms, Poised to Shake Up Vegetable Oil and Biofuel Markets

Explore the 45Z tax credit's impact on biofuels, U.S.-sourced feedstocks, and global vegetable oil trade as industry awaits new guidance.

Sucrose Levels Are Falling Below the 5-Year Average in Parts of Europe Due to Unfavorable Weather Patterns

Heavy rainfall and humidity in Germany and France are causing sucrose levels in sugar beets to fall below the 5-year average.

Canadian Canola Shipments Rise Amid Chinese Buyers' Uncertainty Over Antidumping Investigation

Canadian canola shipments surge amid Chinese antidumping concerns, as MATIF rapeseed prices rise and ICE Canola holds steady. Explore the market impact.

Sugar Prices Remain Elevated as CS Brazil Falls Short: Discover How Future Forecasts Impact the Market

CS Brazil’s sugar production drops 16.21% YoY in September on unfavorable weather and lower cane crush, keeping global sugar prices elevated.

POME Market Update: Price Movements and Regulatory Changes

The latest insights on BMD Crude Palm Oil prices, Malaysia's palm oil stocks, and rising POME prices and Indonesia's new export regulations.

Upward Pressure for Global Lactose Prices

Global lactose prices rise due to tightening supply and strong demand, with the EU and US Vesper Price Indices reflecting increased costs.

How Middle East Tensions Are Shaping the Biodiesel and Feedstock Markets

Explore the latest trends in the EU biodiesel and feedstock markets, influenced by fluctuations in LSGO prices amid Middle East tensions.

Palm Oil Hits Yearly High Amid Surging Brent Crude Prices

Palm oil prices hit a yearly high, climbing above 4,300 MYR per metric ton, as Brent crude oil surges 12.1% on Middle East geopolitical tensions.

Lower Sugar Production Forecasts: Where Will Q1 2025 Supply Come From?

Brazil’s recent drought and fires have reduced sugar production estimates for the 2024/25 season to 39 MMT, down from 40 MMT.

EUDR-compliant S.G. Low Moah Crude Palm Oil Benchmark Rises Week-Over-Week

Vesper's EUDR-compliant S.G. Low Moah crude palm oil benchmark rose week over week, with BMD CPO November futures climbing to MYR 4,074/mt from MYR 3,766/mt.

India's Import Duty Hike: Impact on Global Vegetable Oil Prices

India raises import duties on edible oils, impacting palm oil and global vegetable oil prices. Download our market highlights for free.

European Butter Prices Hit Record Highs – What Do Butter Price Forecasts Say?

European butter prices reach an all-time high of €8000/mt. Discover key factors driving this rise and what butter price forecasts predict.

Vegetable Oils Prices Down as Brent Crude Oil Hits Lowest Level This Year

Brent crude oil hits a yearly low, leading to a decline in palm oil, soybean oil, and other vegetable oil benchmarks. View the latest prices.

Cheese Market Stabilizes After Surge: What Buyers Need to Know About Price Trends and Forecasts

Discover current price trends for Cheese - After a rapid surge, cheese prices have stabilized, raising questions about sustainability.

Rising Global Sugar Deficit Forecasted

Discover how recent policy shifts in India and severe fires in Brazil are impacting sugar supply - forecasted deficit of 3.58 MMT for 2024/25.

BMD Palm Maintains Tight Spread with CBOT Soy Oil Amid Historically Low June and July (est. by Vesper) Indonesia Stocks

Explore how BMD palm oil prices are maintaining a tight spread with CBOT soybean oil amid supply and demand shifts in Indonesia.

Animal Fats Prices Fail to Grow with Veg Oil Prices Due to Pressure from Low Demand

Vegetable oil prices are rising on higher Brent crude, US weather risk and Indonesian biofuel mandates, while animal fats stay flat on weak demand.

Olive Oil Price Forecasts: Market Shifts as Stocks Deplete in Italy and Spain

Italian olive oil stocks are running low, prompting increased imports from Spain to meet demand. Discover the impact on olive oil prices.

Is the Global Sugar Market on the Brink Amid Mounting Uncertainties?

Explore the latest insights on the global sugar market's volatility amid Brazil's drought and policy uncertainties in India.

Milk Prices Expected to Stay High Due to Worldwide Supply Constraints

Discover how rising temperatures, bluetongue disease, and a reduced dairy herd are driving milk shortages and price increases.

Will CBOT Soybean Oil's Bearish Price Trends Persist Following WASDE's Bearish Soy Update?

Uncover the reasons behind the CBOT soybean oil price drop and how supply, farmer actions, and market sentiment could impact future prices.

How will India’s and Brazil’s Sugar Production Projections Impact Global Prices?

Learn how India’s and Brazil’s sugar production forecasts may impact global prices, and explore Vesper’s price forecast predictions.

Weather Drives Volatility in CBOT Soybean Prices: Discover Vesper's AI-Driven Price Forecasts for the Next Six Months

Discover how weather and geopolitical events are impacting CBOT soybean prices, and learn what Vesper's price forecasts are predicting.

More Attention to Sustainable Aviation Fuel as EU Excludes It from Antidumping Duties

Discover how the European Commission's latest anti-dumping measures impact biodiesel markets and why SAF is gaining strategic importance.

GDT Auction Sees Modest Increase in Price Index, Driven by Fats and Cheddar

The latest GDT auction shows a modest 0.4% increase in the price index, driven by milk fats and cheddar, while milk powders declined.

Trump Sends CBOT Beans to Multiyear Lows?

Soybean prices in Chicago and Brazil hit multiyear lows despite the USDA lowering its projections for soybean production and ending stocks.

Early signs of trouble ahead in the global sugar market

The sugar market sees a price rise due to concerns over CS Brazil's 24/25 sugar output potentially falling short from early drought.

Soybean market update: fluctuating weather conditions and robust supply impact prices

Soybean Oil prices fall on CBOT and the Vesper Argentina Forward Price Index due to fluctuating U.S. weather conditions and strong LATAM supply.

Butter Market Update: Tight Supply and Steady Demand Keep Prices High

The EU Vesper Price Index for butter stands at €6,600/mt EXW as of June 19, 2024, with Oceania at €6,797 and the US at €6,466. The drivers behind the levels.

European biodiesel prices are strengthening due to strong LSGO prices

Rising LSGO demand, geopolitical tensions, and potential Dutch HBE ticket policy changes are driving up European biodiesel prices, Vesper reports.

Biodiesel Prices Drop from Highs Amid LSGO Decline

Despite a recent decline, biodiesel values remain elevated, influenced by the Israel-Hamas conflict and OPEC+'s production decisions.

Accelerated Sugarcane Milling in Brazil and Its Global Impact

Discover how dry weather has accelerated sugarcane milling in Central-South Brazil, boosting sugar production and impacting global markets.

Dairy Market: European liquids prices are through the roof, with cream reaching extremely high

Discover the latest trends in the European dairy market. Declining milk production and more buyers influencing butter, SMP, and WMP prices.

Palm Oil Update: Higher Freight Rates and Improved Production

Stay informed with the latest in the palm oil market. Explore the impact of increased freight rates and enhanced production on the industry.

Biodiesels and feedstock up, EU biofuel processing margins still tight

The latest in EU biodiesel dynamics: Prices firm amid rising feedstock costs and tight margins, with transport challenges affecting market

Global Palm Oil Prices Slide Amidst Recovering Production and Export Challenges

Explore the decline in global palm oil prices due to increased Malaysian production and reduced exports, impacting stock levels.

Biodiesel Market Update: Feed Prices are Firm, but the Trading Activity is Limited

Biodiesel market update: EU biodiesel prices drop amidst increasing Argentine SME imports, while feedstock price remain stable.

Prices plunge in the sugar market, as supply concern fades

Sugar prices fell sharply last week, returning to January 2023 levels as supply concerns. Get detailed insights on price changes here.

Prices for Biodiesel Fall due to High Crude Oil Supply

Understand the impact of high crude oil supplies, gasoil market shifts, and feedstock price declines on biodiesel markets.

Increase in West-EU Biodiesel Prices Following New Legislations and Import Duties

Explore the significant increase in West-EU biodiesel prices driven by new German legislation and anticipated import duties.

The 24/25 CS Brazilian sugar cane crop season off to a robust start

Discover the latest updates on Brazil's sugar cane crop season. Despite weather challenges, production levels surged in March.

Germany allows HVO100 and B10 sales at gas stations, driving ARA biodiesels up

RME, UCOME, FAME 0, and HVO (UCO) prices have all soared in West-EU markets in response to Germany's B10 and HVO100 pump sales policy change.

Rising EU Biodiesel Prices: Insights from the Latest Report

Explore the surge in Vesper West-EU Price Index for RME, UCOME, and FAME 0, and understand the drivers behind this increase.

Diverging production outputs from global sugar markets

Dubai & Datagro Conferences reveal a lower cane availability in CS Brazil, while India's pivotal export changes affect global sugar prices.

Crude palm oil prices inch up on the MPOB report

Discover the impact of production drops, export declines, and stock reductions on crude palm oil prices according to the latest MPOB report.

The Relationship between Biodiesel Prices Increases and Used Cooking Oil

Discover the latest dynamics in the EU biodiesel market with a notable uptick in prices across RME, UCOME, and FAME0 indices.

EU Sugar Production Forecast for 2024/2025, including Pricing Insights

Stay ahead with our EU Sugar Production Forecast for 2024/2025. Get insights into beet cultivation, market trends, and price indices.

Will EU palm oil prices stay at a premium to other vegetable oils?

Discover how the Red Sea crisis and high origin prices impact palm oil prices. Will EU palm oil prices stay at a premium?

Global sugar prices: a temporary standstill or a prelude to change?

Global sugar prices staged a substantial recovery in January, driven by industrial buying, dry Brazilian weather, and lower 2024/25 output forecasts.

Palm Oil and Soybean Oil Prices: Latest Updates and Future Projections

Stay updated on palm oil and soybean oil prices, with insights from the latest MPOB report and impact of mineral oil price.

Biodiesel prices are now at their lowest levels since June 2023

Biodiesel Prices Plummet: Discover the four reasons behind the decrease in biodiesel prices, now at their lowest levels since June 2023.

Adjusted Indian sugar production forecast for the 23/24 season due to better-than-expected January yields

Check out the latest sugar yields and their effect on India's sugar production forecasts - a narrowing gap in sugar production.

Weakened EU biodiesel complex due to sluggish demand and an increase in feedstock prices

The EU biodiesel complex has weakened since the previous report. Check out the latest price for RME, FAME, UCOME, and UCO here.

Weaker European Cheese Market due to Inactivity

Explore the current state of the European cheese market, facing a downturn due to inactivity among buyers and suppliers.

Soybean oil complex strengthens on massive new Phillips 66 renewable diesel plant

CBOT soybean oil settled up at $973/mt from $952/mt and soybeans recovered to $411/mt, with traders citing the new Phillips 66 renewable diesel plant.

Unexpected Biodiesel Price Decline Amidst LSGO and Vegetable Oil Increase

Explore why RME, UCOME, and FAME biodiesel prices have weakened since the previous report, with input from Vesper's global network of contacts.

Dairy market insights: Price gaps for butter and powder are decreasing among the major producing regions

Explore the latest dairy market update revealing a significant reduction in butter price gaps across major regions (Europe, Oceania, US).

Sugar market trends 2024: Growing Reliance on Center-South Brazil

Sugar market trends 2024: Explore the balance between global sugar stocks, historically low sugar prices and supply and demand uncertainties.

Soybean Oil Market Update: Soybean Oil Prices Weaken on Improved LATAM Weather and Slow Demand

Soybean oil prices weaken as El Niño-driven South American weather improves and demand stays slow. Price shifts, projections and the coming WASDE report.

Dairy market update: GDT and Vesper Price Index confirm steady prices amid seasonal adjustments

Dairy market update: monitor market trends for dairy products like Butter, SMP, WPC80, WPI, and more with our latest Vesper Highlights.

Vesper's Biodiesel Market Insights: Mixed European Biodiesel Prices

Vesper's Biodiesel Market Insights: explore the mixed European Biodiesel Prices in 2024 with Vesper's Market Highlights.

European sunflower oil Market Update

Explore the latest developments in the European sunflower oil market, including price trends and producer responses in Ukraine.

Global palm oil market experiences price decline amidst lower export figures and falling brent crude Oil prices

Discover how decreased exports from Malaysia and falling Brent Crude Oil prices are impacting palm oil and palm kernel oil prices.

Rise in CBOT Soybean Oil prices and the Vesper Argentina Forward Price Index for Crude Soybean Oil

Explore the recent rise in CBOT soybean oil prices, driven by bullish US soybean oil numbers and supply challenges in Brazil.

Sluggish demand within the European diesel and biodiesel market in Q4

Explore biodiesel trends: RME prices rise, UCO falls, with Vesper's precise pricing data and market Highlights shaping your strategy.

Palm oil market update: global price increases

Get the latest on palm oil prices, MYR factors, and Indonesia's export scene in our comprehensive October 2023 market update. Stay ahead!

Factors contributing to the global decrease in rapeseed oil prices

Discover the latest sentiments in diesel and biodiesel demand with Vesper, and see how economic shifts affect the vegetable oil market.

India extends export restrictions on sugar out of concerns about global sugar availability

Learn about India's extended sugar export restrictions with Vesper. Adapt your trading strategy based on global sugar availability concerns.

The whey market: the drivers behind the significant price jump

Discover what's fueling price surges in the European whey market. Gain insights into liquid whey, whey powders, and export dynamics.

Palm oil market update: Declining prices for palm oil and palm kernel oil

Explore the latest developments in the palm oil market, including the factors driving declining prices. Discover the impact of Brent Crude oil prices, reduced d

Global sugar prices declined due to drop in Brazilian Real and crude oil prices

Discover why sugar prices have taken a hit, influenced by the weakening Brazilian real and falling crude oil prices. Get insights on Sugar No. 11 and Sugar No.

Malaysian BMD and European cash palm oil prices move in different directions

Discover the growing palm oil price discrepancy between Europe and Malaysia. The trend was due to several factors: higher export numbers coming from Malaysia, n

Bullish shift within the butter and whey market

Explore the bullish trends in the butter and whey market with Vesper. Get expert analysis to guide your investment decisions.

Global sugar market update: a bittersweet forecast for Q1'24

Get the latest on Q1'24 global sugar forecasts with Vesper. Learn what makes the outlook bittersweet for better investment choices.

Narrow UCOME-RME spread - more appetite for lower CFPP blends

Learn about the narrow UCOME-RME spread and its impact on CFPP blends. Vesper's insights help you adapt your commodity trading strategy.

Cheese Highlights: confusion, confidence, and cracks?

Navigate the complexities of the cheese market with Vesper's highlights. Understand confusion, confidence, and market cracks.

Mixed signals in the Vegetable Oil complex: a snapshot of the latest price trends

The global vegetable oil complex this week has presented us with a patchwork of fluctuations. With some oils such as palm, soybean oil (cash), coconut, and oliv

EU biodiesel is down w-o-w, Vesper hears large purchases of Chinese biodiesel

Learn about the EU biodiesel dip and Chinese market movements with Vesper. Adapt your trading strategy with our timely insights.

Logistical bottleneck keeps sugar prices elevated, as the global market leans on Brazil

Weather-related challenges in Thailand and India strain global raw sugar supplies, increasing reliance on Brazil. Sugar prices remain high due to logistical con

Here’s why the latest WASDE figures for the US soybean forecast 23/24 didn’t satisfy bullish expectations

Recent WASDE report figures for US soybean 2023/24 align with average trade estimates, defying bullish expectations, and leading to lower CBOT soybean oil price

Higher crude palm oil and palm kernel oil prices driven by El Niño weather concerns in Asia

Get the latest insights on export, production, and stock levels as Vesper anticipates a slightly bullish palm oil market amid El Nino weather concerns.

Monsoon woes and production delays: price increase

Understand how monsoon woes and production delays are driving price increases. Vesper offers timely insights for your commodity investments.

The biodiesel complex up

Discover why the biodiesel complex is on the rise with Vesper. Get the insights you need to make informed trading decisions.

Growing concerns about global demand for dairy products

Discover the Growing Concerns in the Dairy Industry: Will Milk Prices Hold Steady at $2350/mt? Uncover the Uncertainty Surrounding Dairy Demand and Commodity Pr

Indian milk production two years behind schedule, although growth is expected to return

Explore India's milk production trends, import shifts, and growth forecasts on Vesper. Get updated stats and global market insights.

China's milk production sees modest growth in 2022-2023

China aimed for 70% dairy self-sufficiency by 2020, reaching 66% by 2022. High milk prices drive growth, but recent drops pose challenges.

High cheese prices among weaker dairy complex: How much longer can the cheese market maintain its current prices?

Stay informed on cheese prices and trends, and navigate fluctuating milk production's impact on valorisation and exports across the dairy complex.

Export bans triggered by droughts in India

India's drought hits Maharashtra's sugarcane production, sparking sugar export ban concerns and rising prices. Get the latest updates from Vesper.

Unfavourable weather conditions in the US and increased exports of palm oil from Malaysia firm prices

Crude palm oil prices rise on Malaysian exports and global factors, but a shift to bearish sentiment looms amidst economic concerns.

Brazilian Real and Crude dips lower sugar prices

The sugar market has been experiencing a series of ups and downs, with prices recently retreating due to the weakening of the Brazilian real and a drop in crude

Palm oil prices decline, despite slightly bullish MPOB reports

While the report initially provided a degree of support to palm oil prices in the previous week, these gains proved to be short-lived. The decline came about du

Limited trading activity characterises the UCOME market amidst rising prices

Explore the UCOME market's nuanced landscape with rising prices and limited trading activity. Uncover the impact of low liquidity and increased UCO prices on UC

Projected Global Shortfall Spurs Surprising Price Decline

Navigate the surprising dynamics of the global sugar industry in the face of projected deficits. Discover how key regions like Brazil, India, EU, Ukraine, and T

Cheese Highlights: just start very high, you can always settle for less

Master the cheese market with Commodity Intelligence - Vesper offers valuable insights into cheese market trends, pricing, and trade dynamics. Make informed dec

Vegetable oils navigate mixed trends amid weather-driven volatility

Explore the dynamic shifts in the vegetable oil market as palm, soybean, and sunflower oils react to diverse influences. Discover the rising trends in rapeseed,

Falling veg oils pressure biodiesel outrights

Discover how falling vegetable oil prices are affecting biodiesel outrights. Vesper gives you the insights to adjust your trading approach.

India's sugar market outlook: Monsoon's crucial role in alleviating production shortages

The sugar market surged with prices up by 38.58% due to tight supplies and disappointing cane yields in India, leading to reduced exports. Monsoon performance a

Cheese Market: Prices crumble as demand weakens

Discover the current state of the cheese market as prices decline and demand weakens. Cheese manufacturers are grappling with busy schedules and seeking outlets

Highlights on the global cheese market: The bigger the uncertainty, the bigger the premium

The global cheese market stabilises on balanced supply and demand, with minimal price movement despite Q3 premiums and thin traded volumes.

Highlights on the global sugar market: Prices slump on the outlook of a massive Brazil crop

After five weeks of gains, sugar slumped as CONAB forecast Center-South Brazil production up 4.8% on the year to 38.8 million tonnes for the new crop.

Highlights on the global sugar market: Crop slowdown, export delays, and weather disruptions

Stay updated with Vesper's highlights on global sugar market factors. Learn about crop slowdowns, export delays, and weather impacts.

Understand future Brazilian sugar production levels with Vesper’s new Sugar/Ethanol parity widget

Get ahead with Vesper's new Sugar/Ethanol parity widget. Forecast future Brazilian sugar production levels for smarter trading.

Highlights on the oils & fats market: Extension of the grain corridor at risk?

Central banks controlling $7 trillion in reserves are buying gold as geopolitical tension forces a rethink, while the Ukraine grain corridor looks at risk.

Identified by Vesper’s Import/Export Widget: Decreasing European palm oil imports

European palm oil use is falling as it loses share to rapeseed and sunflower oil, with sustainability concerns pushing processors toward better-regarded oils.

Highlights on the oils & fats market: Falling food prices go hand in hand with bearishness

Explore recent geopolitical tensions: Taiwan-China military exercises, easing China-Australia trade conflict, and global food price trends.

Highlights on the global sugar market: Is the long-term bearish sentiment gone?

Explore with Vesper whether long-term bearish sentiment in the global sugar market has shifted. Make better-informed investment choices.

Increased EU-28 sugar imports from Ukraine due to competitive prices

Discover how competitive prices are boosting EU-28 sugar imports from Ukraine. Vesper provides insights for your trading adjustments.

Vesper's historical settlement graph indicates higher Brent Crude Oil prices after unexpected OPEC+ cuts

OPEC announced on April 2nd it would cut 1.16 billion barrels a day from May to year end, aiming to restore price levels seen in the first months of the year.

Highlights on the Butter and Whey market: Is someone interested in proteins?

Dairy market sees strong supply in Northern Hemisphere, with production increases; demand uncertainty affects price stability.

Highlights on the Global Sugar market: Supply remains tight

Sugar prices rise due to supply concerns in Brazil, India, Thailand, Egypt, and Algeria export bans, plus UAE operational issues.

Highlights on the Cheese market: No pressure, and therefore no trades

The cheese market feels quiet and uncertain. Larger buyers have covered most of Q2 and so have some sellers, leaving little pressure and few trades.

Highlights on the Butter and Whey market: What will we do with all these liquids?

The Northern Hemisphere spring flush is under way and keeps pushing milk into the market, with European raw milk spot prices dropping below €0.30/kg.

Highlights on the Oils & Fats market: SVB collapse causes global uncertainty

The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank has caused panic in global financial markets, with the Federal Reserve stepping in to prevent a contagious crisis.

Highlights on the Global Sugar market: Brazil is in the picture, again

The Dubai Sugar Conference shows mild bullish sentiment amid global market uncertainties, production speculation, and Brazil's tax changes.

Highlights on the Oils & Fats market: Stability after a year of war?

With the war in Ukraine past a year, US officials say China is contemplating sending weapons to Russia. What a new player would mean for oils and fats.

Highlights on the Butter and Whey market: Down, up, and then down again

With EU butter down 40%, Oceania SMP down 40% and US SWP down 60% from last year's peak, a rebound was expected. Its timing and strength surprised many.

Highlights on the Global Sugar Market: Stable present, bearish future

Sugar prices held steady after India's mills association cut its production forecast, as strong Thai output is expected to lift exports on last year.

Highlights on the Oils & Fats market: slowing down a sluggish market: What happens in China, doesn’t stay in China

A Chinese balloon over US airspace pushed tensions between the two countries to new highs this week. What that means for a sluggish oils and fats market.

Can Europe's maximum refining capacity handle the projected importation of sugar cane?

EU faces 5% drop in sugar production, boosting sugar imports by 24% YoY. Can refineries cope with 2.0 MMT of cane sugar imports?

Highlights on the butter and whey market: prices are falling, but where to?

The bearish tone across butter, SMP, WMP and whey powders is partly lower consumption. Buyers are still there, but sellers have to work harder to find them.

Highlights on the global sugar market: an expected surplus despite uncertainties

The global sugar market outlook stays positive with higher production forecasts for leading producers, despite emerging India and Thailand concerns.

Global production levels for vegetable oils are predicted to reach a record level

Expected price developments for palm, soybean, rapeseed and sunflower oil in the 22/23 crop year, as global vegetable oil output heads for a record level.

Sugar prices slightly reacting to signals of supply in the next months

Global sugar markets face tight stocks into Q4-22, turning deficit for raw until Q1-23, easing with Brazil's new crop in Q2.

Historical high sugar prices push buyers to source outside Europe

White sugar prices soar to historic highs in the EU, driven by shortages and rising energy costs, averaging 1,199 EUR/MT at the negotiation period.

World's leaders convene in Bali; talks to preserve rainforest

The G20 summit opens in Bali this week while COP27 continues in Sharm El Sheikh, and both could shape the course of commodity markets from here.

The Oils & Fats market experiences some respite, but for how long?

Russia withdrew from the grain deal then rejoined days later, after assurances from Ukraine on the shipping lane. What that means for oils and fats markets.

What is the current sentiment of the dairy market? The answer differs depending on who we ask

Tight milk supply is behind us. Several EU countries and the US have more milk, fat and protein than projected over the summer, leaving liquids in oversupply.

France/World: Alpro, Nutricia, Danone dairy to merge

Danone is merging Alpro, Nutricia and Danone Dairy into one business unit, alongside a category vision in which flexitarian diets play a growing role.

Indonesia plans to extend palm oil export tax waiver to end of year

Indonesia plans to extend its palm oil export tax waiver to the end of the year, Reuters reports, after removing the levies from mid-July to cut excess stocks.

Report shows renewable diesel demand could impact US soybean exports

Rising US renewable diesel demand could halt the country's soybean exports by 2030, according to CoBank research reported by The Western Producer.

USA: Butter stocks sink, exports soar

US August butter stocks fell 22% while cheese stocks rose 4%, as butterfat exports jumped more than 46% in the first seven months of 2022 and China took 32%.

Certified sustainable palm oil (CSPO) production increases by almost 6% from last year

Certified sustainable palm oil production rose almost 6% last year, according to the RSPO's latest Annual Communication of Progress report on the sector.

Petrobras reduces prices more frequently than increases, survey shows

Petrobras took longer to raise refinery prices when foreign values rose than to cut them when fuel retreated, according to a Reuters survey of company data.

Ukrainian crushing companies face tight supply of old and new crop sunflowerseeds

Ukrainian crushers face tight sunflowerseed supply as farmers hold back old crop and new stocks stay low, with heavy rain slowing the harvest campaign.

Andalusia’s olive oil production drops by 49% due to extreme droughts

Andalusia, Spain's top olive oil region, faces a 49% production drop in 2022-2023 due to extreme weather. Prices surge amid global crises.

Where will fuel prices go in 2023 with Lula or Bolsonaro?

Whether under Lula or Bolsonaro, Brazil's next president will face high international fuel prices in 2023 and will need to respond quickly, analysts say.

China: August WMP imports down 59%

China's WMP imports fell 59% in August to 30,000t against record volumes last year, as buyers lean on their own manufacturing and rely less on the GDT.

China reduces forecasts for 2021/22 edible oil production and imports

China has cut its 2021/22 edible oil production and import forecasts on higher international prices and weaker import margins, according to the Casde update.

EU rejects attempt to further limit crop-based biofuels

EU Parliament maintains 7% cap on crop-based biofuels, rejecting further restrictions to support sustainable decarbonisation in transport.

Tereos Brasil to earn US$ 100 million with increased sales to Europe

With two mills newly certified to export ethanol to Europe, Tereos Brasil plans to send 25% of its 2022/23 biofuel output there, the largest volume yet.

Brazil is likely to export record ethanol to Europe this year

Brazilian ethanol exports are on track for a record year as overseas sales look more attractive than the domestic market, according to S&P Global analysis.

World: Agency leaders urge action on food crisis

The heads of the FAO, IMF, World Bank, World Food Programme and WTO have issued a joint call for urgent action on the global food security crisis.

Dairy commodity prices rise by 4,9%; first GDT increase in three months

Catch up on the 4.9% rise in dairy commodity prices with Vesper. Understand the first GDT increase in three months for smarter trading.

Cheese Highlights

Week 32: spot cheese prices have risen but the market shows no clear direction, as buyers who bet on spot cover for Q3 find August falling short of July.

Cheese Highlights

Discover fresh cheese market updates, price trends, and forecasts to make smarter buying decisions and manage volatility.

Butter | WMP | SMP Highlights

The dairy market stays calm with volumes down as both sides wait. Sellers are trimming output on weaker demand while buyers sit on more stock than expected.

US Dollar Index Reaches 20 Year High

The US Dollar Index hit a 20-year high of 109 in July 2022 as the Federal Reserve turned more aggressive on rate rises to combat persistent inflation.

Vegetable Oil Highlights

Global commodity prices recovered a little late last week from the recession-driven sell-off, supported by lower production estimates and short covering.

Butter | WMP | SMP Highlights

Dairy markets stay slow and the talk has shifted to commodity markets generally, after several commodities fell fast over recent weeks. What that implies.

Ukraine/UK: Ukrproduct teetering on the edge

The London Stock Exchange has suspended dealing in Ukrproduct shares after the processor cited global challenges and an acute shortage of dairy raw materials.

Vegetable Oil Highlights

Price support in global vegetable oil markets was swept away again as Indonesia permitted additional exports, on top of peak Southeast Asian production.

Vegetable Oil Highlights

Losses have spread across the economic landscape, with stocks, crude oil and cryptocurrencies all down considerably over the past two weeks. Oilseeds follow.

Vegetable Oil Highlights

Indonesia has swung 180 degrees from a palm oil export ban to stimulating exports, leaving the global vegetable oil market with high uncertainty either way.

Vegetable Oil Highlights

Uncertainty keeps growing in vegetable oils and the market is largely guessing at what comes next, with the conflict in Ukraine still a dominant influence.

Vegetable Oil Highlights

Uncertainty grows week by week as announcements keep arriving and the oilseed complex swings on news and sentiment, led by Indonesian export policy.

Vegetable Oils Highlights

The vegetable oils complex is still driven by sentiment and news, and the past two weeks have again shown how far governments can move these markets.

Vegetable Oils Highlights

With activity limited across most vegetable oil markets, news and sentiment still lead over fundamentals, and the USDA estimates have shifted the tone.

Butter | WMP | SMP Highlights

Explore the latest market movements, price trends, and forecasts for butter, WMP, and SMP to inform your sourcing strategy.

Ukraine exports over half a million tonnes of vegetable oils in April

Ukraine exported 61,007 tonnes of vegetable oils by rail last month, AgriCensus reports, as the blockade of deep-sea ports forces crops onto the railways.

Vegetable Oils Highlights

Global vegetable oil markets keep throwing curveballs, with government responses to a worldwide shortage of oils pushing prices even higher than expected.

Turkey Bans Butter Export

Turkey has halted butter exports under HS code 040510 to secure domestic supply, in a ministerial decision of 13 April 2022 that stands until further notice.

Vegetable Oils Highlights

Farmers control fertiliser and much else, but never the weather, and that dependence is once again shaping the outlook across vegetable oil markets.

China: FEBRUARY WMP IMPORTS UP 40%

China's February dairy imports rose 2.4% to 258,900t, with WMP up 40% year on year, though the first two months of the year were still down 3% overall.

Vegetable Oils Highlights

Global vegetable oil markets remain highly susceptible to news and sentiment, and with so much news arriving at once the true outlook is hard to read.

Dairy Highlights

In uncertain commodity markets, security of supply is starting to matter more than price, leaving buyers without leverage when they genuinely need product.

Vegetable Oil Highlights

The invasion of Ukraine has tightened vegetable oil markets already short on production, and security of supply has become the issue for anyone needing product.

Vegetable Oil Highlights

The invasion of Ukraine is being felt worldwide, with crude oil soaring, prices rising broadly, and the availability of many grains and crops falling.

Dairy Highlights

The Russian invasion of Ukraine is already being felt worldwide, from political uncertainty and sanctions to rising costs. What it means for dairy markets.