Energy news — Vesper

Middle East oil is flowing again at five times the freight cost

Middle East oil exports are back at pre-war volumes, but a barrel shipped from the Gulf to Asia now costs more than five times what it did before the conflict.

Coffee speculators turn net short for the second time

Investors moved net short on coffee futures as the December contract fell 7.5 cents to 276.4 cents a pound, with Brazil still holding coffee left to sell.

Europe's sugar import gap is wider than the quotas can fill

Only about 766,000 tonnes of the EU's 2.4 million tonnes of eligible sugar import volume is likely to arrive at current prices, leaving a real shortfall.

Gasoil's 26% climb lifts biodiesel as Hormuz talks stall

Low sulfur gasoil rose 26% to $1,568 a tonne after Strait of Hormuz talks were postponed, pulling FAME and HVO up while used cooking oil eased.

October white sugar delivery lands at a third of last year's

Under 500,000 tonnes were delivered against October London white sugar, against over 1.5 million a year ago, while funds built their largest long since 2023.

Record Brazilian shipments leave coffee near flat on the week

Brazil shipped a seasonal record of Arabica and Robusta in August, yet December coffee fell only 0.8 cents on the week. Outside markets explain the gap.

Europe enters winter with gas storage 16 points below normal

European gas storage sits at 68% against an 84% seasonal average, TTF is at three-year highs and the ECB has hiked again. What that means into winter.

UCO climbs 19% while Hormuz traffic sits near zero

UCO firmed 18.7% and the biodiesel complex followed, while Hormuz transits fell to zero and German HVO demand more than quadrupled year on year.

Wheat prices ease despite an unresolved Black Sea problem

Wheat pulled back this fortnight even though the Black Sea disruption remains unresolved, while corn, barley and soybean each moved on their own drivers.

El Niño risk spreads across sugar-growing regions, lifting prices

Sugar futures rose 3.8% as El Niño intensifies, threatening crops in Brazil, India, Thailand and the EU just as the 2026/27 balance tightens.

Vegetable oils diverge as Brent crude retreats

Palm and soybean oil fell as Brent crude retreated below $86 a barrel, while sunflower oil rose on continued Black Sea port disruption and slow crushing.

Bullish signals stack up across the vegetable oil complex

Brent, palm, soy, rapeseed and sunflower oil are all firming as energy, tariffs and Black Sea disruption stack bullish drivers across the complex.

Why the commodity outlook now hinges on Hormuz and the AI cycle

The second-half commodity outlook hinges on whether the Middle East conflict resolves and the AI investment boom holds, keeping a higher price floor.

Vegetable oils hold steady while Brent slips and Europe overheats

Vegetable oils held firm even as Brent slipped to $73. Palm oil rose on strong Malaysian exports, while a heatwave trimmed the EU rapeseed crop outlook.

White sugar rallies on weather risk while physical prices sit still

White sugar futures rallied to $475/mt on El Niño and heatwave risk to crops in India and the EU, even as physical prices stayed calm on comfortable supply.

Hot weather lifts EU grains while US futures slip

European grains firmed over two weeks as hot, dry weather raised yield worries, while US futures fell under harvest pressure and a sliding crude oil price.

Palm oil holds firm while Brent slides on US-Iran thaw

BMD crude palm oil rebounded to $1,110/mt from $1,089/mt even as Brent slipped to $77.9 a barrel, with biofuel policy and weather now leading the market.

Brazil's bumper crush and softer oil weigh on sugar prices

A strong Brazilian result and weaker oil have offset El Niño risk to keep sugar under pressure, with crude down about 4% and holding below $100 a barrel.

Thai rice up 25%, wheat swings 40 EUR in a month: grains reprice across the board

Thai rice rose 16 to 25% in May, parboiled A1 leading from 220.73 to 275.61 USD/mt, while EU milling wheat fell to 180 EUR/mt then jumped 36 EUR the next day.

Cocoa rally fades as weak demand meets a bigger Ivorian crop

Cocoa opened last week with a strong rally then gave it back over consecutive down days, a pattern Martijn Bron puts down to silly season volatility.

Thai cane pivots to tapioca as China's sugar surplus builds

East Asia's sugar markets face weather and policy pulling opposite ways, with Thailand's three-month outlook pointing to above-average heat across cane areas.

Indonesia's export overhaul casts shadow over palm oil as Iran peace talks weigh on energy prices

Indonesia has announced export centralisation for key commodities including palm oil from June 1, aimed at under-invoicing, onto an already softening market.

Germany's RED III adoption and higher energy prices lift European biodiesel sharply

European biodiesel rose sharply in May, with FAME 0 up from $1,382 to $1,500 per tonne and UCOME reaching $1,652, after the Bundestag adopted RED III.

Food and beverage costs face a second wave of commodity pressure

Oil has held above $100 a barrel through May, but the bigger story is funds rotating out of crude positions and into agricultural commodities instead.

US broiler supply keeps climbing while breast meat demand cools

US chick placements topped 1.18 billion over the six weeks to May 2nd, up 2.8% year on year, according to LEAP Market Analytics, as breast demand cools.

Energy market strength lifts sugar to one-month high

Raw sugar extended its climb, with the NY11 July contract closing at a one-month high of 15.37 USc/lb on stronger oil and a firmer Brazilian real.

Brent strength and biofuel mandates push vegetable oil complex higher

Vegetable oil prices rose across most of the complex as July Brent closed at $114/barrel against $101.7 a week earlier and biofuel mandates kept momentum.

Cocoa futures climb on El Niño concerns despite record surplus outlook

London July cocoa futures rose about 10% in two weeks on FMCG buying tied to El Niño, despite a forecast record 2025/26 surplus of 550,000-600,000 tonnes.

EU partially suspends sugar IPP imports for one year from May 27

The European Commission's sugar committee voted on April 30 to partially suspend Inward Processing Procedure imports for one year, effective from May 27.

El Niño risk reshapes sugar's 2026/27 supply outlook

Raw sugar edged higher on Brazil's planned anhydrous ethanol blend increase from 30% to 32% and firmer crude, with Sugar No. 11 settling at 14.11 cents/lb.

Rapeseed market firms after Germany adopts RED III

MATIF rapeseed rose to EUR 552/mt from EUR 508/mt after Germany adopted RED III, with tight EU stocks, strong crush and firmer crude oil all lending support.

Energy costs drive starch prices higher across wheat, corn and tapioca

Wheat, tapioca and corn starch prices all rose month on month in April, as energy costs tied to the Middle East conflict squeezed margins and Q2 contracts.

Energy shock threatens to lift EU food inflation to 5 to 10% by 2027

The European food industry faces a renewed inflationary period, as the energy shock from the Iran conflict passes through to consumer prices over two years.

Southeast Asia biodiesel mandates reshape palm oil supply outlook

Three major Southeast Asian palm oil producers are raising biodiesel blending mandates, with Indonesia moving to B50 from July 2026 for public service fuel.

Cocoa prices break 2,500 resistance despite record fund short position

Cocoa broke above 2,500 resistance on fund short covering ahead of global grindings data, with the US-Iran ceasefire lending broad commodity support.

Coffee prices break below $2.90/lb support on Middle East uncertainty

Coffee futures ended the week at 286 US cents per pound, down 12.35 cents, as a deteriorating risk environment around the Iran conflict weighed on prices.

US broiler exports slip in early 2026 with domestic dark meat demand providing support

US broiler exports started 2026 muted, with February shipments just under 524 million pounds, 4.3% below last year and cumulative volumes down 1.1%.

Vegetable oil prices ease on ceasefire news, palm oil outlook mixed

A two-week US-Iran ceasefire announced on April 8 sent Brent crude sharply lower, putting immediate pressure across the whole vegetable oil complex.

Middle East conflict drives Brazilian chicken prices higher

Brazilian chicken prices reversed sharply in week 14, with whole bird and cut prices up 5% to 7%, driven by further escalation of the Middle East conflict.

Cocoa prices stage end-of-quarter rally, but cost pressures cloud the chocolate outlook

Cocoa rallied at the end of March, EU futures gaining 7% in a session to £2,487/mt, though the move points to short-covering rather than changed fundamentals.

Grains hold firm on crude oil support, but markets watch for de-escalation signals

Wheat, corn, barley and soybeans stayed elevated on Brent crude support, though US signals that the Middle East conflict could end soon are being priced in.

Sugar prices edge higher on crude oil rally, but fundamentals stay soft

Sugar moved modestly higher on a sharp rise in crude oil rather than any change in supply and demand, with gains trimmed once ceasefire talks emerged.

Vegetable oils rebound on crude surge and biofuel policy shifts

Palm and soybean oil led a broad vegetable oil recovery on firmer Brent and new biofuel policy in the US and Indonesia, while coconut oil moved the other way.

Coffee futures break above $3/lb as tight supply and energy costs provide support

Coffee futures rose 14.15 cents on the week to close at USD 3.07/lb on the May contract, breaking above $3.00 for the first time on tight supply and energy.

EU sugar beet farmers face higher costs as energy prices climb

European sugar beet growers head into the 2026 planting season facing higher costs, with UK red diesel up 60% since the Middle East conflict began.

Philippine biofuel policy uncertainty weighs on coconut oil prices

Coconut oil at origin fell sharply, with EXW Manila down to $1,918/mt from $2,271/mt, as Philippine biofuel producers grew wary of domestic policy changes.

Corn and wheat prices climb on energy costs and tighter 2026 supply forecasts

Corn and wheat rose over two weeks on higher Brent crude and cuts to 2026 supply forecasts, with Euronext milling wheat up to EUR 207/mt from EUR 202/mt.

NFDM prices approach 10-year highs as US supply tightens

US non-fat dry milk rose a further USD 0.08/lb on the week, a 4.53% gain that leaves prices just USD 0.055/lb below their ten-year highs on tighter supply.

NFDM prices approach 10-year highs despite record milk surplus

Non-fat dry milk rose 4.53% this week to within $0.055/lb of ten-year highs, a striking disconnect from surging milk production across all major regions.

Record Brazilian exports push global poultry prices lower

Global poultry heads into late March broadly bearish, with Brazilian and Thai origins falling across whole birds, breast meat and wings on record exports.

Wholesale beef prices rally sharply, but correction seen ahead

Wholesale beef has climbed fast, with the choice cutout up nearly $30 in three weeks and loins leading the move, though a correction is seen ahead.

Why a $100 oil price isn't lifting sugar markets

Crude briefly touched $100 a barrel after the Strait of Hormuz closed, yet sugar has barely responded, with Sugar No. 11 edging up to just 14.45 cents/lb.

Palm oil prices climb on B50 speculation and supply concerns

BMD crude palm oil rose to $1,176/mt from $1,123/mt on supply developments, B50 biodiesel speculation and renewed strength in Brent crude oil prices.

US broiler market: weak export start, steady domestic demand

US broiler exports started 2026 slowly at 524 million pounds in January, while domestic dark meat markets have held relatively steady. What is shaping both.

European dairy market forecast 2026: milk, butter, smp, wmp, swp, cheeses

European dairy in 2026 is not one market but several: some categories are well supplied and stable, others have tightened far beyond what was expected.

European pork market forecast 2026: African Swine Fever in Spain redirects volumes to EU markets, pressuring prices

The EU sow herd is forecast to shrink again in 2026 on environmental restructuring, with feed prices favourable but labour and energy keeping costs elevated.

European raw milk forecast: strong flush adds supply pressure across dairy markets in H1 2026

European raw milk output accelerated through late 2025 and that momentum carries into 2026, with the flush set to add significant volume in Q1 and Q2.

Glucose syrup and dextrose stabilise after 2025 correction, with energy costs the main upside risk

Glucose syrup and dextrose corrected through 2025 on easing corn and wheat costs, Turkish and Brazilian imports and soft demand. Energy is the upside risk.

Pizza, pasta, savory snack forecast: flour, tomate, chicken, beef, pork, mozzarella, olive oil

H2 2026 brings pizza, pasta and snack manufacturers near-term stability alongside building supply risk, with some procurement windows unlikely to last.

Potato starch market outlook 2026: record 2025 harvest drives prices to lowest point since 2024

A very favourable 2025 crop has driven potato starch prices down, with Dutch output reaching 3.62 million tonnes, 15.5% above 2024, and Germany near 13.4m.

Rapeseed oil price forcast 2026: Brent crude drives near-term gains, harvest pressure expected from Q2

Crude rapeseed oil FOB Dutch Mill rose to EUR 1,117/mt from EUR 1,030/mt in January on competing vegetable oils and Brent, despite comfortable EU supply.

Rapeseed oil price forecast 2026: Brent crude drives near-term gains, harvest pressure expected from Q2

Crude rapeseed oil FOB Dutch Mill rose to EUR 1,117/mt from EUR 1,030/mt in January on competing vegetable oils and Brent, despite comfortable EU supply.

Sugar market forecast: raw, white, sweeteners

Sugar in 2026 is a surplus market, but the headline hides a lot: energy, Brazilian cane allocation and European supply all pull the picture in different ways.

Sugar markets stabilise after Q1 surplus pressure, with Brazil and energy dynamics shaping the outlook

Raw and white sugar spent most of Q1 under surplus pressure before stabilising into early March, as strengthening energy markets provided the counterweight.

Sweet whey powder forecast 2026: European prices overtake US levels as costs rise and Middle East demand accelerates

Sweet whey powder shows a clear Europe and US divide in early 2026, with European prices well above the subdued picture first expected as energy costs rise.

Tomato paste market forecast 2026: Q2 expected stable, but California and energy risks loom for H2

Tomato paste prices are expected to soften modestly in Q2 2026 from firm early-year levels, with the market adequately supplied and not chasing volume.

Vegetable oil market forecast: olive, rapeseed, soybean, sunflower, palm, coconut, palm kernel oil

Oils and fats in 2026 are pulled two ways: large harvests and record stocks point to comfort, while the energy complex pulls in the opposite direction.

Brent at $80, $120, or $150: Scenario Analysis of the Impact on Global Commodity Markets

Vesper models three Brent oil scenarios, at $80, $120 and $150, and traces what each would mean for global commodity markets and procurement planning.

Vegetable oils rise with Brent before sharp reversal

Brent climbed to nearly $99 a barrel on Middle East tension, lifting palm, soybean, rapeseed and sunflower oil, before energy prices abruptly reversed.

Cocoa sector turmoil deepens in Ivory Coast and Ghana

Disruption in the Ivory Coast and Ghana cocoa sectors is deepening, with unsold beans, delayed payments and falling farmgate prices destabilising the market.

High EU sugar stocks keep market under pressure

EU sugar stocks have reached their highest level for this point in three years as the beet campaign ends, keeping the market under sustained pressure.

Coffee futures slip below $3/lb as supply improves, Middle East conflict adds volatility

Arabica futures fell to $2.83/lb as certified stock availability improved and roasters held back purchases, with the Middle East conflict adding volatility.

Ivory Coast brings forward mid-crop season in bid to clear unsold cocoa stocks

Ivory Coast has reclassified March cocoa as mid-crop rather than main crop, sharply cutting farmgate prices in a bid to move unsold stocks into the market.

Sugar prices near multi-year lows as global surplus holds, crude volatility adds uncertainty

Sugar hit multi-year lows in mid-February before recovering, with Sugar No. 11 at 13.93 cents/lb on 3 March as crude volatility offset a global surplus.

How escalation around the Strait of Hormuz is reshaping oil shipping

Escalation around the Strait of Hormuz is disrupting global oil shipping, insurance markets, and freight flows as tanker traffic collapses.

Middle East conflict pushes vegetable oil prices higher as freight costs climb

Brent crude's rise after Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz is lifting vegetable oils across the board, with freight costs climbing on key shipping routes.

Strait of Hormuz tensions and the short-term outlook for brent crude oil

How Middle East tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions impact food commodities through energy prices, fertilizer costs, freight, USD strength and market sent

How Middle East conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruption could impact food commodity market

Middle East tensions and restricted movement through the Strait of Hormuz have pushed Brent crude higher. How that could reach food commodity markets.

US-Iran tensions push Brent crude higher, lifting vegetable oil prices

Concern over a potential US-Iran conflict pushed Brent to $71.5 a barrel from $68.65, lifting vegetable oil prices broadly across the complex in week 9.

India's soybean oil duty cut set to reshape vegetable oil import dynamics

India's planned reduction in soybean oil import duties under US trade agreement expected to reshape procurement patterns and intensify competition across palm,

U.S. Treasury's 45Z guidance tilts biofuel policy toward North American crop oils

New 45Z guidance restricts eligible fuels to US, Canadian and Mexican feedstocks and removes ILUC penalties, lending support to CBOT soybean oil prices.

Palm oil prices rise on strong January exports as Indian buyers shift from soybean oil

BMD crude palm oil rose to $1,051/mt from $1,003/mt on Malaysian January exports up 8-10%, as Indian buyers cancelled soybean oil shipments in favour of palm.

Egg markets face dual pressure from avian flu outbreaks and rising energy costs

Germany reports 25 farm cases and France 33, the Netherlands has culled 62,000 hens, and Arctic weather is driving a sharp November energy cost spike.

European sugar processors announce 2026 acreage cuts following stock accumulation

European processors have announced larger-than-expected 2026 acreage cuts on high stocks, while Brazilian mills wrap up early with 120 units finished.

Palm oil prices decline on weaker crude oil and slower Malaysian shipments

BMD crude palm oil fell to $976/mt from $993/mt as Malaysian shipments dropped 19% in November and soybean oil faced pressure from China trade concerns.

Germany and Netherlands eye policy shifts that could reshape European biodiesel demand

Germany and the Netherlands are weighing an end to double counting for advanced biofuels, a change that could significantly reshape EU biodiesel demand.

Germany considers ending UCOME double-counting by January 2026

Germany plans to end double-counting for advanced biofuels including UCOME from January 2026 under RED III, potentially reshaping European biodiesel.

Indonesia's B50 biodiesel program could reshape palm oil supply in 2026

Indonesia's proposed B50 biodiesel mandate would need around 3 million extra metric tons of palm oil, raising the prospect of tighter exports in 2026.

Ukrainian rapeseed export delays drive European oil prices higher

MATIF rapeseed rose EUR 1/mt to EUR 471/mt and crude rapeseed oil FOB Dutch Mill to EUR 1,110/mt, as Ukrainian export delays limit harvest-period supply.

Palm oil prices rise on stronger crude oil and rival vegetable oils

Palm oil prices increased to MYR 4,383/mt driven by stronger Brent crude and rival oils, though gains remain limited amid complex vegetable oil dynamics.

Sugar prices drop to 16 cents as Brazil's Center-South production picks up pace

Sugar prices decline to near 16 cents/lb driven by Brazil's Center-South production increase and potential Indian export expansion.

Corn oil prices rise $60-130/MT as Middle East tensions drive up energy and shipping Costs

Corn oil prices increase $60-130/MT from June levels, while global corn production reaches record 1.265 billion metric tons.

CBOT soybean prices reach new lows amid China demand concerns

CBOT soybean prices hit new lows at 969 cents per bushel as China plans 10 million tonne import cuts, with weather volatility expected through August.

Biodiesel prices edge higher as feedstock costs rise amid tariff deadline pressure

FAME0 gains $6/mt to $1,322/mt while UCO prices surge. HVO softens as August tariff deadlines approach. LSGO drops $84/mt on trade war fears.

USDA drastically revises soybean oil outlook as biofuel regulations reshape US demand

USDA projects record 15.5 billion pounds soybean oil for biofuels, cuts exports from 1.7B to 700M bushels. Palm oil and sunflower oil rally.

Biodiesel markets stabilize as "Big Beautiful Bill" reshapes North American feedstock trade

US biofuel law limits feedstocks to North America, challenging Chinese UCO and Brazilian tallow suppliers. LSGO rises $18/mt. Get Vesper's analysis.

How rising coconut oil prices are driving up ice cream costs this summer

Rising coconut oil prices have pushed the cost of ice cream and production to soaring levels. What's behind the increase?

Vegetable oil markets rally as US biodiesel regulations and tariff threats reshape global trade

Palm oil and soybean oil rally as US limits biodiesel credits to North American feedstocks. Tariffs threaten global trade flows.

Biodiesel markets show mixed signals as geopolitical tensions support LSGO prices

FAME0 and UCOME rise on higher LSGO prices while RME drops on harvest pressure, with German HVO demand expected to quadruple this year.

Vegetable oil markets face pressure as Brent crude weakens and supply forecasts rise

Palm oil, soybean oil, and rapeseed markets decline as Brent crude drops to $67.61/barrel. Get expert analysis on supply forecasts.

Biodiesel prices rebound after sharp decline on Middle East ceasefire

Week 26: biodiesel prices fell hard on the Israel-Iran ceasefire before recovering, as European regulatory changes reshaped HVO and UCO demand.

Oils sector calm for now: 3 key takeaways from Israel-Iran conflict so far

Oil prices climbed Wednesday after Trump announced China can continue buying Iranian oil. Analysis of Middle East tensions, vegetable oils volatility, biofuel m

Sugar prices under pressure as energy markets shift: What traders need to know

Sugar futures decline as oil prices drop and energy-ethanol dynamics shift. Get expert analysis on Brazil production and EU crop risks.

Vegetable oils market declines as Middle East tensions cool

Palm oil, soy oil, and rapeseed prices fall as crude oil drops $5/barrel amid Israel-Iran ceasefire. Get Vesper's Week 26 market analysis.

Biodiesel prices strengthen on geopolitical tensions and EPA mandate boost

Week 25: biodiesel markets strengthen as the Iran conflict lifts the energy complex and the EPA proposes 5.61 billion gallon biofuel blending targets.

Vegetable oil prices surge as geopolitical tensions and biofuel mandates drive market volatility

Vegetable oil markets surge as Brent crude hits $73.23/barrel amid Israel-Iran conflict and EPA proposes higher biofuel targets.

Biodiesel prices surge as ISCC certificate suspension rocks European market

Week 24: FOB ARA biodiesel prices climb after ISCC certification is suspended for a major European biorefinery and petroleum diesel fundamentals firm.

Vegetable oil markets face supply uncertainty as rapeseed crops disappoint

Rapeseed crops disappoint as EU production cut to 18.6M tons. Palm oil pressured by Malaysian inventory while soy complex gains on energy rally.

Biodiesel markets caught in regulatory whirlwind as policy uncertainty deepens

Washington's tariff reversals create biodiesel market paralysis. Congressional incentives pending while feedstock flows shift.

Global Vegetable Oil markets face tariff turbulence and weather uncertainty

Vegetable oil prices volatile as 50% EU tariffs flip daily while weather threatens crops. Palm, soy, rapeseed & sunflower oil analysis + AI forecasts.

China's massive Sugar purchases signal market shift as Asian production outlook strengthens

Chinese buyers took an estimated 2.5 million tonnes of raw sugar in May, exhausting the import quota, while Thailand's production outlook strengthens.

Prices hold firm despite LSGO decline

Prices hold firm despite falling LSGO values as Greenergy suspends UK operations and US grants 163 Small Refinery Exemptions.

Global oils & fats market faces headwinds amid economic contraction and supply chain shifts

Explore Week 19's oils & fats market trends: US economy contracts 0.3%, Brent crude falls to $60.23, Malaysian palm stocks rise 15% while Indonesian exports dro

CBOT Soybean Oil Reclaims Premium Over BMD Crude Palm Oil After Prolonged Discount

Soybean oil has moved back above palm oil after a prolonged discount, on shifts in supply patterns, currencies and trade signals across both of these markets.

Biodiesel markets react to Trump's tariff pause

Biodiesel markets rebound as Trump pauses tariffs for 90 days while escalating the China trade war to 125%, leaving traders to price fresh uncertainty.

Global vegetable oil markets disrupted by Trump's 10-50% tariff policy: Palm, Soy, Rapeseed, and Sunflower Oil impacts

Trump's 10 to 50% tariffs are rippling through global vegetable oil markets. What palm, soybean, rapeseed and sunflower oil buyers need to know right now.

Biodiesel market update: prices decline amid increased Asian supply

Week 8 biodiesel update: Prices drop as Asian imports impact demand. Stay informed on feedstock trends and biofuel policy shifts.

Global Biodiesel and Vegetable Oil Markets See Mixed Movements Amid Political and Economic Developments

Explore the latest trends in biodiesel and vegetable oil markets, including price drops, regulatory updates, and global supply forecasts.

Global Sugar Market Update: Pressure on global prices persists

Pressure on global sugar prices, production declines in Brazil & Europe, and the outlook for 2025. Stay informed with Vesper.

4 Key Factors Driving Biodiesel Prices to New Highs

Discover the top 4 factors driving biodiesel prices to new highs, from increased demand and German regulations to supply disruptions.

Palm Oil Hits Yearly High Amid Surging Brent Crude Prices

Palm oil prices hit a yearly high, climbing above 4,300 MYR per metric ton, as Brent crude oil surges 12.1% on Middle East geopolitical tensions.

Lower Sugar Production Forecasts: Where Will Q1 2025 Supply Come From?

Brazil’s recent drought and fires have reduced sugar production estimates for the 2024/25 season to 39 MMT, down from 40 MMT.

EUDR-compliant S.G. Low Moah Crude Palm Oil Benchmark Rises Week-Over-Week

Vesper's EUDR-compliant S.G. Low Moah crude palm oil benchmark rose week over week, with BMD CPO November futures climbing to MYR 4,074/mt from MYR 3,766/mt.

Vegetable Oils Prices Down as Brent Crude Oil Hits Lowest Level This Year

Brent crude oil hits a yearly low, leading to a decline in palm oil, soybean oil, and other vegetable oil benchmarks. View the latest prices.

Will CBOT Soybean Oil's Bearish Price Trends Persist Following WASDE's Bearish Soy Update?

Uncover the reasons behind the CBOT soybean oil price drop and how supply, farmer actions, and market sentiment could impact future prices.

How will India’s and Brazil’s Sugar Production Projections Impact Global Prices?

Learn how India’s and Brazil’s sugar production forecasts may impact global prices, and explore Vesper’s price forecast predictions.

Weather Drives Volatility in CBOT Soybean Prices: Discover Vesper's AI-Driven Price Forecasts for the Next Six Months

Discover how weather and geopolitical events are impacting CBOT soybean prices, and learn what Vesper's price forecasts are predicting.

Biodiesel Prices Drop from Highs Amid LSGO Decline

Despite a recent decline, biodiesel values remain elevated, influenced by the Israel-Hamas conflict and OPEC+'s production decisions.

Prices for Biodiesel Fall due to High Crude Oil Supply

Understand the impact of high crude oil supplies, gasoil market shifts, and feedstock price declines on biodiesel markets.

Vegetable oils, except palm oil, have weakened since the last report, influenced by the Red Sea crisis and a bumper soybean supply.

Vegetable oils other than palm have weakened on the Red Sea crisis and bumper soybean supply, while heavy Malaysian rain cut January palm oil output.

Soybean oil complex strengthens on massive new Phillips 66 renewable diesel plant

CBOT soybean oil settled up at $973/mt from $952/mt and soybeans recovered to $411/mt, with traders citing the new Phillips 66 renewable diesel plant.

Biodiesel market update: Growing interest to buy, yet making consensus on pricing remains a challenge

The European biodiesel complex has strengthened again on higher LSGO prices and steady buying interest, but buyers and sellers still cannot agree on price.

Vegetable oil market update: Global palm oil and soybean oil prices up on bullish MPOB and neutral-slightly bullish WASDE report

Vegetable oil market update: Discover the impact of increased Brent Crude Oil prices and bullish MPOB and WASDE report on prices