Malaysia news — Vesper

Deferred palm oil contracts price in an El Nino loss

GAPKI says an extreme El Nino could cut Indonesian palm oil output by up to 3 million tonnes next season. The futures curve is already splitting on it.

Soybean oil drops on EPA biofuel doubts; rapeseed follows

CBOT soybean oil fell nearly 6% on rumors the EPA could ease biofuel blending rules, and rapeseed followed it lower as a US-Canada trade dispute added pressure.

Palm oil's forward curve breaks above MYR 5,000 while spot eases

Palm oil's March contract broke above MYR 5,000 a tonne even as the spot month eased, while Brent's climb past $90 lifted soybean and rapeseed oil.

Brent's rebound lifts palm and soybean oil as Europe bakes

Brent crude's rebound to around $87 a barrel is lifting palm and soybean oil, while a European heatwave threatens France's corn crop.

Falling Brent outweighs Black Sea risk in vegetable oils

Black Sea disruption should be bullish for vegetable oils, but a 5% drop in Brent crude after Trump shelved an Iran strike overwhelmed it across palm and soy.

Vegetable oils diverge as Brent crude retreats

Palm and soybean oil fell as Brent crude retreated below $86 a barrel, while sunflower oil rose on continued Black Sea port disruption and slow crushing.

Bullish signals stack up across the vegetable oil complex

Brent, palm, soy, rapeseed and sunflower oil are all firming as energy, tariffs and Black Sea disruption stack bullish drivers across the complex.

Vegetable oils firm up on Brent and El Niño risk

Brent crude and an intensifying El Niño lifted soybean, rapeseed and coconut oil this week, while record Malaysian stocks kept palm oil out of the rally.

Palm oil holds firm on stronger crude and festive demand hopes

Palm oil firmed this week as Brent crude climbed and Indian festive demand built, even as Indonesia's biofuel mandate timeline softened.

Vegetable oils hold steady while Brent slips and Europe overheats

Vegetable oils held firm even as Brent slipped to $73. Palm oil rose on strong Malaysian exports, while a heatwave trimmed the EU rapeseed crop outlook.

Palm oil holds firm while Brent slides on US-Iran thaw

Palm oil prices climbed last week even as crude oil kept falling, a sign the market is now taking its lead from biofuel policy and weather risk rather than...

Vegetable oils hold firm on crude rebound and biofuel demand

Vegetable oil markets steadied this week, caught between a rebound in Brent crude and a long list of conflicting signals. Brent's August contract fell to a...

Indonesia's export overhaul casts shadow over palm oil as Iran peace talks weigh on energy prices

The Indonesian government announced a new export centralization policy for key commodities, including palm oil, effective June 1st, a measure aimed at...

Vegetable oils track Brent higher as El Nino and Hormuz tensions set the agenda

Brent crude rose from $104 to $112 per barrel over the week, and vegetable oil markets moved with it. The trigger was fresh US threats to resume attacks on...

Vegetable oils ease with Brent on stalled Iran-US talks

Brent crude (July) closed the week at $104/barrel, down from $114 the prior week and recovered from a $100 low reached on signs of progress in Iran-US peace ...

Brent strength and biofuel mandates push vegetable oil complex higher

Vegetable oil prices moved higher across most of the complex last week, supported by higher Brent crude prices and continued biofuel mandate momentum. July...

Soy and palm oils lead vegetable oil gains on biofuel policy and crude rebound

Soybean oil and palm oil led gains across the vegetable oil complex last week, supported by a rebound in Brent crude and further reinforcement of biofuel...

European cocoa grindings drop to decade low on weak chocolate demand

European cocoa grindings fell 7.8% year on year in the first quarter of 2026 to 325,895 mt, the lowest quarterly total in more than a decade, according to...

Southeast Asia biodiesel mandates reshape palm oil supply outlook

Three major Southeast Asian palm oil producers are stepping up biodiesel blending mandates in moves that will reshape the feedstock picture for global...

Cocoa prices break 2,500 resistance despite record fund short position

Short covering ahead of grindings data The rally appears linked to short covering by funds ahead of major global grinding updates, potentially on...

Vegetable oils slip lower on ceasefire optimism and weaker crude

All major oils lower BMD crude palm oil declined to $1,120/mt from $1,176/mt. CBOT soybean oil fell to 66.5 US cents/lb from 69.95 cents. MATIF rapeseed...

Vegetable oil prices ease on ceasefire news, palm oil outlook mixed

A two-week ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran, announced on April 8, triggered a sharp decline in Brent crude oil, sending immediate...

Vegetable oils rebound on crude surge and biofuel policy shifts

Vegetable oil prices recovered broadly last week, with palm and soybean oil leading gains on the back of firmer Brent crude and new biofuel policy...

Philippine biofuel policy uncertainty weighs on coconut oil prices

Coconut oil prices at origin fell sharply this week, with the EXW Manila benchmark declining to $1,918/mt from $2,271/mt previously, as biofuel producers in ...

Palm oil prices climb on B50 speculation and supply concerns

BMD crude palm oil prices rose to $1,176/mt this week, up from $1,123/mt the previous week, supported by a combination of supply-side developments,...

Palm oil market forecast 2026: record Malaysian stocks weigh on prices despite Brent crude support

The BMD crude palm oil price has increased to USD 1,096/mt from USD 975/mt at the beginning of the year, supported by higher Brent crude prices, strong...

Vegetable oil market forecast: olive, rapeseed, soybean, sunflower, palm, coconut, palm kernel oil

The oils and fats market in 2026 is being pulled in two directions at once. On one side, crop-level fundamentals, large harvests, record stocks in certain...

Brent at $80, $120, or $150: Scenario Analysis of the Impact on Global Commodity Markets

Explore three Brent oil price scenarios ($80, $120, and $150) and their potential impact on global commodity markets.

Vegetable oils rise with Brent before sharp reversal

Vegetable oil prices follow volatile Brent crude moves as palm, soy, rapeseed and sunflower markets react to energy swings and Middle...

Middle East conflict pushes vegetable oil prices higher as freight costs climb

Brent crude's rise following Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz is lifting vegetable oil prices across the board, with freight...

US-Iran tensions push Brent crude higher, lifting vegetable oil prices

Rising geopolitical risk lifts vegetable oil prices in week 9 Meta description: Brent crude oil prices climbed on US-Iran tension concerns...

Palm oil prices decline on weak February exports; POC conference flags 2026 supply risks

Palm oil prices declined to $1,030/mt amid poor early-February export data and the Lunar New Year, while the POC Malaysia conference...

India's soybean oil duty cut set to reshape vegetable oil import dynamics

India's planned reduction in soybean oil import duties under US trade agreement expected to reshape procurement patterns and intensify competition across palm,

U.S. Treasury's 45Z guidance tilts biofuel policy toward North American crop oils

New 45Z biofuel guidance requires fuels to use exclusively U.S., Canada, and Mexico feedstocks, removing ILUC penalties and supporting CBOT...

Cocoa futures decline 30% in one month as speculators exit and grind data disappoints

Cocoa futures dropped 30% in one month as Q4 grind data showed 8.25% European decline and Ivory Coast faced trader defaults amid falling...

Palm oil prices rise on strong January exports as Indian buyers shift from soybean oil

Palm oil prices rose to $1,051/mt on strong Malaysian January exports up 8-10%, while Indian buyers cancelled soybean oil shipments...

Cocoa prices hit 2-year low as farmgate pricing crisis leaves African beans stranded at ports

London cocoa futures dropped 12% to 3,347 GBP/t as fixed farmgate prices in Ivory Coast and Ghana create supply bottlenecks. European...

Palm oil prices decline on weaker crude oil and slower Malaysian shipments

BMD crude palm oil declines as Malaysian shipments drop 19% in November while soybean oil faces pressure from China trade concerns and...

Bullish mood for palm and rivals after the IPOC Conference in Indonesia

BMD palm oil prices reach $993/mt following IPOC conference discussions on production declines, Indonesian land seizures, and biodiesel...

Palm oil drops $50/mt on B50 doubts and weak demand

Palm oil falls to $974/mt as concerns grow over delayed B50 implementation and rising Malaysian stocks. Indian buyers shift to cheaper...

Arabica prices seen falling to $3.50 per pound on political and supply shifts

Coffee prices are set for a sharp correction to $3.50 per pound with Trump signaling tariff relief, Brazil's crop outlook improving, and...

Trump-Xi meeting drives grain prices higher as markets anticipate soybean trade resumption

U.S. grain futures rally as markets anticipate potential resumption of Chinese soybean purchases following Trump-Xi meeting. CBOT soybeans...

Cocoa demand destruction confirmed as Q3 grind numbers reveal global decline

Q3 cocoa grind numbers reveal significant declines across major processing regions, with European grind down 4.8%, Asia down 17%, and...

Indonesia's B50 biodiesel program could reshape palm oil supply in 2026

Indonesia's proposed B50 biodiesel program may restrict palm oil exports, requiring 3 million additional metric tons.

Palm oil prices strengthen as Malaysian stocks tighten and Trump signals renewed China trade talks

Palm oil prices strengthened in October as Malaysian stocks tighten and Trump signals soybeans will be key in China talks.

Palm oil markets face competing pressures as policy shifts collide with tightening supply signals

BMD crude palm oil declined to $1,026/mt as Argentina's temporary tax suspension triggered soybean oil sales, while Malaysian production...

Palm oil prices rise on stronger crude oil and rival vegetable oils

Palm oil prices increased to MYR 4,383/mt driven by stronger Brent crude and rival oils, though gains remain limited amid complex vegetable oil dynamics.

Rapeseed supply expands while sunflower markets tighten amid harvest delays

Ukrainian sunflower crop drops to 13.56 mmt while rapeseed forecasts rise 700k mt in Australia. Palm oil gains $20/mt on Malaysian supply concerns. Analysis.

Coconut oil prices increase at origin amid supply constraints

EXW Manila coconut oil prices surge amid copra supply shortages and reduced Philippine exports. Market analysis shows price recovery from...

Brazil cuts sugar production forecasts as yields decline

Brazil's Center-South region trims sugar output estimates to 40.9-41 million tonnes due to lower agricultural yields and declining TRS...

Coconut oil prices collapse 34% in one week as supply dynamics shift

Coconut oil prices plummet from $2,600/mt to $1,837/mt at origin while CIF Rotterdam remains elevated, a $1,000+ arbitrage gap.

Increased inventories in the palm oil market due to slower exports and strong production in Malaysia

Malaysian palm oil inventories rise as production increases 5.52% while exports decline 9.23%. CPO prices drop to $983/mt.

Cocoa prices rise as supply concerns outweigh demand destruction

Cocoa prices rise despite weak demand as West African production concerns outweigh processing declines | Market Analysis.

Tracking Trump’s US agri-commodity trade tariffs

US President Donald Trump is set to implement taxes as high as 50% on agricultural imports unless deals can be negotiated before August 1.

Vegetable oil markets show mixed signals as laurics reach historic highs

Latest vegetable oil market analysis reveals coconut oil reaching crisis levels at $2,700/mt while palm oil gains on reduced US tariffs.

August 1 dairy tariffs set to reshape US import markets as European butter hits €7,000

July 21, 2025 - Vesper Market Intelligence With August 1 rapidly approaching, the impending dairy tariff increases are creating significant market tension...

Vegetable oil markets face pressure as Brent crude weakens and supply forecasts rise

Palm oil, soybean oil, and rapeseed markets decline as Brent crude drops to $67.61/barrel. Get expert analysis on supply forecasts.

Vegetable oils market declines as Middle East tensions cool

Palm oil, soy oil, and rapeseed prices fall as crude oil drops $5/barrel amid Israel-Iran ceasefire. Get Vesper's Week 26 market analysis.

Vegetable oil prices surge as geopolitical tensions and biofuel mandates drive market volatility

Vegetable oil markets surge as Brent crude hits $73.23/barrel amid Israel-Iran conflict and EPA proposes higher biofuel targets.

Biodiesel prices surge as ISCC certificate suspension rocks European market

Biodiesel prices surge as ISCC certificate suspension hits major European producer.

Vegetable oil markets face supply uncertainty as rapeseed crops disappoint

Rapeseed crops disappoint as EU production cut to 18.6M tons. Palm oil pressured by Malaysian inventory while soy complex gains on energy rally.

Global Vegetable Oil markets face tariff turbulence and weather uncertainty

Vegetable oil prices volatile as 50% EU tariffs flip daily while weather threatens crops. Palm, soy, rapeseed & sunflower oil analysis + AI forecasts.

China's massive Sugar purchases signal market shift as Asian production outlook strengthens

China purchases 2.5M tonnes raw sugar exhausting import quota while Thailand's production outlook strengthens.

Palm oil prices decline as Malaysian production growth slows in week 22

CPO futures decline while Malaysian palm oil exports surge 11.63%. Production growth limited to 0.73% in May as Indonesian shipments jump 33%.

Global oils & fats market faces headwinds amid economic contraction and supply chain shifts

Explore Week 19's oils & fats market trends: US economy contracts 0.3%, Brent crude falls to $60.23, Malaysian palm stocks rise 15% while Indonesian exports dro

CBOT Soybean Oil Reclaims Premium Over BMD Crude Palm Oil After Prolonged Discount

In a shift observed across the edible oil markets, soybean oil prices have moved above palm oil prices , reversing a trend where palm oil held a higher...

Global vegetable oil markets disrupted by Trump's 10-50% tariff policy: Palm, Soy, Rapeseed, and Sunflower Oil impacts

Discover how Trump's new tariff policy is disrupting global vegetable oil markets with our expert analysis.

RK Singhal says CPO should decrease by $50/mt to attract Indian demand

Palm oil trading volumes decline as prices remain uncompetitive. Vesper forecasts CPO at $1,000/mt from April.

Trade wars trigger global vegetable oil price decline: Vesper's week 10 market analysis

Trump's tariffs drive global veg oil prices down despite tight Malaysian palm stocks. Bearish outlook for palm oil through 2025.

Vegetable oils market analysis – week 8: palm oil prices drop amid lower Indian imports

Palm oil prices drop as India’s imports hit a 14-year low, while Indonesia’s exports surge. Get the latest market insights.

Palm Oil market surges as stocks fall short of expectations

Palm oil prices surge as Malaysian production and stocks fall below expectations, while Indonesian exports drop sharply. Explore the market impact.

Vesper News: Global Oilseed Market Insights

The global oilseed market is experiencing notable shifts on production forecasts. Brazil’s Soybean Output Revised Upwards Brazil’s CONAB, has increased its...

Heavy Rains and B40 Mandate Drive Palm Oil Prices Higher, RKS Insights Is Bullish

Explore why palm oil prices are rising, with insights on the B40 policy and RKS market outlook. Stay ahead with the latest palm oil trends.

3 Key Drivers Behind Rising Palm Oil Prices

Palm oil prices surge as Malaysian supply tightens and demand rises, boosted by bullish market sentiment from the IPOC event.

Palm Oil and Palm Olein Prices in India Have Reached Their Peak – According to RKS Insights

India's import duties on edible oils aim to boost domestic production, with a 20% customs duty on crude oils like palm, and soybean.

POME Market Update: Price Movements and Regulatory Changes

The latest insights on BMD Crude Palm Oil prices, Malaysia's palm oil stocks, and rising POME prices and Indonesia's new export regulations.

Palm Oil Hits Yearly High Amid Surging Brent Crude Prices

Palm oil prices hit a yearly high, climbing above 4,300 MYR per metric ton, as Brent crude oil surges 12.1% on Middle East geopolitical tensions.

EUDR-compliant S.G. Low Moah Crude Palm Oil Benchmark Rises Week-Over-Week

Discover the latest trends driving Vesper's EUDR-compliant S.G. Low Moah Crude Palm Oil Benchmark upwards.

India's Import Duty Hike: Impact on Global Vegetable Oil Prices

India raises import duties on edible oils, impacting palm oil and global vegetable oil prices. Download our market highlights for free.

Vegetable Oils Prices Down as Brent Crude Oil Hits Lowest Level This Year

Brent crude oil hits a yearly low, leading to a decline in palm oil, soybean oil, and other vegetable oil benchmarks. View the latest prices.

BMD Palm Maintains Tight Spread with CBOT Soy Oil Amid Historically Low June and July (est. by Vesper) Indonesia Stocks

Explore how BMD palm oil prices are maintaining a tight spread with CBOT soybean oil amid supply and demand shifts in Indonesia.

Will CBOT Soybean Oil's Bearish Price Trends Persist Following WASDE's Bearish Soy Update?

Uncover the reasons behind the CBOT soybean oil price drop and how supply, farmer actions, and market sentiment could impact future prices.

Palm Oil Update: Higher Freight Rates and Improved Production

Stay informed with the latest in the palm oil market. Explore the impact of increased freight rates and enhanced production on the industry.

Global Palm Oil Prices Slide Amidst Recovering Production and Export Challenges

Explore the decline in global palm oil prices due to increased Malaysian production and reduced exports, impacting stock levels.

Germany allows HVO100 and B10 sales at gas stations, driving ARA biodiesels up

RME, UCOME, FAME 0, and HVO (UCO) prices have all soared in West-EU markets in response to Germany's B10 and HVO100 pump sales policy change.

Crude palm oil prices inch up on the MPOB report

Discover the impact of production drops, export declines, and stock reductions on crude palm oil prices according to the latest MPOB report.

Palm Oil and Soybean Oil Prices: Latest Updates and Future Projections

Stay updated on palm oil and soybean oil prices, with insights from the latest MPOB report and impact of mineral oil price.

Vegetable oils, except palm oil, have weakened since the last report, influenced by the Red Sea crisis and a bumper soybean supply.

Impact of Red Sea Crisis and Bumper Supply of Soybeans: Weakend Vegetable oils, compared to the previous report.