Market OutlookDairy

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EU Dairy Market Outlook Q4 2026: European Dairy Industry Report

Milk protein has more than doubled while butter fell. See what drives the European split.

  • Fat against protein: Why the same milk is producing a falling butter price and a climbing protein price, and what that means for a blended budget.
  • Bullish and bearish drivers: Structural protein demand and firm SMP export buying against weak milk fat fundamentals and milk output that is still growing.
  • Quarter by quarter to 2027: Butter, cheese, powders and the protein complex, with the Vesper outlook and our AI forecast side by side.
Market Outlook · EU Dairy

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AldiAryztaBaker & BakerBarry CallebautBiscuit InternationalBungeCargillDanoneFerreroFutura FoodsGourmandKerryKraft HeinzLantmännenMademoiselle DessertsMarsMead JohnsonMondelēzNestléOlamOleofinosRemiaSachsen-MilchSainsbury'sSavenciaTony's ChocolonelyUnileverUniversal NutritionVandemoorteleZaanse SchansAAKArlaAssociated British FoodsCSMGeneral MillsHuelKodiakLand O'LakesMagnumMannerMüllerPerfetti Van MellePuratosUpfieldXXL NutritionOats OvernightUpfrontGlanbia Performance Nutrition1440 FoodsSimply Good FoodsJocko FuelAldiAryztaBaker & BakerBarry CallebautBiscuit InternationalBungeCargillDanoneFerreroFutura FoodsGourmandKerryKraft HeinzLantmännenMademoiselle DessertsMarsMead JohnsonMondelēzNestléOlamOleofinosRemiaSachsen-MilchSainsbury'sSavenciaTony's ChocolonelyUnileverUniversal NutritionVandemoorteleZaanse SchansAAKArlaAssociated British FoodsCSMGeneral MillsHuelKodiakLand O'LakesMagnumMannerMüllerPerfetti Van MellePuratosUpfieldXXL NutritionOats OvernightUpfrontGlanbia Performance Nutrition1440 FoodsSimply Good FoodsJocko Fuel

What's inside

What you'll find in this report

Fat against protein

Why the same milk is producing a falling butter price and a climbing protein price, and what that means for a blended budget.

Bullish and bearish drivers

Structural protein demand and firm SMP export buying against weak milk fat fundamentals and milk output that is still growing.

Quarter by quarter to 2027

Butter, cheese, powders and the protein complex, with the Vesper outlook and our AI forecast side by side.

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Questions

About this report

Who is this report for?

Procurement managers, buyers, and category leads at food and beverage companies who need forward-looking market intelligence to plan purchases and manage price risk.

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How often are these reports updated?

Market Outlooks are published every quarter; the mid-year report is the edition that opens Q3. Recap and Forecast reports are published annually. Buying Guides are updated as market conditions change significantly.

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