European prices defy seasonal expectations while US markets undergo significant corrections following Memorial Day demand shifts

May 30, 2025 – Global egg markets are displaying cautious optimism as they enter June, with European shell egg prices maintaining strength against typical post-Easter patterns while US markets experience notable adjustments amid ongoing avian flu developments and seasonal demand changes.

Europe surprises with continued price resilience

European egg markets have caught analysts off guard by sustaining elevated pricing throughout May, bucking the usual post-Easter market softening. The persistence of higher prices reflects ongoing supply chain disruptions from avian flu impacts and robust consumer demand across the continent.

Market sentiment has improved notably with no major avian flu outbreaks reported in recent weeks, providing much-needed stability after months of uncertainty. However, supply constraints continue to affect premium segments, with free-range and organic categories experiencing particular tightness.

“Market prices have consistently defied expectations in recent months, but signs of stability are finally emerging,” according to industry analysis. The completion of wild bird migration patterns offers additional hope for sustained recovery.

US markets reflect seasonal transition amid Arizona outbreak

American egg markets present a hopeful outlook as Memorial Day marked the transition to summer and lower consumption. The decrease in prices continues despite a significant outbreak in Arizona affecting millions of birds, highlighting evolving market responses to recurring HPAI challenges.

Critical factors shaping market direction

Several key developments are influencing global egg market trajectories:

Supply Recovery Signals: With wild bird migration concluded and HPAI cases typically declining in warmer weather, supply chains show early signs of stabilization.

Seasonal Demand Divergence: European consumption remains robust due to cooler temperatures, while US demand follows typical summer decline patterns.

Policy Uncertainties: Upcoming changes to EU trade policies regarding Ukrainian imports may create additional supply chain complexities for European processors.

Contracting Cycle Delays: Industry sources report unusually delayed forward contracting activity, with timing shifts that could impact Q3 and Q4 market dynamics.

Outlook: Cautious optimism emerges

Industry experts project measured stability through Q2’s end, with potential for seasonal adjustments as summer weather patterns establish across key consumption regions. The convergence of completed migration cycles, typical seasonal HPAI declines, and gradual flock recovery supports a cautiously positive near-term outlook.

Market participants remain watchful for consistent weather patterns and continued progress in flock rebuilding as key indicators for sustained recovery.

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