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US Dairy Market Outlook Q4 2026: American Dairy Industry Report

NFDM climbs on the CME Spot Call while butter and cheese fall on supply. See what Q4 holds.

  • Priced off the Spot Call: Butter, cheese blocks, NFDM and dry whey on the CME Spot Call, the prices the American trade actually transacts against.
  • Bullish and bearish drivers: Milk protein demand outrunning available product against growing milk output, a structural butter surplus and rising cheese stocks.
  • Quarter by quarter to 2027: Where each benchmark goes through Q4 and into 2027, with the Vesper outlook and our AI forecast side by side.
Market Outlook · US Dairy

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AldiAryztaBaker & BakerBarry CallebautBiscuit InternationalBungeCargillDanoneFerreroFutura FoodsGourmandKerryKraft HeinzLantmännenMademoiselle DessertsMarsMead JohnsonMondelēzNestléOlamOleofinosRemiaSachsen-MilchSainsbury'sSavenciaTony's ChocolonelyUnileverUniversal NutritionVandemoorteleZaanse SchansAAKArlaAssociated British FoodsCSMGeneral MillsHuelKodiakLand O'LakesMagnumMannerMüllerPerfetti Van MellePuratosUpfieldXXL NutritionOats OvernightUpfrontGlanbia Performance Nutrition1440 FoodsSimply Good FoodsJocko FuelAldiAryztaBaker & BakerBarry CallebautBiscuit InternationalBungeCargillDanoneFerreroFutura FoodsGourmandKerryKraft HeinzLantmännenMademoiselle DessertsMarsMead JohnsonMondelēzNestléOlamOleofinosRemiaSachsen-MilchSainsbury'sSavenciaTony's ChocolonelyUnileverUniversal NutritionVandemoorteleZaanse SchansAAKArlaAssociated British FoodsCSMGeneral MillsHuelKodiakLand O'LakesMagnumMannerMüllerPerfetti Van MellePuratosUpfieldXXL NutritionOats OvernightUpfrontGlanbia Performance Nutrition1440 FoodsSimply Good FoodsJocko Fuel

What's inside

What you'll find in this report

Priced off the Spot Call

Butter, cheese blocks, NFDM and dry whey on the CME Spot Call, the prices the American trade actually transacts against.

Bullish and bearish drivers

Milk protein demand outrunning available product against growing milk output, a structural butter surplus and rising cheese stocks.

Quarter by quarter to 2027

Where each benchmark goes through Q4 and into 2027, with the Vesper outlook and our AI forecast side by side.

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About this report

Who is this report for?

Procurement managers, buyers, and category leads at food and beverage companies who need forward-looking market intelligence to plan purchases and manage price risk.

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How often are these reports updated?

Market Outlooks are published every quarter; the mid-year report is the edition that opens Q3. Recap and Forecast reports are published annually. Buying Guides are updated as market conditions change significantly.

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Yes. Vesper publishes these reports to help procurement teams stay ahead of the market. No credit card, no trial sign-up required.

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