Latest from Vesper.

Butter surplus grows while dairy protein markets tighten

Butter is piling up across Europe, the US and New Zealand while SMP tightens on strong demand, pulling dairy markets in two very different directions.

Directionless cocoa market awaits fresh pod counts for the new season

Cocoa futures are swinging within a tight range as traders wait for new pod counts and EUDR compliance risk builds for Ivory Coast's new season.

Q4 whey negotiations stall in a pricing standoff

Whey protein markets are stuck in a Q4 standoff between buyers and sellers, while milk protein concentrate is sold out and climbing on reformulation demand.

Soybean oil drops on EPA biofuel doubts; rapeseed follows

CBOT soybean oil fell nearly 6% on rumors the EPA could ease biofuel blending rules, and rapeseed followed it lower as a US-Canada trade dispute added pressure.

Trucking costs ease in the Netherlands while ocean and river capacity stay tight

The Netherlands is cutting its truck toll 22% through year-end, but ocean capacity, a fragile Rhine recovery and tighter Panama Canal limits keep freight tight.

Europe's beet crop drought pushes buyers toward imports

Drought has left Europe's beet crop unrecoverable in places, and Vesper estimates the EU and UK may need 3.4 million tonnes of sugar imports this season.

Western Europe's cartonboard demand snaps a losing streak

EMGE's May data shows cartonboard demand growing in every region it tracks, including Western Europe, which had been running 5% behind last year all season.

Hunger stones: Europe's drought markers point to rising food costs

Drought has unearthed centuries-old hunger stones in European rivers as Eurozone inflation hits 2.9%, with crop stress and freight costs both adding pressure.

Protein blends challenge whey's grip on sports nutrition

Sports nutrition brands are reformulating around cheaper protein blends as whey stays expensive, mixing in MPC85, MPI90 and caseinate at a fraction of the cost.

Black Sea export losses keep grains prices elevated into September

Wheat and corn are holding near recent highs as Ukrainian and Russian export losses tighten global supply, while soybeans rally on strong Chinese demand.

China's tissue mills keep running machines despite thin margins

EMGE's latest Tissue Market Highlights show China running new capacity even at thin margins, while demand eased across Western Europe and North America.

Europe's egg prices turn higher while the US market cools

European egg prices are rising into autumn restocking while US wholesale prices fall as supply rebuilds, with Polish disease losses tightening Europe's flock.

A summer milk shortfall squeezes Europe's cheese supply

Strong demand and a seasonal drop in milk intake are pushing cheddar, gouda, emmental and mozzarella prices higher across Europe, with mozzarella leading.

Brazil's uncommitted crop keeps a lid on coffee's nearby squeeze

Coffee futures rose to $3.179 a pound on tight nearby supply, but Sucafina expects prices to slide as Brazilian farmers still hold a large, unsold Arabica crop.

India moves toward its first major sugar imports since 2017

India is weighing a cut to its 100% sugar import tax as a weak monsoon threatens next season's cane crop, with global prices already firming.

Palm oil's forward curve breaks above MYR 5,000 while spot eases

Palm oil's March contract broke above MYR 5,000 a tonne even as the spot month eased, while Brent's climb past $90 lifted soybean and rapeseed oil.

US chicken breast demand hits its weakest point in years

Wholesale demand for boneless skinless chicken breast has slumped to its worst level in years even as broiler supply keeps growing, LEAP Market Analytics says.

Macadamia crop grows 11%, almond kernels come in small

Global Trading's August tree nut report has the macadamia crop up 11% and pressuring prices, while small first almond kernels push that market higher.

Smaller cashew and pistachio crops meet a macadamia rebound

ofi's July update puts the cashew crop 10% to 12% below last year and the 2026 pistachio crop near half of 2025, while hazelnut supply stays comfortable.

Tight milk sends processors toward cheese and whey

Seasonally tight milk is pushing European and US processors toward cheese and whey, lifting cream and SMP while butter stocks stay at decade highs.

Typhoon Dolphin's backlog outlasts the storm

Typhoon Dolphin has cleared the Zhejiang coast, but Ningbo and Shanghai backlogs, a record-low Rhine and new EU packaging rules keep shippers under pressure.

US milk: a summer hiccup or a real shift?

Heat has thinned US milk supply and lifted NFDM, but a growing herd and a wide feed-to-milk margin suggest the tightness fades once Q4 arrives.

Whey protein's climb stalls before Q4 contracting

Reformulation has cut WPC80 demand going into Q4, stalling the climb, while MPC85, lactose and whey permeate tighten across Europe and the US.

Unsold cocoa stock in Ivory Coast keeps a lid on prices

ICE cocoa futures fell 7-8.5% this week as high Ivory Coast arrivals and an uncertain unsold-stock overhang weigh on price.

Brent's rebound lifts palm and soybean oil as Europe bakes

Brent crude's rebound to around $87 a barrel is lifting palm and soybean oil, while a European heatwave threatens France's corn crop.

China's ports reopen. The shipping backlog does not.

Typhoon Dolphin has passed, but the container backlog at Ningbo-Zhoushan and Shanghai lands on an already tight August for shippers.

Europe's sugar beet crop has run out of time to recover

Drought has pushed EU beet yields in France, Belgium, the Netherlands and the UK past recovery, weeks before harvest starts.

US butter, cheese and milk powder prices converge near $1.50

Butter, both cheese grades and NFDM are trading within cents of $1.50 a pound on the CME board, a rare level of convergence.

Egg markets diverge: Europe steadies while the US rally unwinds

Europe's egg market has stopped falling while the US posts its first broad weekly decline of its rally, and egg powder is now pricing off a different cycle.

EU sets an audit timeline for Brazil's poultry ban, opens a duck dispute with China

The EU has attached a firm audit calendar to Brazil's poultry suspension and opened a new anti-dumping case against Chinese duck imports.

Wheat prices ease despite an unresolved Black Sea problem

Wheat pulled back this fortnight even though the Black Sea disruption remains unresolved, while corn, barley and soybean each moved on their own drivers.

Brazil's coffee quality disappoints, and ICE-certified stocks stay tight

Sucafina says Brazil's new coffee crop is falling short on cup quality and screen size, leaving little relief for coffee's shrinking ICE-certified stockpile.

Cheese prices hold firm through a summer that's usually quiet

Europe's cheese market is holding firm and even edging higher through what's normally a slow season, with buyers already locking in Q4 volumes.

El Niño risk spreads across sugar-growing regions, lifting prices

Sugar futures rose 3.8% as El Niño intensifies, threatening crops in Brazil, India, Thailand and the EU just as the 2026/27 balance tightens.

Falling Brent outweighs Black Sea risk in vegetable oils

Black Sea disruption should be bullish for vegetable oils, but a 5% drop in Brent crude after Trump shelved an Iran strike overwhelmed it across palm and soy.

India's spice markets share one problem: thin carryover stock

Cumin, coriander, turmeric, chilli, pepper and cardamom each moved on a different trigger, but India's spice markets share one thin carryover stock problem.

Why cocoa futures are swinging 5% a day

Realized volatility in cocoa futures has topped 90%, with 5-6% daily swings now routine, as thin liquidity and a shrinking 2026/27 surplus keep traders on edge.

Bolivia's blockades lift, but diesel shortages keep Brazil nut shipments stuck

Bolivia's road blockades have ended, but diesel shortages and port congestion at Arica are still delaying Brazil nut shipments this season.

Butter and milk powder markets test their stock cushion

Heavy production has left butter, SMP, and WMP stocks well supplied, and the second half of the year will show how much of that cushion gets drawn down.

Coffee futures rally: exchange stocks fall below a key threshold

ICE-certified coffee stocks dropped below the closely watched 300,000-bag threshold, pushing the September contract up 17.3 cents on the week.

India freight congestion deepens: blank sailings become the new normal

Container shortages and blanked sailings at Nhava Sheva and Mundra are delaying exports and pushing peak season surcharges sharply higher on the Europe route.

US churns record butter, but stocks run thin into autumn

US butter output hit a 31-year high for January to May, yet June stocks fell to their lowest since 2022 as cheap prices drove record exports.

Vegetable oils diverge as Brent crude retreats

Palm and soybean oil fell as Brent crude retreated below $86 a barrel, while sunflower oil rose on continued Black Sea port disruption and slow crushing.

Whey and milk protein markets run out of room to sell

Sweet whey, MPC, and lactose have tightened sharply on export demand, while WPC80 trade stays quiet until the Q4 purchasing window opens in mid-August.

Why sugar prices held steady through a volatile week

Raw sugar futures stayed under 14.70 cents a pound even as oil markets swung wildly, with EU beet yield cuts and Brazilian crushing delays in focus.

Black Sea disruption and EU heat lift wheat and corn to multi-year highs

Euronext milling wheat and corn jumped to multi-year highs as Black Sea shipping attacks and a European heatwave hit crops heading into harvest.

Europe's egg prices cool while the US market climbs again

European egg prices keep sliding on soft summer demand while US wholesale prices for large white eggs roughly tripled from early-July lows on tight supply.

Spain's Newcastle disease outbreaks nearly triple; Brazil braces for an EU ban

Newcastle disease outbreaks nearly tripled in Spain in two weeks while Brazil faces an EU poultry export ban from September, tightening the supply outlook.

Cocoa grindings rise nearly 10%, but prices swing both ways

Global cocoa grindings rose 9.95% year on year, confirming demand is holding, but London and New York futures still fell nearly 9% on the data.

European cheese firms on summer heat, mozzarella still out front

European cheese prices have firmed as summer heat cuts milk output. Mozzarella leads the move while cheddar still looks cheap heading into Q3.

Bullish signals stack up across the vegetable oil complex

Brent, palm, soy, rapeseed and sunflower oil are all firming as energy, tariffs and Black Sea disruption stack bullish drivers across the complex.

Cartonboard demand extends its recovery, prices begin to rise

European cartonboard demand grew for a sixth straight month, and with costs climbing, mills are pushing through the first price rises in a long time.

Coffee holds a tense range as ICE margin hikes thin out trading

Coffee futures are stuck in a tense range as ICE margin hikes drain liquidity, pricing out smaller traders and sharpening moves on thin volume.

Heat stress builds for EU sugar beet as growers lock in low prices

A prolonged heatwave is stressing EU sugar beet just as growers lock in disappointing new-crop prices, raising the risk of factory closures in 2027.

Most starches firm on rising costs; potato holds steady

Wheat, tapioca and corn starch are firming on higher input costs and tight supply, while potato starch holds steady on ample stocks and weak demand.

Why the commodity outlook now hinges on Hormuz and the AI cycle

The second-half commodity outlook hinges on whether the Middle East conflict resolves and the AI investment boom holds, keeping a higher price floor.

Coffee pulls back from record rally, settles near $3.30

Coffee futures cooled this week, with the September contract settling near $3.30/lb after a record rally. What happens next hinges on Brazil's harvest.

Macadamia forecasts edge lower while cashew season winds down

Macadamia crop forecasts slip in Australia and South Africa while the cashew season winds down, keeping tree nut buyers covered short into late 2026.

Reefer space, monsoon ports and a low Rhine: this week's freight pressure points

Shypple flags three freight pressure points for food shippers: sold-out reefer space, monsoon and typhoon port delays, and a Rhine too low for full barges.

US cheddar closes the gap with New Zealand

US cheddar jumped 10% on the month to $1.60/lb while New Zealand fell to a 20-month low, closing a price gap that opened the year at a record 75 cents.

Gasoil firms on renewed Gulf conflict; biodiesel drifts lower

Fossil diesel snapped higher as conflict around the Strait of Hormuz reignited, lifting the gasoil reference while biodiesel and renewable diesel drifted lower.

Sugar eases as India's monsoon catches up

Sugar prices have eased as India's monsoon narrowed its rainfall deficit, pulling weather risk premium out of the market against a firmer longer-term backdrop.

Whey protein pauses for breath as lactose keeps firming

Whey protein has paused after an extended run higher as buyers tire at current levels, even as lactose keeps firming on stubbornly tight supply.

Vegetable oils firm up on Brent and El Niño risk

Brent crude and an intensifying El Niño lifted soybean, rapeseed and coconut oil this week, while record Malaysian stocks kept palm oil out of the rally.

Why cocoa can jump 20% in two weeks and drop 7% in a day

Cocoa futures swung from a 19.6% weekly gain to a 7% one-day drop. Martijn Bron unpacks the volatility, the crop worries behind it, and what it means for buyers.

Cocoa jumps 14% in a day on El Niño supply risk

ICE cocoa futures gained more than 14% in one session and are up around 50% in a month as the market prices El Niño risk to West Africa and Ecuador.

Coffee posts its biggest one-day gain on record

Arabica futures jumped 72 cents in a week, including the largest single-day gain on record. Sucafina traces the move to fund flows and El Niño risk.

Europe's beet crop shrinks, but sugar stocks still weigh

Dry fields point EU and UK sugar production toward 16.1 million tonnes, down from 17.2 million, yet high stocks and record imports keep prices static.

Heat turns the European cheese market from bearish to bullish

A prolonged heatwave is cutting European milk deliveries and weakening components, flipping the cheese market from bearish to bullish within weeks.

Heatwave lifts Euronext corn to a multi-year high

Heat damage puts French corn on course for a 26-year low, lifting Euronext corn to a multi-year high while wheat eases on strong harvest progress.

One heatwave, two egg markets: Europe eases while the US firms

Heat is thinning supplies of large eggs on both sides of the Atlantic, yet European egg prices are falling while US prices firm. Demand is the difference.

Palm oil holds firm on stronger crude and festive demand hopes

Palm oil firmed this week as Brent crude climbed and Indian festive demand built, even as Indonesia's biofuel mandate timeline softened.

From pistachios to peanuts, nut supplies are tightening

ofi's June nut update points to tighter supply: the US pistachio crop could halve, peanut acres are down 21.8%, and almonds are 84.8% sold.

Poultry week 28: heat losses in Europe, record exports from Brazil

A record heatwave cut European poultry supply while Spain's Newcastle Disease cases and Brazil trade tensions add risk. Vesper's week 28 poultry view.

Soybean oil is pricing itself out of the US biofuel mix

Soybean oil's share of US biofuel feedstocks fell to 37% in April as producers switched to corn oil, tallow, and UCO. Vesper's weekly vegetable oils view.

US peanut acres drop 21.8%; supply tightens across origins

USDA puts US peanut plantings down 21.8%. With Argentina's harvest delayed and Brazil's area shrinking, Alimenta Agri sees prices heading higher.

Coriander leads a spice rally on thin arrivals and Hormuz optimism

Coriander rose about 9% on thin Baran arrivals, leading a broad Indian spice rally as US-Iran talks lifted hopes the Strait of Hormuz would reopen to trade.

US milk powder keeps falling, heat wave or not

US NFDM fell 5.8% to $1.505/lb, now 34% below its May peak, as record milk-powder output kept prices sliding even as a heat wave finally arrived.

A heatwave lifted EU butter and SMP. Will it hold?

A European heatwave cut milk and cream output, lifting EU spot butter nearly 3% and SMP about 2%. But with stocks near a five-year high, will the rally hold?

Coffee shorts retreat while Colombian differentials top 60 cents

Coffee futures jumped 7.8 cents to $2.67/lb as overextended shorts unwound, while Colombian differentials topped +60 cents on tight, high-quality supply.

Physical scarcity drives basmati's sharpest rally of the season

Basmati rice rallied $8 to $10 per quintal, its sharpest move of the season, as old-paddy scarcity across India's mills outweighed US-Iran and Hormuz news.

Vegetable oils hold steady while Brent slips and Europe overheats

Vegetable oils held firm even as Brent slipped to $73. Palm oil rose on strong Malaysian exports, while a heatwave trimmed the EU rapeseed crop outlook.

Whey protein stays tight while sweet whey looks for a floor

WPC80 and whey protein isolate rose again on persistent tightness and GLP-1 demand, while EU sweet whey steadied, a sign its long slide may be nearing a floor.

White sugar rallies on weather risk while physical prices sit still

White sugar futures rallied to $475/mt on El Niño and heatwave risk to crops in India and the EU, even as physical prices stayed calm on comfortable supply.

Cocoa rallies more than 30%; deficit fears return for next season

cocoa has rallied more than 30% since Vesper's last report, recovering off its lows as the market turns its focus to next season's West African crop. New...

US butter: record output, leanest May stocks in four years

US butter makers are running flat out, yet the cold store keeps emptying. Stocks ended May at 335.6m lbs, the lowest May reading since 2022 and down 8% on...

Freight update: ocean rates near the top, new emission costs from July 1

Asia to North Europe ocean freight rates look to be peaking after six weeks of gains, as capacity stays tight and new EU emission surcharges take effect July 1.

Egg markets split as Europe nears a floor and US prices firm

The world's two big egg markets are pulling apart. In Europe, prices are still easing from their spring peak, but the decline is slowing and a floor may be...

Summer lull pulls cheese prices further from their spring peak

European cheese prices have drifted further from their spring peak as the summer slowdown sets in. With most buyers having covered their Q3 needs, sellers...

Cocoa jumps 11% as the market turns to El Niño supply risk

Cocoa prices snapped higher last week, with ICE London front-month July futures up 11% to £3,488 a tonne and ICE New York up 11% to $4,545 a tonne. After...

Coffee futures climb as short sellers bail out

Coffee futures pushed higher again last week, with the most active September contract on ICE rising 7.8 cents to settle at $2.67 a pound. The move came...

Hot weather lifts EU grains while US futures slip

Europe's grain markets firmed over the past two weeks as hot, dry weather raised worries about yields, even as US futures fell under harvest pressure and a...

Palm oil holds firm while Brent slides on US-Iran thaw

Palm oil prices climbed last week even as crude oil kept falling, a sign the market is now taking its lead from biofuel policy and weather risk rather than...

A new-crop tender resets EU sugar price expectations

A single tender has shaken assumptions across the European sugar market. A multinational bought 2026-27 sugar at €530 DDP delivered to its EU factories, a...

California almonds firm up as May shipments beat expectations

The California almond market is holding firm heading into the close of the crop year, after a May position report that came in stronger than the trade...

North America paperboard tightens while Western Europe stays soft

Regional paperboard markets moved in different directions through the spring, according to the latest monthly data from EMGE. There was no single global...

Cocoa futures rebound on macro mood, not fundamentals

Cocoa had been one of the quieter commodity markets of late spring. Futures barely moved over the prior fortnight, shrugging off both bearish news in the...

New Sathi crop bends old basmati prices, but the floor holds

The arrival of new Sathi paddy reset India's basmati rice market in early June. May had ended with exporters finding confidence and mills refusing to offer...

Ocean rates climb into July, with new tolls and surcharges close behind

Freight costs are moving in one direction this month, and procurement teams importing through North Europe should plan for more of it. According to...

Thin arrivals support Indian spices, but demand won't chase

India's spice complex spent the first half of June stuck in the same standoff. Arrivals kept thinning across most of the major mandis, yet buyers refused to ...

Brazil sets a poultry export record, but EU access hangs in the balance

Brazil delivered its strongest poultry export month on record in May 2026, yet the milestone is shadowed by a real risk to its European market access....

Egg prices fall on both sides of the Atlantic, for opposite reasons

Egg prices are falling in both Europe and the US, but the forces behind the move could hardly be more different. In Europe, the market has split in two....

Pistachio and peanut supplies tighten as hazelnuts stay soft

The global nut complex is splitting between tightening tree-nut supply and a still-soft hazelnut market, according to ofi's latest monthly update....

Coffee futures slide as speculators build their biggest short since 2023

Coffee futures fell again last week, with the most active July contract down 13.3 cents to 245.9 US cents/lb, according to coffee analysis from Sucafina....

European cheese softens as buyers wait out the summer

European cheese markets have continued to soften in recent weeks. With Q3 coverage mostly behind them, almost all buyers have stepped back to the sidelines, ...

Grains slip across the board on better US weather

Grain prices fell over the past two weeks as improving weather in the US and EU, weaker soybeans, and softer Brent crude pulled the complex lower. Grains...

Ivory Coast arrivals outpace last season, pressuring cocoa

Cocoa prices fell over the past week as supportive West African weather and a jump in Ivory Coast arrivals shifted attention to near-term abundance. ICE EU...

Chicken prices fell across the board last month, but the autumn outlook points higher

Brazilian chicken breast fillet led a broad decline in poultry prices over the past month, dropping 16% to around €2,890 per tonne. It was the steepest move ...

Coconut oil eases further on rebuilding Philippine supply

Coconut oil prices fell again this week, extending a decline that has run since early May. The CIF Rotterdam benchmark slipped around 4% week-on-week, while ...

European sugar: buyers and sellers dig in on new-crop prices

The market for 2026/27 European sugar has settled into a standoff. Buyers are holding around the €530 mark depending on volume, while sellers are trying to...

Coffee futures slide to a two-year low as Brazil's harvest builds

Coffee futures fell 13.7 cents this week on the most active July contract to $2.60 a pound, the lowest level since November 2024, according to Sucafina. The ...

Whey protein pauses for breath, but the market stays tight

With Q3 purchasing largely wrapped up, the sharp price increases of recent weeks across the whey protein concentrate complex are losing some momentum. More...

Brazil's bumper crush and softer oil weigh on sugar prices

A strong result from Brazil and weaker oil prices have offset El Niño risk to keep sugar under pressure. Oil fell about 4% over the past month as ceasefire...

Thai rice up 25%, wheat swings 40 EUR in a month: grains reprice across the board

Thai rice prices rose between 16 and 25 percent in May, with parboiled rice A1 leading the move from 220.73 to 275.61 USD/mt. But the month was not only a...

Cumin finds its floor while coriander supply tightens

India's spice markets spent the second half of May waiting on buyers rather than supply, and this fortnight produced a rare clear signal in cumin: a named...

Vegetable oils hold firm on crude rebound and biofuel demand

Vegetable oil markets steadied this week, caught between a rebound in Brent crude and a long list of conflicting signals. Brent's August contract fell to a...

Cocoa rally fades as weak demand meets a bigger Ivorian crop

Cocoa opened last week with a strong rally and then gave it back over consecutive down days, a pattern Martijn Bron attributes to the volatility of the...

Ocean freight tightens as June peak-season surcharges hit every carrier

Container shipping is under more pressure than at any point since the Red Sea crisis, and the squeeze is coming from several directions at once, according...

Thai cane pivots to tapioca as China's sugar surplus builds

East Asia's sugar markets are heading into the new season with weather and policy pulling in different directions. In Thailand, the three-month outlook...

US peanut acres set to shrink, lifting the price floor

The peanut market has moved back into cost-of-production territory after a long stretch of oversupply, according to Alimenta Agri LLC. Prices are firm...

Brazil loses EU poultry access from September; the authorisation body meets too late to fix it

The European Commission has confirmed that Brazil will not be permitted to export poultry meat and animal products to the EU from 3 September 2026. The...

EU egg prices correct from highs; heatwave hits at the worst possible moment

European egg prices are falling across all categories this fortnight, driven by rising imports from Eastern Europe and Turkey, approaching seasonal demand...

Record May temperatures lift European grain futures as US crop weather eases CBOT

European and US grain markets moved in opposite directions this week. Euronext milling wheat climbed to EUR 214/mt from EUR 213/mt at the previous report,...

Roasters build strongest seasonal coverage since 2022 as arabica futures hold at $2.70

The most active July arabica contract finished the week 8 cents higher at 272.35 US cents per pound, finding firmer-than-expected support at the $2.70 level ...

US milk powder prices slip as production growth cools

US nonfat dry milk prices fell about $0.20/lb, or roughly $500/mt, in the space of a week, and global skim milk powder markets moved with them. New Zealand...

US NFDM falls $0.20/lb in a week as global milk powder markets follow

US NFDM prices dropped around $0.20/lb ($500/mt) in the space of a week, and the move travelled. At the most recent GDT pulse event, NZ SMP fell $200/mt...

EU cocoa futures post a 10% single-session gain as the Silly Season takes hold

EU cocoa futures rose 7% over the past week, closing at 3,153 GBP/t for the front-month July 2026 contract, while the most active September contract gained...

European cheese markets ease into summer lull as Q3 demand completes

European cheese prices edged higher over the past few weeks on seasonal temperature gains and Q3 forward buying, before stalling last week as the bulk of...

Indonesia's export overhaul casts shadow over palm oil as Iran peace talks weigh on energy prices

The Indonesian government announced a new export centralization policy for key commodities, including palm oil, effective June 1st, a measure aimed at...

US cattle placements post largest year-on-year gain in nearly two years

April placements of cattle on feed reached 1.70 million head, up 5.5% from a year earlier, the largest year-on-year increase since July 2024, according to...

Südzucker's sugar division posts €177 million loss as S&P turns negative

Südzucker confirmed that its sugar division recorded an operating loss of €177 million in 2025/26, compared to a €13 million loss the year before, as...

Basmati paddy is gone at Indian trading centres; mills are paying up for what remains

India's basmati paddy supply has effectively run out at every major northern trading centre. Arrivals at Haryana, Punjab, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, and...

Coffee futures fall to $2.64 as US demand weakens and Brazil's record crop approaches

Coffee futures dropped to $2.64 per pound this week, with the most active July contract losing 18.1 cents. The market trended steadily lower through the...

European butter builds up while US milk powder holds the global floor

The global dairy market is running two distinct stories. In milk protein, tightness remains the headline, particularly in the US where NFDM is trading at...

Germany's RED III adoption and higher energy prices lift European biodiesel sharply

European biodiesel markets moved substantially higher in May. FAME 0 rose from $1,382 to $1,500 per tonne compared to the same period last month. UCOME...

Grains slip on US-China summit disappointment despite tight wheat supply underneath

The US-China summit delivered less than the grains market was hoping for. No new commitments to purchase US soybeans, no tariff reductions announced, and no ...

Ocean freight rates jump on early peak season while Hormuz stays shut for most

Container spot rates from Shanghai to Northern Europe rose 11% this week. Rates to the Mediterranean were up 20%. The move is driven by carriers pushing new ...

Sugar's 2026/27 deficit is confirmed, but the size gap between forecasters is enormous

The International Sugar Organization published its first estimate for the 2026/27 crop year this week, projecting a global sugar deficit of 262,000 tonnes....

Vegetable oils track Brent higher as El Nino and Hormuz tensions set the agenda

Brent crude rose from $104 to $112 per barrel over the week, and vegetable oil markets moved with it. The trigger was fresh US threats to resume attacks on...

WPC80 prices at record levels as new protein demand grows faster than supply

The whey protein market is running an unusual experiment: higher prices are attracting both more supply and more demand simultaneously, with demand growing...

El Nino shifts Cocoa Week London from bearish demand to cautious supply concern

The mood at Cocoa Week London was not what most delegates arrived expecting. Industry participants came in focused on weak chocolate confectionery demand...

India's spice markets have a supply story, but buyers aren't listening yet

Six Indian spice categories. Six versions of the same situation: supply is genuinely tight, but the buyers have gone quiet. Cumin arrivals at Unjha fell...

Coffee fails to break range despite fresh spec buying

The July ICE coffee contract closed the week 3.2 cents lower at 282.3 US cents/lb, despite a fresh wave of speculative buying. Speculators added 1,645 lots...

Food and beverage costs face a second wave of commodity pressure

The oil market has held above $100 per barrel through May, but the bigger story for food and beverage buyers is what is happening next. Investment funds...

Imported beef hits a record 23.4% of US supply in Q1

US beef imports totaled 599 million pounds in March, a 19% increase from the same month last year and well above LEAP Market Analytics' (LMA) forecast,...

NFDM domestic demand jumped 178% in Q1 as US dairy markets diverge

The CME spot call closed mixed this week as the dairy complex absorbed a stronger dollar and the headlines from the US-China summit. Blocks dropped 6 cents...

European cheese prices rise as Q3 buyers return

European cheese prices have moved higher over the past two weeks, but the rally has come in stops and starts. After a quiet stretch where Q2 coverage was...

European eggs cool while the US flips from scarcity to surplus

The European egg market is starting to ease from its post-Easter highs, but the correction is uneven. Caged and standard eggs are softening as Eastern...

Cocoa rallies 30% in a week on short-covering and crop risk

EU cocoa front-month May 2026 futures closed up 34% on the week at 3,551 GBP/t, with gains spread across the curve rather than concentrated in the front....

Vegetable oils ease with Brent on stalled Iran-US talks

Brent crude (July) closed the week at $104/barrel, down from $114 the prior week and recovered from a $100 low reached on signs of progress in Iran-US peace ...

US broiler supply keeps climbing while breast meat demand cools

US chick placements totaled more than 1.18 billion over the six weeks ending May 2nd, a 2.8% increase from the same period a year earlier, according to LEAP ...

California almond shipments beat March expectations, Turkey absorbs Middle East rerouting

California almond shipments outperformed expectations in March. Total shipments reached 257.99 million lbs, well above industry estimates of around 225...

Cotton rally and drought threaten US peanut crop, acreage cuts could top 20%

The US peanut market has reversed in recent weeks. The concern has shifted from oversupply to whether growers will be able to plant, how many acres they...

Energy market strength lifts sugar to one-month high

Raw sugar prices extended their climb over the past week. The NY11 July contract closed at a one-month high of 15.37 USc/lb on 5 May, supported by spillover ...

US milk powder shortage pulls EU and Oceania SMP prices higher

European and New Zealand SMP prices climbed again this week, with the latest GDT auction confirming the move. NZ SMP surpassed $3600/mt at the event, and...

Whey protein tightness drives reformulation toward MPC85 in Q3

The global whey protein market opened the Q3 purchasing window at fresh highs, with WPC80 once again pushing the complex higher and prompting a clear...

Brent strength and biofuel mandates push vegetable oil complex higher

Vegetable oil prices moved higher across most of the complex last week, supported by higher Brent crude prices and continued biofuel mandate momentum. July...

Cocoa futures climb on El Niño concerns despite record surplus outlook

London July cocoa futures have risen by approximately 10% over the past two weeks, driven by FMCG buying tied to El Niño headlines, despite the 2025/26...

EU partially suspends sugar IPP imports for one year from May 27

The European Commission's Management Committee for sugar voted on April 30 to partially suspend Inward Processing Procedure (IPP) imports for one year, with ...

Indian spice markets caught between tight supply and stalled export demand

Indian spice markets are showing a consistent pattern across the complex this fortnight. Supply is tight, sometimes severely so, but demand-side pressures...

Cheese markets soften under weight of peak milk supply

European and North American cheese markets are broadly stable this week, but the underlying tone is slightly bearish. Milk production in both regions is...

Cocoa prices find a higher floor on supply risk concerns

Cocoa prices have moved higher in recent sessions, with the front-month May 2026 ICE Europe contract closing 3.7% up at GBP 2,495/t. Market participants...

El Niño risk reshapes sugar's 2026/27 supply outlook

Raw sugar edged higher this week, supported by Brazil's planned anhydrous ethanol blending rate increase from 30% to 32% (pending formal approval at a CNPE...

Rapeseed market firms after Germany adopts RED III

European rapeseed prices climbed this week, supported by Germany's adoption of Renewable Energy Directive III (RED III) alongside tight EU stocks, strong...

Butter weakens while milk powders climb on record US NFDM pricing

Butter and milk powder markets are moving in opposite directions, with heavy milk flows pressuring butterfat across Europe, the United States and New...

Gulf shipping disruption reshapes Indian spice export flows

The ongoing conflict in West Asia and the resulting disruption in the Strait of Hormuz are reshaping export flows across multiple Indian spice categories,...

Coffee futures slip to USD 2.88/lb on improved roaster coverage

Coffee futures fell 8.5 cents over the past week to close at USD 2.878/lb on the most active July contract, with the market trading below the USD 2.90 to...

Indian basmati prices climb on tight supply and Gulf shipping uncertainty

Indian basmati prices have moved higher over the past three weeks, with 1509 Steam rising to USD 90 to USD 91/quintal from USD 82 to USD 83/quintal at the...

Whey protein prices hold at all-time highs with demand destruction still elusive

Whey protein prices remain at all-time highs across Europe and the United States, with WPC80 and WPI trading above levels where reformulation is already...

Soy and palm oils lead vegetable oil gains on biofuel policy and crude rebound

Soybean oil and palm oil led gains across the vegetable oil complex last week, supported by a rebound in Brent crude and further reinforcement of biofuel...

Energy costs drive starch prices higher across wheat, corn and tapioca

Wheat, tapioca and corn starch prices all rose month on month in April, with rising energy costs linked to the Middle East conflict putting pressure on...

European cocoa grindings drop to decade low on weak chocolate demand

European cocoa grindings fell 7.8% year on year in the first quarter of 2026 to 325,895 mt, the lowest quarterly total in more than a decade, according to...

Nordic Sugar to close Porkalla refinery, first EU standalone closure since end of quotas

Nordic Sugar has announced the closure of its standalone refinery in Porkalla, Finland, with raw sugar refining to be moved to the company's beet factory....

China set to overtake Brazil as world's top chicken meat producer

China set to overtake Brazil as world's top chicken meat producer in 2026 The global poultry trade is approaching a structural shift. USDA forecast data...

Energy shock threatens to lift EU food inflation to 5 to 10% by 2027

The European food industry is heading into a renewed inflationary period, with the energy price shock from the recent Iran conflict likely to pass through...

Southeast Asia biodiesel mandates reshape palm oil supply outlook

Three major Southeast Asian palm oil producers are stepping up biodiesel blending mandates in moves that will reshape the feedstock picture for global...

US egg prices fall below production cost while Europe stays tight

The post-Easter global egg market is moving in two opposite directions. US market in oversupply In the United States, supply has rebuilt strongly after last ...

Wheat and corn prices fall on lower crude and higher supply estimates

Wheat: bearish WASDE, US crop conditions deteriorating Euronext milling wheat dropped to EUR 194/mt from EUR 205/mt two weeks ago. Vesper's French wheat...

Cheese markets flip from Q1 shortage to Q2 surplus

From shortage to slight surplus Q1 was defined by limited commodity cheese availability as export demand kept volumes moving out of both Europe and the...

Cocoa prices break 2,500 resistance despite record fund short position

Short covering ahead of grindings data The rally appears linked to short covering by funds ahead of major global grinding updates, potentially on...

Coffee futures climb to $2.96/lb on ceasefire news

July contract rallies after testing support The most active contract shifted from May to July this week ahead of the first notice day. The July contract...

Sugar retreats from March highs on easing geopolitical risk

Global prices pull back The Sugar No. 11 raw price stood at $13.88/lb and No. 5 white at $424/mt as of April 14. The reversal reflects bearish underlying...

Vegetable oils slip lower on ceasefire optimism and weaker crude

All major oils lower BMD crude palm oil declined to $1,120/mt from $1,176/mt. CBOT soybean oil fell to 66.5 US cents/lb from 69.95 cents. MATIF rapeseed...

US broiler production on track for strongest growth in two decades

US broiler production is heading for one of its most significant growth years in recent memory, with ready-to-cook output expected to increase around 3.0%...

Australian beef exports hit near-record volumes in March 2026

Australia's beef export program delivered its second-highest monthly total on record in March 2026, with broad-based demand across key markets driving...

Australian sheep meat exports decline sharply in March as MENA shipments contract

Australian sheep meat exports pulled back materially in March 2026, with total combined lamb and mutton shipments reaching 42,656 tonnes, down 24% year on...

Coffee prices break below $2.90/lb support on Middle East uncertainty

Coffee futures ended the week at 286 US cents per pound, down 12.35 cents from the prior Tuesday, as a deteriorating risk environment weighed on prices....

US broiler exports slip in early 2026 with domestic dark meat demand providing support

US broiler exports started 2026 on a muted note, with total shipments in February coming in just below 524 million pounds, falling short of forecasts and...

Butter leads dairy prices lower at start of Q2 flush season

Dairy commodity markets have entered a calmer phase at the start of Q2, with the arrival of the flush season adding pressure to butter, SMP, and WMP prices...

WPC80 shortage drives protein markets into uncharted territory

The global whey protein market is moving in two very different directions. At one end, WPC80 is in a pressing structural supply shortage with no near-term...

Vegetable oil prices ease on ceasefire news, palm oil outlook mixed

A two-week ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran, announced on April 8, triggered a sharp decline in Brent crude oil, sending immediate...

Cocoa grindings extend decline with chocolate demand under sustained pressure

Cocoa grindings are on track to remain well below historical levels through the 2025/26 season, with the latest data pointing to continued volume pressure...

Variable spring weather disrupts EU sugar beet drilling, area down 7% year on year

Conditions for beet drilling have been uneven across northern Europe this spring, adding uncertainty to the EU sugar supply outlook heading into the 2026/27 ...

European egg market enters Easter under supply pressure

Europe's egg market is heading into Easter with demand firm, supply limited, and retail prices holding at elevated levels. A combination of disease...

Middle East conflict drives Brazilian chicken prices higher

Brazilian chicken meat prices have reversed sharply in week 14, ending a bearish trend that had held for several months. Whole bird and cut prices rose...

Coffee futures pull back sharply after brief rally, with Brazil's harvest on the horizon

Coffee futures fell sharply last week, with the most active May contract losing 14.45 cents from Monday to Monday to finish at 292.55 US cents per pound....

Cocoa prices stage end-of-quarter rally, but cost pressures cloud the chocolate outlook

Cocoa prices rallied sharply at the end of March, with EU futures gaining 7% in a single session to close at £2,487/mt for the front month May 2026...

European cheese markets turn softer at the start of Q2

After a firm Q1 in which strong export demand kept European cheese markets relatively tight, the balance of power is shifting at the start of Q2. High...

Grains hold firm on crude oil support, but markets watch for de-escalation signals

Grain prices across wheat, corn, barley, and soybeans remained elevated this week, with Brent crude oil continuing to provide the primary source of support. ...

Sugar prices edge higher on crude oil rally, but fundamentals stay soft

Sugar prices moved modestly higher this week, driven almost entirely by the sharp rise in crude oil rather than any change in underlying supply and demand...

Vegetable oils rebound on crude surge and biofuel policy shifts

Vegetable oil prices recovered broadly last week, with palm and soybean oil leading gains on the back of firmer Brent crude and new biofuel policy...

Coffee futures break above $3/lb as tight supply and energy costs provide support

Coffee futures prices basis the most active May contract rose 14.15 cents over the week to close at USD 3.07/lb, breaking above the USD 3.00/lb level for...

EU sugar beet farmers face higher costs as energy prices climb

European sugar beet growers are heading into the 2026 planting season with a more challenging cost environment, as diesel and gas prices rise in the wake of ...

European butter prices correct sharply while SMP holds firm

European butter prices fell sharply last week, dropping from close to EUR 5,000/mt to as low as EUR 4,200/mt within a few days. The correction followed an...

Global cartonboard demand ends 2025 flat as regional trends diverge sharply

Global cartonboard demand grew by 1% in December 2025, bringing full-year 2025 demand growth to zero, according to EMGE's latest Paperboard Market...

WPC80 prices exceed EUR 20,000/mt as global supply falls short of demand

The market for whey protein concentrate 80 (WPC80) has tightened to an extent that transactions above EUR 20,000/mt are being reported for Q2, Q3, and Q4...

Philippine biofuel policy uncertainty weighs on coconut oil prices

Coconut oil prices at origin fell sharply this week, with the EXW Manila benchmark declining to $1,918/mt from $2,271/mt previously, as biofuel producers in ...

Fuel surcharges climb and containers pile up as Strait of Hormuz disruption deepens

The ongoing blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is creating mounting pressure across global ocean and air freight markets, with emergency fuel surcharges...

Ivory Coast weighs cocoa pricing reform after beans pile up at ports

Ivory Coast is considering a reform of its cocoa marketing system that would make government-set farmer prices more responsive to international price...

Corn and wheat prices climb on energy costs and tighter 2026 supply forecasts

Corn and wheat prices have moved higher over the past two weeks, supported by rising Brent crude oil prices and downward revisions to 2026 global supply...

European egg shortage deepens ahead of Easter as disease outbreaks hit supply

Europe's egg market is under severe pressure with Easter just 15 days away. A combination of HPAI and Newcastle Disease outbreaks across key producing...

NFDM prices approach 10-year highs as US supply tightens

US non-fat dry milk (NFDM) prices have continued their upward run, rising a further USD 0.08/lb compared to a week ago, a 4.53% increase. Prices are now...

NFDM prices approach 10-year highs despite record milk surplus

Non-fat dry milk prices rose a further 4.53% this week, leaving them just $0.055/lb below 10-year highs. The move comes against a backdrop of surging milk...

Wheat futures rally, but cash markets tell a different story

Wheat futures rally but basis levels signal a possible correction. Barley exports hit multi-year highs on strong global demand...

Record Brazilian exports push global poultry prices lower

Global poultry markets are heading into the final week of March under a broadly bearish price signal, with both Brazilian and Thai origins posting...

Cheap milk, tight cheese: how production capacity is driving European markets

Raw milk in Europe is hitting spot markets at unusually low prices of €0.10-€0.25/kg in mid-March, yet cheese stocks are tight and prices are firm across...

Cocoa farmers in Brazil cancel expansion plans as low prices bite

The dramatic decline in cocoa prices over the past 12 months is beginning to have consequences for future supply. Cocoa farmers in Brazil say they expect to ...

Coffee futures pull back on record Brazil crop expectations

Coffee futures basis the most active May contract fell 4.05 cents week-on-week, closing at 292.85 US cents/lb, after briefly reaching a high of 297.45 cents ...

Wholesale beef prices rally sharply, but correction seen ahead

Wholesale beef prices have been climbing at a rapid pace, with the choice cutout value up nearly $30 over the past three weeks. Every part of the carcass is ...

Why a $100 oil price isn't lifting sugar markets

Crude oil briefly touched $100/barrel following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a move that would normally push ethanol economics higher and redirect...

Palm oil prices climb on B50 speculation and supply concerns

BMD crude palm oil prices rose to $1,176/mt this week, up from $1,123/mt the previous week, supported by a combination of supply-side developments,...

US broiler market: weak export start, steady domestic demand

US broiler exports got off to a slow start in 2026, while domestic dark meat markets have continued to show relative stability. Here is what is shaping the...

Bakery market forecast 2026: flour, starches, eggs, dairy, vegetable oils, sugar, cocoa, nuts

Bakery procurement in H2 2026 is shaped by a mix of signals: some ingredients are softening, others are under renewed pressure, and a handful are in...

Chocolate forecast 2026: cocoa, sugar, vegetable oils, nuts

Chocolate manufacturers are navigating an ingredient landscape that looks very different today from where it started the year. Cocoa has come down sharply,...

European beef market forecast 2026: structural herd contraction keeps upward price pressure in place

The upward trend in cattle and beef prices is expected to continue into 2026, driven by a combination of continuous regulatory pressure on producers and a...

European butter forecast: rangebound in H1 2026, with recovery expected as milk tightens in H2

European butter markets are entering 2026 with ample supply. Strong milk production throughout 2025, particularly in the second half of the year, has...

European Cheddar forecast 2026: lean stocks and firm prices despite strong production

European Cheddar production maintained strong momentum throughout 2025, supported by abundant milk availability. However, the supply-heavy H1 picture...

European chicken market forecast 2026: prices fall on Brazilian import increase, avian flu risk persists

After the lifting of the ban on Brazilian poultry, chicken meat prices in Europe have decreased significantly. The price decrease started around November...

European dairy market forecast 2026: milk, butter, smp, wmp, swp, cheeses

The European dairy market in 2026 is not one market, it's a collection of very different stories depending on which product you're buying. Some categories...

European egg market forecast 2026: avian flu outbreaks keep supply tight and prices elevated through Q1

Mass avian flu outbreaks have persisted throughout Q1 2026, with scarcity continuing to affect the market. Extensive flock cullings following widespread...

European Mozzarella forecast 2026: prices rise sharply since February as nearby supply proves scarce

European Mozzarella production maintained strong levels throughout 2025, driven by abundant milk availability. However, the expected H1 supply pressure on...

European pork market forecast 2026: African Swine Fever in Spain redirects volumes to EU markets, pressuring prices

The EU sow herd is forecast to shrink further in 2026 due to ongoing environmental restructuring in North-Western Europe. Favourable feed prices are...

European raw milk forecast: strong flush adds supply pressure across dairy markets in H1 2026

European raw milk production delivered strong volumes throughout 2025, with output accelerating particularly in the second half of the year. That momentum...

Glucose syrup and dextrose stabilise after 2025 correction, with energy costs the main upside risk

Both glucose syrup and dextrose monohydrate went through a significant correction through 2025, driven by easing corn and wheat feedstock costs, elevated...

Gouda market forecast 2026: prices move higher as stocks stay lean and Dutch production expected to shrink

Gouda production across Europe was robust throughout 2025, benefiting from strong milk availability. Despite that production strength, the market has...

Lactose market forecast 2026: stability returns after 2025 price spike

The lactose market experienced significant price increases during 2025, driven primarily by tightness in the US market that pulled European prices higher....

Lauric oils forecast 2026: prices retreat from 2025 peaks as coconut supply recovery approaches

Prices for lauric oils have declined from their 2025 peaks as the market awaits improved coconut oil supply. The International Coconut Community expects...

Olive oil market forecast 2026: production normalises after two volatile seasons, prices expected to hold broadly stable

Extra virgin olive oil prices (EXW Spain) peaked at around EUR 5,000/mt in November 2025, declined to EUR 4,300/mt in January, and have since risen back to...

Palm oil market forecast 2026: record Malaysian stocks weigh on prices despite Brent crude support

The BMD crude palm oil price has increased to USD 1,096/mt from USD 975/mt at the beginning of the year, supported by higher Brent crude prices, strong...

Pizza, pasta, savory snack forecast: flour, tomate, chicken, beef, pork, mozzarella, olive oil

For food manufacturers in pizza, pasta, and snacks, H2 2026 brings a mix of near-term stability and building supply-side risks. Some key ingredients are...

Potato starch market outlook 2026: record 2025 harvest drives prices to lowest point since 2024

The main factor behind falling potato starch prices has been the very favourable 2025 crop, which delivered a much larger harvest in the main production...

Rapeseed oil price forcast 2026: Brent crude drives near-term gains, harvest pressure expected from Q2

Crude rapeseed oil prices (FOB Dutch Mill) increased to EUR 1,117/mt from EUR 1,030/mt in January, supported by strong prices for competing vegetable oils...

Rapeseed oil price forecast 2026: Brent crude drives near-term gains, harvest pressure expected from Q2

Crude rapeseed oil prices (FOB Dutch Mill) increased to EUR 1,117/mt from EUR 1,030/mt in January, supported by strong prices for competing vegetable oils...

SMP market forecast 2026: US production shortfall pulls international buyers toward Europe

The global skim milk powder market has shifted significantly from what was expected at the start of 2026. Rather than a supply-heavy, export-dependent...

Soybean oil price forecast 2026: US biofuel policy drives sharp price increase, Argentine discount widens

CBOT crude soybean oil prices have risen sharply to 65.33 US cents/lb from 48.56 US cents/lb at the beginning of the year, supported by higher Brent crude...

Sports Nutrition ingredients forecast 2026: whey protein powders, eggs, sugar, nuts, cooa

The sports nutrition supply chain is under more pressure than it has been in years, and the drivers are no longer just about sports. Demand for whey...

Sugar market forecast: raw, white, sweeteners

The sugar market in 2026 is operating in a surplus environment, but the story is more nuanced than that headline suggests. Energy market dynamics, Brazilian ...

Sugar markets stabilise after Q1 surplus pressure, with Brazil and energy dynamics shaping the outlook

Raw and white sugar both spent most of Q1 under surplus pressure before stabilising and recovering into early March as energy markets strengthened. The...

Sunflower oil market forecast 2026: prices firm on tight supply as Argentine shipments to Europe surge

FOB 6-port crude sunflower oil prices have increased to USD 1,485/mt from around USD 1,400/mt at the beginning of the year, supported by tight supply...

Sweet whey powder forecast 2026: European prices overtake US levels as costs rise and Middle East demand accelerates

Sweet whey powder is showing a clear divide between Europe and the United States in early 2026, and that regional divergence has become the defining feature ...

Tapioca starch market forecast 2026: lower cassava yields and Laos competition pressure prices

Total cassava production for the 2025/26 season is estimated at around 22.1 million tonnes, down from approximately 28 million tonnes in 2024/25. Lower...

Tomato paste market forecast 2026: Q2 expected stable, but California and energy risks loom for H2

The second quarter of 2026 is expected to see a modest softening in tomato paste prices relative to the firm levels observed at the start of the year. The...

US Dairy forecast: milk, butter, smp, cheeses, WPC80

The US dairy market entered 2026 expected to be well-supplied across most categories. That picture has changed materially. Butter is tight, powder is tight, ...

US dairy market forecast 2026: butter stocks at five-year low as demand and exports tighten supply

US butter markets have proven considerably tighter than initially anticipated heading into 2026. January production came in at 231 million pounds, up 6%...

Vegetable oil market forecast: olive, rapeseed, soybean, sunflower, palm, coconut, palm kernel oil

The oils and fats market in 2026 is being pulled in two directions at once. On one side, crop-level fundamentals, large harvests, record stocks in certain...

Walnut market forecast 2026: abundant California supply offers buyers a favourable window

California walnuts are entering Q2 in an unusual position: abundant supply, improving shipment momentum, and prices trading below production costs for many...

Whey permeate forecast 2026: stable conditions expected as WPC80 and WPI production stays elevated

Whey permeate stands out as one of the more stable products in the dairy complex heading into 2026, largely insulated from the volatility affecting other...

WMP forecast 2026: EU and New Zealand prices converge for first time since 2021

European Whole Milk Powder pricing is driven by the combined dynamics of butter and skim milk powder, alongside overall milk availability. With butter...

WPC80 market forecast 2026: Q2 volumes near sold out as demand outpaces supply across all major regions

WPC80 stands apart from the broader dairy complex, with market dynamics driven primarily by demand rather than milk availability. That firm tone is expected ...

WPI price forecast 2026: EU prices approach €25,000/mt as GLP-1 demand adds to supply strain

Whey protein isolate markets are characterised by a persistent supply-demand imbalance, with demand significantly outstripping available production...

Supply tightens and shipments slow across tree nut markets

Cashew prices are on the move, Brazil nut supply is tightening and pecan shipments are down 35% year-on-year. Get the full tree nuts...

US dairy exports hit records as American product finds new markets worldwide

US butterfat exports are up 166% year-on-year and cheese exports have broken records. Find out what is driving US dairy markets and...

Australian beef exports rise as tight US supply boosts demand

Australian beef exports rose 11% year-on-year in February as tight US cattle supply and a 42% price discount for Australian cattle...

Coffee approaches $3/lb as geopolitical risks support market

Coffee futures rally toward $3 per pound as geopolitical risks and potential shipping disruptions tighten supply and strengthen Brazilian...

Tight skimmed milk powder supply supports global prices

Global skimmed milk powder prices remain supported as limited supply in the US and Oceania meets steady import demand and rising exports...

WPC80 shortage keeps whey market firmly bullish

Global whey markets stay bullish as tight WPC80 supply and strong demand across nutrition and food sectors leave Q2 volumes nearly sold out.

Brent at $80, $120, or $150: Scenario Analysis of the Impact on Global Commodity Markets

Explore three Brent oil price scenarios ($80, $120, and $150) and their potential impact on global commodity markets.

Vegetable oils rise with Brent before sharp reversal

Vegetable oil prices follow volatile Brent crude moves as palm, soy, rapeseed and sunflower markets react to energy swings and Middle...

Cocoa sector turmoil deepens in Ivory Coast and Ghana

Cocoa sector disruption in Ivory Coast and Ghana deepens as falling prices, unsold beans and payment delays strain farmers and buyers...

High EU sugar stocks keep market under pressure

EU sugar stocks reach the highest level in three years as the beet campaign ends. Energy costs and global market developments remain key...

How the Middle East conflict is moving commodity markets

As the Middle East conflict disrupts the Strait of Hormuz, Brent crude tops $105, find out how it's moving prices across commodity markets.

Weather anomalies raise risks across key sugar regions

Unusual weather patterns across Europe, Brazil, India and China raise production risks for sugarbeet and sugarcane as temperature and...

US wholesale beef prices rise as slaughter slows and supplies tighten

US wholesale beef prices rose to the highest level since September as packers cut slaughter amid heavy losses and tighter cattle supply.

Coffee futures slip below $3/lb as supply improves, Middle East conflict adds volatility

Arabica coffee futures fell to $2.83/lb as certified stock availability improved and roasters held back purchases. The Middle East conflict...

Grain prices rise on Middle East conflict, with wheat, corn and soybeans all moving higher

Grain markets moved higher over the past two weeks, with the Middle East conflict the most significant driver. Wheat, corn, barley, and...

Paperboard markets diverge as Western Europe softens and North America holds firm

Western European cartonboard and containerboard markets continued to soften in November 2025, while North America held firm.

European cheese prices keep climbing as buyers chase limited availability

Cheese prices across Europe continue to increase in early 2026, with Gouda, Mozzarella, and Cheddar all firming as availability remains...

Ivory Coast brings forward mid-crop season in bid to clear unsold cocoa stocks

Ivory Coast has reclassified March cocoa production as mid-crop, sharply reducing farmgate prices to move unsold stocks. The bearish market...

Sugar prices near multi-year lows as global surplus holds, crude volatility adds uncertainty

Sugar prices touched multi-year lows in mid-February before a partial recovery linked to crude oil gains. The 2025/26 surplus remains...

How escalation around the Strait of Hormuz is reshaping oil shipping

Escalation around the Strait of Hormuz is disrupting global oil shipping, insurance markets, and freight flows as tanker traffic collapses.

Middle East conflict pushes vegetable oil prices higher as freight costs climb

Brent crude's rise following Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz is lifting vegetable oil prices across the board, with freight...

Strait of Hormuz tensions and the short-term outlook for brent crude oil

How Middle East tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions impact food commodities through energy prices, fertilizer costs, freight, USD strength and market sent

How Middle East conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruption could impact food commodity market

Explores how Middle East tensions and potential Strait of Hormuz shipping disruptions could indirectly influence food commodity markets...

Thailand's sugar output set to fall as disease and labour shortages reshape next season

Thailand's sugar sector faces a significant production decline in 2026/27, as white leaf disease, reduced migrant labour, and a shift...

European poultry market remains under pressure after brief February recovery

A brief price recovery in February driven by the return of school meals and salary arrivals has not reversed the broader downward trend in...

European sugar producers feel the squeeze as market prices stay low

European sugar producers report heavy losses as low market prices bite Meta description: Tereos and Südzucker have both reported...

Tree nut markets in early 2026: cashews, macadamias, almonds, and pecans

Tree nut market update February 2026: cashews, macadamias, almonds, and pecans Meta description: From firm cashew prices post-TET to pecan...

Coffee prices ease as market weighs tariff ruling against supply dynamics

Coffee prices slip as market digests US tariff ruling and supply signals Meta description: Coffee futures fell 3.6 cents over two weeks...

Dairy markets firm on scarce offers and strong export demand

A shortage of offers is pushing butter and SMP prices higher across Europe, the US, and Oceania. Here's what's driving the moves and what...

WPC80 market tightens further as Q2 volumes near sold out across Europe and the US

Whey protein concentrate 80 markets are tightening fast, with Q2 volumes nearly sold out across Europe and the US. Buyers are now...

US-Iran tensions push Brent crude higher, lifting vegetable oil prices

Rising geopolitical risk lifts vegetable oil prices in week 9 Meta description: Brent crude oil prices climbed on US-Iran tension concerns...

Blank sailings climb to 18% as carriers manage post-CNY capacity

Carriers have pulled 125 of 710 scheduled sailings ahead of Chinese New Year to prevent rates from falling further. Here's what that means...

Cocoa prices fall 35% in a month as West African supply overhang deepens

Cocoa prices have collapsed 35% over the past month and sit 70% below year-ago levels, as unsold bean inventories build in Ghana and Ivory...

European cheese prices hold firm in February, defying seasonal correction expectations

EU Gouda and Mozzarella prices have risen to around €3,300/mt in February as low stock levels and firm producer pricing defy expectations...

Sugar markets hit five-year lows as global surplus weighs on prices

Raw sugar prices fell to their lowest since October 2020 as a 1–5 MMT global surplus weighs on markets, European stocks climb to 9.3 MMT...

Palm oil prices decline on weak February exports; POC conference flags 2026 supply risks

Palm oil prices declined to $1,030/mt amid poor early-February export data and the Lunar New Year, while the POC Malaysia conference...

US broiler slaughter rebounds sharply after winter disruption, but growth expected to slow

US broiler slaughter rebounded 5.6% in early February after winter disruption, but underlying indicators point to growth slowing toward 2%...

South American supply boom reshapes corn oil trade flows

A record harvest in Argentina and strong Brazilian crop estimates are keeping corn oil prices under pressure, while Middle East demand and...

Structural shift in US skim milk use keeps NFDM markets tight

Four consecutive years of falling US NFDM production point to a structural shift in where skim milk is going toward MPC and butter.

WPC80 shortage intensifies with producers in control of pricing and allocation

Global whey protein concentrate 80 market reaches critical tightness with structural shortage affecting all whey products. Producers control pricing as domestic

India's soybean oil duty cut set to reshape vegetable oil import dynamics

India's planned reduction in soybean oil import duties under US trade agreement expected to reshape procurement patterns and intensify competition across palm,

Cocoa futures recover modestly as Ghana payment crisis leaves 150,000 mt stuck

Cocoa futures up slightly after sharp declines but farmers face payment crisis as Ghana and Ivory Coast struggle with defaults. Ghana holds...

EU sugar production projected to fall 10% as consumption uncertainty clouds market outlook

EU sugar production projected to decline to 15.4 million tonnes in 2026/27 from 17.05 million tonnes. Import needs unclear as November...

Soybean prices jump on China trade talks and U.S. crush demand

CBOT soybeans surged to 1,115 cents/bushel as China signals potential increase to 20 MMT purchases. New 45Z rules and December crush of...

U.S. milk powder prices surge 30% in one month on supply squeeze

CME nonfat dry milk prices surged 30% in one month as low November production triggered a short squeeze. Analysis suggests prices may be...

Europe faces Easter egg shortage as Poland loses 5 million laying hens

Poland has lost 5 million laying hens in six weeks, creating severe Easter egg shortages across Europe. Germany faces daily shortages of...

Polish chicken prices fall as Avian Influenza outbreak triggers 2.79 million bird cull

Poland reports 22 Avian Influenza outbreaks with 2.79 million birds culled, driving Polish chicken prices down 3.7% while French prices...

U.S. Treasury's 45Z guidance tilts biofuel policy toward North American crop oils

New 45Z biofuel guidance requires fuels to use exclusively U.S., Canada, and Mexico feedstocks, removing ILUC penalties and supporting CBOT...

Coffee futures drop 50 cents as roaster demand and exchange inventory shift

Coffee March contract dropped 50.1 cents to 317.1 cents per pound as roaster fixations concluded and exchange inventory began rebuilding.

U.S. broiler production forecast at 1.5% growth for 2026

U.S. broiler production projected to reach 48.7 billion pounds in 2026 with 1.5% growth. Analysis of export trends, placement data, and...

U.S. milk production rises 4.4% despite prices below cost of production

American dairy producers increased milk output to record levels in December 2025 despite Class III and IV prices settling below cost of...

US calf crop falls 1.6% as beef supply tightens through 2026

USDA cattle report shows 2025 US calf crop fell 1.6% to 32.9 million head, with beef cow inventories down 1.0%, signaling continued tight...

Cocoa futures decline 30% in one month as speculators exit and grind data disappoints

Cocoa futures dropped 30% in one month as Q4 grind data showed 8.25% European decline and Ivory Coast faced trader defaults amid falling...

European skim milk powder reaches €2,200 per tonne as short squeeze lifts dairy prices

Skim milk powder reached €2,200/mt in Europe as a short squeeze pushed prices up 10% despite weak long-term fundamentals...

Whey protein concentrate reaches €14,320 per tonne in Europe as structural shortage persists

Skim milk powder reached €2,200/mt in Europe as a short squeeze pushed prices up 10% despite weak long-term fundamentals and surplus milk...

Coffee futures rise toward 365-370 cents per pound as roasters accelerate March fixations

Coffee futures rose 0.95¢/lb to 356.25¢ as roasters accelerated March fixations before first notice day, with technical buying expected to...

Palm oil prices rise on strong January exports as Indian buyers shift from soybean oil

Palm oil prices rose to $1,051/mt on strong Malaysian January exports up 8-10%, while Indian buyers cancelled soybean oil shipments...

US beef cattle on feed placements decline 5.4% in December as margin pressure weighs

US December cattle on feed placements declined 5.4% to 1.55M head as margin pressure and limited feeder cattle access weighed on...

Container shipping rates drop ahead of Chinese New Year as demand falls short

Spot rates dropped double-digits on Asia-Europe and Asia-America routes in late January as Chinese New Year demand surge failed...

European poultry fillet prices face continued pressure after holiday demand fades

Chicken breast prices fell across Thailand and Brazil in January after European holiday demand faded. Wings remained stable with...

European sugar producers face mounting losses as Süedzucker reports €136 million deficit

European sugar producers face mounting losses with Süedzucker posting a €136M deficit and Nordzucker losing €56M as depressed prices...

US broiler production projected at 49 billion pounds in 2026 despite inventory headwinds

US broiler production is projected to rise 2.1% to 49 billion pounds in 2026, supported by record productivity despite a 1.9% decline...

EU egg market faces structural supply pressure as avian influenza culls and trade restrictions tighten availability

Empty shelves across Austria, Germany and France signal structural supply tightness in EU egg markets. HPAI culls, slow restocking

India's sugar production jumps 22% while global surplus widens to 4.7 million tonnes

India's sugar production increased 22% to 15.9 million tonnes through mid-January while the global surplus widened to 4.7 million tonnes...

US cattle placements projected to decline 4.9% in December amid border restrictions

December cattle placements projected at 1.56 million head, down 4.9% year-over-year, as Mexico border restrictions and weak feedyard...

Cocoa prices hit 2-year low as farmgate pricing crisis leaves African beans stranded at ports

London cocoa futures dropped 12% to 3,347 GBP/t as fixed farmgate prices in Ivory Coast and Ghana create supply bottlenecks. European...

Coffee futures fall to 346.5 US cents per pound amid Central American harvest pressure

Coffee futures dropped 13.75 cents per pound to 346.5 cents this week as Central American origins reach peak harvest. Honduras...

European cheese prices hold steady as butter markets collapse, shifting dairy valorization dynamics

Cheese markets hold firm around €3,000/mt despite peak seasonal production, while falling butter prices shift dairy valorization toward...

US broiler availability hits record high as wholesale prices weaken in Q4

US broiler meat availability reached 18.9 pounds per capita in Q3 2025, a new quarterly record. Wholesale prices languished in Q4 but...

Paperboard market shows diverging regional trends as operating ratios hit multi-year lows

Global paperboard markets show diverging trends as cartonboard operating ratios reach multi-year lows. Western Europe demand drops 14%...

Brazilian sugar mills drop allocation to 35.5% in seventh consecutive fortnight decline

Brazilian sugar allocation declined for seventh consecutive fortnight to 35.5%, down from 44.6% last year, raising questions about 2026/27...

Cocoa market seeks equilibrium after 50% price retreat

Cocoa futures trade in narrow range as market seeks equilibrium. Mild Harmattan conditions and above-average rainfall support West African...

Shipping costs climb as pre-Chinese New Year demand hits Asia-Europe routes

Asia-Europe shipping rates climb for third consecutive week as pre-Chinese New Year demand tightens capacity. Carriers implement surcharges...

U.S. dairy prices hit multi-year lows to close 2025

American dairy markets ended 2025 with significant price declines across all product categories. Butter dropped 45% while cheese fell 28%...

Broiler cutout value forecast missed actual 2025 average by less than two cents

2025 broiler forecast was nearly $1.00/lb vs actual, with leg quarters showing 1% error and premium cuts exceeding 10% deviation.

Cattle feeder margins deteriorate despite strong beef demand outlook

U.S. cattle feeders face losses exceeding $500/head by early 2026 after Tyson's Nebraska plant closure alters margin dynamics.

European butter prices head for sub-€4,000/mt in Q1 as surplus hits 93,700mt

European butter markets face continued pressure as Q1 2026 prices head below €4,000/mt. Production surge and 93,700mt surplus drive cream...

Indian importers secure 150,000 metric tons monthly of South American soy oil

Indian buyers commit to purchasing over 150,000 metric tons of South American soybean oil monthly from April to July 2025, driven by...

Trump's tariff plans create tight timeline for US importers

Trump announces 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada, 10% on China starting January 20th. US importers face tight six-week timeline to...

WPC80 and WPI prices hit record highs on GLP-1 medication demand

WPC80 prices hit €13,000/mt and WPI reaches €21,500/mt as GLP-1 medication demand creates shortages in global whey protein markets.

Südzucker takes radical position with 15-25% beet reduction

Südzucker announces beet reductions of 15-25% as Tereos maintains contractual area unchanged. The diverging strategies could create discord...

Record cocoa short position reaches half a million metric tons

Managed money traders have built a half million metric ton short position in cocoa futures, a size that has historically hurt speculators...

Egg markets face dual pressure from avian flu outbreaks and rising energy costs

Germany reports 25 farm cases, France 33 infections, Netherlands culls 62,000 hens as Arctic weather increases heating demand with sharp...

EU chocolate inflation remains at multi-year highs despite cocoa price correction

European chocolate inflation remains near multi-year highs at 17.3% year-over-year even as cocoa prices fall 60% from peak, limiting...

European cheese producers sell forward to avoid Q1 weakness as buyers hold back

Gouda falls to EUR 2,980/mt as producers lock in Q1/Q2 sales ahead of seasonal weakness, while buyers wait for further declines with milk...

European wheat faces competition squeeze amid strong euro and record global output

French wheat flour falls to EUR 283/mt as abundant global supplies and 11% euro appreciation squeeze European exporters facing competition...

Coffee futures hold range despite record December delivery amid tariff relief

Coffee March contract holds 376.55 cents/lb as record December delivery inversion worth $21 million premium provides support despite US...

European sugar processors announce 2026 acreage cuts following stock accumulation

European processors announce larger-than-expected acreage reductions for 2026 while Brazilian mills conclude early with 120 units finished...

Palm oil prices decline on weaker crude oil and slower Malaysian shipments

BMD crude palm oil declines as Malaysian shipments drop 19% in November while soybean oil faces pressure from China trade concerns and...

Tyson Foods closure of Nebraska plant reshapes beef packing capacity amid DOJ scrutiny

Tyson shuts Lexington facility with 5,000-head daily capacity and streamlines Amarillo plant as Trump Administration investigates Big Four...

US broiler production growth accelerates to largest quarterly increase since early 2023

Ready-to-cook broiler production up 2.8% in Q4 2025 as industry pursues growth push, though leading indicators signal gradual slowdown...

Global milk production overwhelms demand, timing mismatches amplify market pain

US cheese prices hit 2025 lows while butter spread to retail exceeds $2.77/lb as strong milk production from US, Europe, and NZ...

Coffee futures fall 16.55 cents amid partial US tariff relief

Coffee futures fell to $376.6/lb this week as the White House announced tariff exemptions that excluded Brazil and India. Markets expected...

European butter surplus climbs to 106,000 metric tons

European butter production surged 5.09% in 2025, creating a 106,000 MT surplus. With cream cheap at €5,500/MT and buyers already covered...

US whey protein shortage is pushing prices to record levels

Critical shortage of US WPC80 and WPI forces global buyers to European markets as GLP-1 medication demand drives whey protein consumption...

Bullish mood for palm and rivals after the IPOC Conference in Indonesia

BMD palm oil prices reach $993/mt following IPOC conference discussions on production declines, Indonesian land seizures, and biodiesel...

European sugar producers cut beet area in emergency move

Suedzucker offers €10/tonne premium to cut 2026 beet area as European sugar prices drop to €425/tonne. French growers battle virus yellows...

Shipping rates from Asia to Europe climb 3-4% on major routes

Shipping rates from Asia to Europe increased 3-4% on major routes as carriers manage capacity and 2026 contract negotiations begin.

Broiler market under pressure as thigh meat demand weakens

Thigh meat demand falls below baseline average for first time in two years. Prices projected to decline 15-20% in 2026 as market corrects...

Chocolate demand pressures mount with Singles Day spending decline

Cocoa prices fell over 9% this week as Singles Day spending dropped 20% and Barry Callebaut reported 5.3% decline in chocolate volumes...

Coffee futures hold near $4 amid Supreme Court tariff uncertainty

Coffee futures reached 393.15 cents per pound as the Supreme Court weighs tariff legality under IEEPA, with potential market implications...

European cheese exports surge as dollar strength reshapes global trade flows

European cheese gains export advantage as stronger dollar reshapes global trade. Asian markets switch from US to EU suppliers, clearin...

Rapeseed oil prices hold firm on tight supply and biodiesel policy expectations

Rapeseed oil prices reach EUR 1,085/mt as EU imports decline sharply and the market awaits German biodiesel policy decisions that could...

Record yields drive European sugar producers to cut 2026 output

Major European sugar producers announce significant production cuts for 2026 as record yields and elevated stocks create supply pressures.

Western Europe paperboard demand drops in sharp contrast to other regions

Western Europe's paperboard demand declined sharply in August 2025 while other regions showed stability or growth.

Vietnam cashew processors cut operations as raw material costs climb

Vietnamese cashew processors limit operations as raw cashew nut prices increase. Market analysis covers Tanzania auction impact, warehouse...

Beef grading reaches record highs as choice-select spread narrows

Cattle grading performance reaches all-time highs for fall with prime near 12.8% and choice at 73.2%, while the choice-select spread...

Coffee futures rise to $387.7 as index roll period supports market

Coffee futures climbed to $387.7 cents per pound this week as roaster buying and the index roll period prevented the expected correction...

European SMP prices supported by euro weakness as currency movements influence global markets

EUR/USD movement from 1.17 to 1.14-1.15 is currently supporting European skim milk powder prices despite fundamental weakness...

Germany and Netherlands eye policy shifts that could reshape European biodiesel demand

Germany and the Netherlands are evaluating policy changes that would end double counting for advanced biofuels, potentially reshaping...

EU proposes six-month grace period for cocoa deforestation law

European Union proposes six-month relief period for EUDR compliance instead of one-year delay, with simplified requirements for smallholder...

Palm oil drops $50/mt on B50 doubts and weak demand

Palm oil falls to $974/mt as concerns grow over delayed B50 implementation and rising Malaysian stocks. Indian buyers shift to cheaper...

US whey protein concentrate market reaches record prices as spot availability becomes critically low

US WPC80 has become virtually impossible to source as temporary factory downtime creates supply shortage, pushing prices to $6.35/lb while...

Chocolate makers adjust recipes as cocoa costs remain elevated

High cocoa prices drive chocolate recipe changes as companies use rice, oats, and sunflower seeds. McVitie's and KitKat brands lose...

Chocolate manufacturers plan price cuts after consumers reject 30% increases

Mondelez reports higher-than-expected demand elasticity for chocolate in Europe, with consumers pushing back against cumulative 30% price...

European sugar producers face break-even crisis with prices at €450

European sugar prices fall to €450 ex-factory beet belt, forcing producers toward break-even. Analysis of current market values and...

Exchange rate shift sends US dairy prices into sharp decline

NFDM prices fell sharply as the exchange rate turned against US exports. The USD gained momentum while the euro lost value, making the US...

Arabica prices seen falling to $3.50 per pound on political and supply shifts

Coffee prices are set for a sharp correction to $3.50 per pound with Trump signaling tariff relief, Brazil's crop outlook improving, and...

Chocolate demand proves more price-sensitive than expected as Mondelez reports consumer pushback

Mondelez reveals European chocolate demand elasticity of 0.7-0.8, surpassing industry expectations as cumulative 30% price increases test...

Raw sugar prices hit four-year lows on surplus concerns

Raw sugar futures drop to 14.37 cents per pound, the lowest since April 2021. Brazilian production forecasts and Indian export potential...

Trump-Xi meeting drives grain prices higher as markets anticipate soybean trade resumption

U.S. grain futures rally as markets anticipate potential resumption of Chinese soybean purchases following Trump-Xi meeting. CBOT soybeans...

US cheese prices rise above European levels, affecting international competitiveness

US cheese prices reach levels where international competitiveness becomes challenging. European cheese offered at competitive prices...

Sunflower oil prices reach 10-month high as tight supply persists

Sunflower oil reached $1,405/mt as harvest disappointments in Ukraine, Russia, and Europe tighten global supply. Bulgarian processors face...

Germany considers ending UCOME double-counting by January 2026

Germany plans to eliminate advanced biofuel double-counting by January 2026 under RED III implementation, potentially reshaping UCOME...

US butter prices drop sharply on CME as abundant milk supply weighs on dairy markets

CME butter prices fall sharply as US milk production grows 3% year-over-year alongside increased output from New Zealand and Europe...

Butter markets show temporary stability but underlying weakness remains

European butter trades below €5000/mt as abundant milk supplies pressure dairy markets. SMP and WMP prices expected to decline further...

Coffee prices climb on tight supply concerns despite favorable Brazilian weather

Coffee futures climbed 13.9 cents this week to 413.55 cents per pound as certified stocks decline and US-Colombia trade tensions threaten...

European WPC80 market empties for Q4 following large volume purchases

European WPC80 market shifts to significantly tight as large purchases clear Q4 supply. Western European producers quote €12,500+/mt while...

Ground beef prices spike to $300 per cwt as grinds complex rallies

73% lean ground beef prices jumped from $270 to $300 per cwt this week, but analysts expect the grinds complex rally to be fleeting with...

Black Sea sunflower crop concerns drive prices higher as supply outlook tightens

Sunflower oil prices increased $20/mt as Ukrainian crop estimates fell to 10.5-11.2 mmt from 12.7 mmt last year. Poor yields and excessive...

Cocoa demand destruction confirmed as Q3 grind numbers reveal global decline

Q3 cocoa grind numbers reveal significant declines across major processing regions, with European grind down 4.8%, Asia down 17%, and...

European sugar prices decline over 20% since May

European sugar prices have fallen over 20% since May to €475/tonne as exceptional harvest yields and evolving market dynamics reshape pricing

Rotterdam and Antwerp port congestion delays container shipments through October 2025

Strikes and protests caused severe congestion at Rotterdam and Antwerp ports in October 2025. Container vessels face delays until month-end..

Cocoa prices fall 20% over past month as main crop expectations remain optimistic

Cocoa futures fall 20% in a month as West African main crop expectations remain optimistic. European Q3 grindings beat estimates.

EU considers 300% expansion of Ukrainian egg import quotas amid food safety concerns

EU weighs 300% expansion of Ukrainian egg import quotas as antibiotic residue detections raise food safety concerns.

Global grain surplus puts buyers in control as sellers compete for market share

Record wheat, corn, and barley harvests force sellers to compete for market share. Analysis of grain market dynamics and pricing...

HPAI returns to Northern Europe after months of calm

Avian influenza outbreaks return to Netherlands and Denmark, signaling start of winter risk period. What egg buyers need to know about...

European cheese prices fall as milk production surpluses mount

European cheese prices decline across Gouda, Mozzarella, Cheddar and Emmental as milk production surpluses of 5-7% YOY create abundant supply

European sugar prices trade below import parity while 2026 acreage faces potential cuts

European sugar prices trade below €586/tonne import parity as early data shows 3% acreage reduction expected for 2026.

Indonesia's B50 biodiesel program could reshape palm oil supply in 2026

Indonesia's proposed B50 biodiesel program may restrict palm oil exports, requiring 3 million additional metric tons.

Sunflower oil prices climb as crop forecasts deteriorate across key producing regions

Sunflower oil prices increased by $10/mt to $1360/mt as crop forecasts in Ukraine and Russia continue to deteriorate. APK-Inform reduced...

Coffee futures decline 17.7 cents to 373.60 cents per pound

Coffee prices dropped to 373.60 cents/lb last week. Brazilian rainfall supports 26/27 crop development with expectations of 5+ million bags..

Dry European weather and China frost risk test global grain outlook

European grain regions face dry conditions while China's corn belt braces for frost. Latest global crop production analysis shows stable...

Butter, SMP and WMP tip in buyers' favor amid Q4 oversupply

Global dairy markets favor buyers as heavy stocks meet weak demand. Butter, SMP, and WMP prices decline with production costs narrowing...

Whey protein supply runs low as Q4 volumes sell out

Whey protein markets defy broader dairy weakness as Q4 supply dwindles. WPC80 holds above €12,000/mt while WPI tightens further...

Cartonboard markets show regional divergence as capacity shifts reshape supply dynamics

Western Europe and Asia face contrasting cartonboard market dynamics as new capacity and mill closures reshape regional supply.

Broiler market shows stark divide as breast prices plunge while thigh meat holds ground

US broiler market shows unusual split with breast meat down $0.30+ from averages while thigh prices hold near 5-year norms.

Coffee futures rise as certified stock decertification accelerates

Coffee futures reached 390.75 US cents/lb as ICE certified stocks decline rapidly. Understand the inventory dynamics and weather factors...

Palm oil prices strengthen as Malaysian stocks tighten and Trump signals renewed China trade talks

Palm oil prices strengthened in October as Malaysian stocks tighten and Trump signals soybeans will be key in China talks.

European sugar prices fall below import parity amid 2025 harvest season

European white sugar prices for 2026 delivery have fallen below import parity as harvest progresses. Analysis of pricing dynamics...

How the EUDR delay is influencing cocoa prices and market structure

Discover how the EUDR delay, market structure shifts, and hedge fund shorts are influencing cocoa prices and procurement strategies.

Polish sugar beet growers earn €52.55 per tonne, highest in Europe with EU subsidy support

Polish sugar beet farmers receive €52.55/tonne, Europe's highest compensation with EU subsidy support. Analysis of competitive impacts on...

US dairy markets rebound as butter and cheese prices rise on CME

US dairy markets turned green this week with butter and cheese prices bouncing back on the CME. Analysis of cold storage data, price...

European cheese markets face downward pressure as supply outpaces demand

European cheese markets face downward pressure with Gouda at €3170/mt and Mozzarella at €3120/mt as buyers shift to hand-to-mouth...

Raw sugar futures recover as Brazilian mills eye ethanol production shift

Raw sugar futures bounced back to $16.1/lb as Brazilian mills signal potential pivot to ethanol production. European yields exceed forecasts..

Record global grain production pressures prices across wheat, corn and barley markets

Global grain markets face downward pressure as record wheat, corn and barley production forecasts overwhelm seasonal patterns.

Argentina's tax holiday triggers massive soybean sales, pressuring global vegetable oil markets

Argentina's temporary export tax suspension triggered 1.3M tons of soybean sales to China and 300K tons of soybean oil to India...

Beef prices face pressure as wholesale demand shows signs of cooling

Wholesale beef prices have declined sharply since Labor Day, with chuck cuts leading the market lower. Learn what this demand shift means...

Palm oil markets face competing pressures as policy shifts collide with tightening supply signals

BMD crude palm oil declined to $1,026/mt as Argentina's temporary tax suspension triggered soybean oil sales, while Malaysian production...

Coffee prices increase on inventory drawdown after technical selloff

Coffee futures rallied sharply after ICE certified stocks fell 11.5% in less than a week, reversing a technical selloff. Market volatility...

European whey protein concentrate hits price ceiling as production declines persist

WPC80 prices stabilize at €12,150/mt in Europe while US markets climb higher. Production down 10%+ across regions as processors...

Coconut oil prices drop $240/mt as demand weakens across key markets

Coconut oil prices decline sharply at origin as demand weakens and Philippine exports drop significantly, with improved production outlook...

Global butter prices plummet as oversupply hits all major markets

Butter prices collapse below 10-year averages as milk production surges 5.44% in US and 2.46% in New Zealand. Food manufacturers face...

Ukrainian rapeseed export delays drive European oil prices higher

Rapeseed oil prices rise as Ukrainian export disruptions limit supply during harvest season, while Canadian production increases promise...

EU deforestation rules create compliance challenges for cocoa exporters

EU deforestation regulation poses major compliance challenges for cocoa exporters requiring complex tracking systems, though a possible...

EU sugar prices tumble €25 per tonne as harvest outlook brightens